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Euroleague Preview & Tips – Round 5 – Friday’s Matches

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Euroleague basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

Euroleague Basketball Tips

Khimki Moscow – Gran Canaria

Two teams that need a win as soon as possible clash when winless Khimki hosts Gran Canaria in Round 5. Khimki comes off a one-point loss to AX Armani Exchange Olimpia Milan despite Jordan Mickey’s 26 points and 7 rebounds. Granca also lost at home to CSKA as Clevin Hannah’s 17 points were not enough. This game is important for both sides, because after four rounds, both are in dire need of wins, especially the hosts. A single success could be a stepping stone to bigger and better things in the weeks to come.

The only thing that Khimki seems to be missing is that little bit of luck, that last basket that gives it the first win. So far, the team has the second-weakest defense in the competition, but it lost two straight games by a single point, so in no way is the team struggling. The only thing missing is the win. Of course, if Shved, who has scored in double digits in his last 38 straight games, Gill and Mickey maintain their numbers, Khimki will have half the job done. The only thing is that Jenkins, Markovic and Thomas step up and give the final push that their team needs. That, and crashing the boards with more intensity to improve on its league-low 26.5 rebounds per game.

Gran Canaria has a big problem in its 97.8 points allowed per game for the weakest defense in the league. If you receive that many points every game, adding wins becomes something short of a miracle, so the first step that the newcomers have to make is adjusting to make that number go down fast. The numbers on offense are not bad, so Hannah, Evans and Strawberry are doing a good job in offense. The main goal will be pressing the ball hard on defense and that will, also, bring in more fluid offense if done right.

Tip: 1 (-8.5) at 1.92 with Novibet
(Price correct at 02/11/2018, 10:30 CET)

Buducnost – Panathinaikos

Winless Buducnost welcomes Panathinaikos to the capital of Montenegro on Friday. The hosts were roughed up last week by the defending champs 89-55 despite 13 points from Nemanja Gordic. Panathinaikos also suffered a tough home loss to Zalgiris 83-87. Nick Calathes’ 22 points were not enough for the Greens. The teams are on opposite ends of the offensive spectrum; Buduscnost is last in scoring (64.3 ppg.) and two-point shooting (40.7%), while Panathinaikos is fourth in both scoring (88.3 ppg.) and two-point accuracy (58.9%).

Buducnost has yet to win this season and one can see why: it is last in the league in scoring (64.3 ppg.), more than 10 points away from the second-lowest scoring team. The hosts will need to increase those numbers fast if they want chances to win games in the EuroLeague. The problem is that four players – Early Clark, Alen Omic, Gordic and Jackson – combine for almost 42 points out of those 64. Buducnost needs more players to step up and start contributing.

Panathinaikos boasts the fourth-best offense in the league, but also the third-weakest defense. The Greens will have to return to their traditionally strong defense to fare better. Against Buducnost it can be a bit easier because the opponent has the lowest scoring average in the league, but that is no guarantee either. The connection between Calathes and Keith Langford with players in the paint like James Gist and Stephane Lasme will remain a major weapon for the visitors in this game.

Tip: 1 (+9.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 02/11/2018, 10:30 CET)

Zalgiris – Real Madrid

Reigning Turkish Airlines EuroLeague champion Real Madrid will try to keep its perfect season intact when it visits Zalgiris Kaunas. It’s a clash of two teams that played at the 2018 Final Four, and one where Zalgiris will be looking for its first home win of the season after it previously lost to KRILOBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz and Fenerbahce Istanbul. However, Zalgiris got a big boost of confidence last week and is coming off its first-ever road win against Panathinaikos OPAP Athens, a game where it dominated the rebounds and saw Brandon Davies lead the way with 18 points.

Zalgiris had been sitting in the cellar of league’s rebounding department until Round 4, but the road overtime win against Panathinaikos last week showed what kind of magic dominance on the boards can be for the team. Last week Coach Sarunas Jasikevicius’s men set the league’s season-high with 46 rebounds and it led Zalgiris to a win in a place it never won before in club history. And it was a team effort, too, with Aaron White and Nate Wolters contributing greatly and setting their respective career-highs. To break another bad losing streak in consecutive weeks, Zalgiris might need another similar rebounding performance.

The defending champs enter the game posting a league-high 96.5 points per contest, having not scored fewer than 89 points in any game. Madrid will certainly try to play the high-tempo basketball that it fancies and have point guards Sergio Llull and Facundo Campazzo keep the pace and the rhythm to their team’s liking. With Madrid also allowing a league-low 78 points per game and Zalgiris averaging 13 points fewer per game, uptempo basketball seems like Madrid’s recipe for success.

Tip: Race to 20 points – Zalgiris at 2.20 with bet365
(Price correct at 02/11/2018, 10:30 CET)

Milano – Anadolu Efes

The final game in Round 5 of the Turkish Airlines EuroLeague Regular Season brings us to the fashion capital, where AX Armani Exchange Olimpia Milan hosts Anadolu Efes Istanbul. It’s a clash of teams in good form, each with 3-1 records and the only defeats coming at the hands of Final Four teams from last season. Milan edged Khimki Moscow Region in its last game, while Efes came from behind to beat Fenerbahce in the Istanbul derby. The teams are both among the top in the league in scoring – Milan is fifth and Efes sixth with 86.8 and 85.8 points per game, respectively, but Milan (36.5 rpg.) is among the better rebounding teams and Efes (29.3 rpg.) ranks near the bottom.

So far this season, Milan has held its opponents to 49.7% shooting on two-pointers, which is the third-lowest number in the league. However, too many of those missed shots wind up in the other teams’ hands; Milan has allowed 13.3 offensive rebounds, which is the second-most of any team this season. If Milan can lock down the boards and deny Efes second chances, it will be in a much better position to win this game.

Despite the presences of Dunston and Tibor Pleiss at center, Efes has allowed opposing teams to make 61.9% of their two-point shots, which is the third highest in the league. Moreover, Efes’s opponents have averaged 8.8 steals per game, many of which turn into easy baskets at the other end. Milan has guards who like to penetrate and powerful weapons inside, so Efes must improve its interior defense and take good care of the ball to improve its chances in this game.

Efes’ Rodrigue Beubois is questionable for the game against Milan.

Tip: Over 165.5 at 1.92 with Novibet
(Price correct at 02/11/2018, 10:30 CET)

Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster

Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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Daily Basketball Picks

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29/01/2020NBAPOR Blazers v HOU Rockets21.95
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27/01/2020NBAUTA Jazz v HOU Rockets2 (+10.5)1.90
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17/01/2020ELPanathinaikos v ZalgirisUnder 163.51.90
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17/01/2020ELOlympiacos v Bayern1 (-6.5)1.90
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15/01/2020ELPanathinaikos v BayernOver 152.51.90
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15/01/2020ELZenit v BaskoniaOver 165.51.90
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14/01/2020ELOlympiacos v ALBA Berlin1 (-6.5)1.86
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14/01/2020ELCSKA Moscow v Real MadridOver 166.51.90
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10/01/2020ELBarcelona v Anadolu EfesOver 168.01.90
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09/01/2020ELMilano v Panathinaikos21.90
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07/01/2020NBATOR Raptors v POR Trail BlazersOver 220.01.90
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05/01/2020NBACLE Cavaliers v MIN Timberwolves2 (-1.5)1.90
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04/01/2020NBAATL Hawks v IND PacersOver 222.01.90
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02/01/2020NBAMIA Heat v TOR Raptors2 (+5.5)1.90
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* Odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change.

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 21 – Friday

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Euroleague Basketball Tips

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Fenerbahce – Milano

After a three-game winning streak, Fenerbahce (8-12) suffered a home loss against FC Barcelona but has this opportunity to bounce back in front of its home crowd. Milan (10-10) is on a seven-game road losing streak. Its last victory away from Mediolanum Forum came in late October. Nando De Colo (18.8 ppg.) is Fenerbahce’s top scorer, followed by Derrick Williams (11.8) and Kostas Sloukas (11.3). Sergio Rodriguez (13.2), Vladimir Micov (11.5) and Keifer Sykes (10.5) are leading Milan’s offense right now.

Fenerbahce’s improved defense has made it more competitive. The Turkish powerhouse has allowed 80.7 points on average this season, but just 69.7 in the last three games. Rebounding remains an issue, as Fenerbahce ranks last with 29.7 boards per game, and allows 11.3 offensive rebounds on average. If Fenerbahce is able to control the defensive boards, players like De Colo, Sloukas, Vesely and Luigi Datome will take care of business at the other end.

Milan is one of the best teams at defensive rebounds (25.3 drpg.) but ranks really low in offensive boards (9.4 orpg.), which is particularly worrying when the Italian powerhouse is last in two-point shooting percentage (46.6%). Milan does a great job at limiting turnovers, with just 11.8 on average. With the right ball circulation, coach Ettore Messina’s team has enough talent everywhere to improve that shooting percentage and eventually be more competitive.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 156.0 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 24/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Zalgiris – ALBA Berlin

Zalgiris (6-14) comes off a narrow road loss against Panathinaikos but has been doing better. After a recent nine-game losing streak, Zalgiris went on to win three of its next five games. ALBA (7-13) comes off a triumphant double-round week, with road wins against Olympiacos and Zvezda, and now looks for another one. Zach LeDay (10.9 ppg.), Lukas Lekavicius (10.8) and Jock Landale (10.5) are leading Zalgiris right now. Rokas Giedraitis (13.5) is ALBA’s top scorer, followed by Marcus Eriksson (10.9) and Martin Hermannsson (10.7).

Zalgiris is hitting just a third of its three-point shots (78-of-234, 33.3%) at home and is also struggling (49.0%) inside the arc. Feeding off its crowd’s energy will be very important for Zalgiris, as well as sharing the ball better, considering that it ranks 17th assists at 15.7 per game. Lekavicius has been on fire lately, but he will need help, especially from his frontcourt teammates, to make Zalgiris as competitive as it can be.

ALBA leads the EuroLeague in turnovers (14.5 per game), a critical issue to make the most out of its run-and-gun offense. ALBA is also first in assists (19.8 apg.) despite not having the best shooting percentages (50.3% 2FG, 38.8% 3FG). Overcoming the strong basketball atmosphere at Zalgirio Arena will be important for ALBA, as well as getting its most experienced players – Sikma, Siva and Giedraitis – involved on offense.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-6.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 24/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

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Panathinaikos – Villeurbanne

Panathinaikos (12-8) comes off a solid double-round week with come-from-behind home wins against FC Bayern Munich and Zalgiris Kaunas. On the other hand, ASVEL (8-12) is on a four-game losing streak and must battle hard in the Greek capital to snap it. Jimmer Fredette (14.3 ppg.) is Panathinaikos’s top scorer, followed by DeShaun Thomas (14.2) and Nick Calathes (13.6). Former Panathinaikos center Adreian Payne (11.1) is ASVEL’s top scorer, followed by David Lighty (9.8) and Livio Jean-Charles (8.9).

Panathinaikos is the highest-scoring team in the competition (89.0 ppg.) and leads the EuroLeague in two-point attempts (43.0 per game) with great efficiency (56.2%) inside the arc. Almost half of the team’s assists (18.6 apg.) come from Calathes, so grabbing defensive rebounds and allowing him to create for others will be, as usual, a big key for the Greens. Panathinaikos has a lot of great finishers – Tyrese Rice, Ioannis Papapetrou, Georgios Papagiannis, Thomas… – so finding who’s hot, a Calathes specialty, will be critical, too.

ASVEL is the lowest scoring team on the road (66.9 ppg.) and allows 84.7 points on average away from The Astroballe. Better ball circulation is needed to improve its shooting percentages (47.8% 2FG, 32.0% 3FG), so ASVEL relies on Taylor and Diot not only to slow Calathes down, but to find the right rhythm on offense, finding good shots and making the most out of its athletic advantage in the paint. If Jean-Charles, Jekiri and Payne can dominate inside and attack the offensive glass, ASVEL will have a better chance to beat Panathinaikos again.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-13.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 24/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Real Madrid – Anadolu Efes

The top two teams in the standings stage a monumental showdown to finish off Round 21. League leaders Efes (17-3) set itself apart with a two-game sweep last week, while Real (15-5) saw a 13-game win streak stopped with consecutive losses and now has three 14-win teams breathing down its neck, making this result especially important for the hosts, who are unbeaten at home this season. Efes has an 8-1 road record, however.

Real rarely finds itself hard-pressed to outgun opponents, but that happened in its last loss, at Khimki Moscow Region, and Efes outscores the hosts 87.4 to 84.4 points per game. For that reason, Tavares and defensive aces Jeffery Taylor and Facundo Campazzo will be important on Friday. Both teams allow the same amount of points (77.4 per game) but Real holds opponents to much lower PIRs on average, and that effort has to be focused on keeping the Efes scorers, especially red-hot Shane Larkin, from going off.

Although Efes seems to be able to do no wrong, lately, it will need to do a lot right to win in the Spanish capital. Protecting the perimeter, where Madrid ranks second with 11.2 triples per game, will be job one. Getting around Tavares for good shots close to the basket will be another challenge. Power forward Chris Singleton may have a big role to play in helping lure Tavares outside, especially if Real is without its own corner ace, Anthony Randolph, who has missed the last four games due to injury.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 168.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 24/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


Euroleague Standings

Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 20 – Friday

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Euroleague Basketball Tips

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CSKA Moscow – Baskonia

CSKA (13-6) comes off a hard-fought victory against Real Madrid and wants to keep its momentum going. Baskonia (7-12) has only won twice in the last nine games and arrives in Moscow after a road loss against Zenit St Petersburg. Mike James (20.8 ppg.) has been CSKA’s top scorer until now, followed by Darrun Hilliard (10.8) and Kyle Hines (9.2). Toko Shengelia (16.7 ppg., 6.0 rpg.), Nik Stauskas (9.7) and Shavon Shields (8.3) have led Baskonia’s offense until now.

CSKA limited Real, one of the best offenses in the competition, to just 55 points, and will need the same defensive mentality against Baskonia. After pulling down 44 against Real, CSKA now leads the rebounds standings at 38.1 per night, getting 26.2 defensive boards on average. That is mandatory for CSKA to get going in transition, making the most out of mobile big men like Nikita Kurbanov, Johannes Voigtmann and Hines.

Baskonia allowed Zenit to score 77.4% of its two-point shots, the second highest percentage in the EuroLeague this season. Protecting the paint will be mandatory for Baskonia. Its big men – Michael Eric, Youssupha Fall and Ilimane Diop – must be ready to be aggressive down low. Baskonia keeps struggling from the three-point line (28% against Zenit, 32.5% overall) and only improving those shooting numbers will make the team more competitive.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Zenit – Valencia

Zenit (6-13) has won consecutive games for the first time this season, using great defense to do so. Valencia (9-10) is also in a good moment, coming off a road victory against Khimki Moscow Region. After a 0-5 start, Valencia is 9-5 in the last 14 games. Gustavo Ayon (12.3 ppg.) is Zenit’s top scorer this season, followed by Will Thomas (10.9) and Mateusz Ponitka (10.0). Jordan Loyd (11.2), Fernando San Emeterio (7.9) and Alberto Abalde (7.3) will be Valencia’s leaders in this game.

Zenit is allowing 79.4 points per game this season but has dramatically improve those numbers in the last four games, allowing just 71.3 on average. That defensive improvement has allowed the team to find more balance on offense, hitting 77.4% of its two-point shots against Baskonia this week. Without Dubljevic and Tobey on court for Valencia, Zenit must get Colton Iverson and Ayon involved to make the most of its size advantage and depth in the paint.

Valencia has averaged 91.5 points over the last four games, winning three of them, and must try to speed up the game tempo against a defensive-minded team like Zenit. It is mandatory for Valencia to make the most out of its depth at point guard, with Sam Van Rossom, Quino Colom and Guillem Vives giving coach Jaume Ponsarnau plenty of options. Stopping Will Thomas down low and getting Fernando San Emeterio and Alberto Abalde involved at both wings will be other keys for the Spanish powerhouse.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+2.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Crvena Zvezda – ALBA Berlin

After four consecutive wins, Zvezda (9-10) suffered a home loss against Zalgiris Kaunas on Wednesday and wants to bounce back right away. ALBA (6-13) comes off a brilliant road victory against Olympiacos Piraeus and wants to keep its momentum going. Lorenzo Brown (14.1 ppg.) has been Zvezda’s top scorer until now, followed by recently signed Kevin Punter (12.7) and Vladimir Stimac (12.3). Rokas Giedraitis (13.8), Marcus Eriksson (10.9) and Luke Sikma (9.9, 6.2 rpg.) are leading ALBA right now.

Zvezda has averaged 81.0 points since Punter joined the team, as he has made the team’s offense more unpredictable. Zvezda is struggling to shoot the ball with high percentages at home (49.1% 2FG, 34.7% 3FG in Belgrade) and has a good opportunity to improve those numbers. Stimac and Kuzmic have a size advantage in the paint while Brown, Baron, Punter and Dejan Davidovac give coach Dragan Sakota more options. Charging the offensive glass will be important to stop ALBA’s transition game.

ALBA is one of the highest-scoring teams in the competition (84.3 ppg.) and leads the 2019-20 EuroLeague in assists (19.8 apg.). The German powerhouse, however, hits just 49.8% of its two-point shots on average and has struggled to rebound the ball under its own rim, grabbing just 22.6 defensive rebounds per game while allowing 10.3 offensive boards to its opponents. Boxing out and locking down the glass will lead to more transitions, in which players like Giedraitis, Niels Giffey and Peyton Siva feel most comfortable.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-5.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

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Olympiacos – Bayern

Olympiacos (7-12) comes off a tough home loss against ALBA Berlin and has only managed to win twice in the last eight showdowns. Bayern (6-13) is on a five-game losing streak, its longest in the competition since 2014, and needs a victory as soon as possible. Georgios Printezis (12.1 ppg.) has been Olympiacos’s top scorer until now, followed by Nikola Milutinov (10.7) and Vassilis Spanoulis (10.6). For Bayern, Greg Monroe (12.7 ppg.), Vladimir Lucic (11.7) and Maodo Lo (9.3) have been leading the offense until now.

Olympiacos has struggled on defense, allowing 92.7 points on average in the last six games. Head coach Georgios Bartzokas has a reputation as a defensive coach and is expected to bring those numbers down. Olympiacos relies on its legendary core of players (Spanoulis, Printezis, Milutinov, Kostas Papanikolaou) to step up at both ends, preventing Bayern from running the floor, and to play with extra patience on offense.

Bayern has struggled to protect its paint, as opponents hit 55.6% of their two-point shots and grab 10.9 offensive rebounds on average. Its big men – mainly Monroe, Barthel, Mathias Lessort and Leon Radosevic – must make an extra effort to box out, as getting in transition will benefit Bayern’s many fast perimeter players such as Lo, Lucic and Nihad Dedovic. Josh Huestis gives Bayern extra explosiveness, much needed against a deep team like Olympiacos.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-6.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Panathinaikos – Zalgiris

Zalgiris (6-13) is arriving in Athens running high on confidence after having won three of its last four games, but Panathinaikos (11-8) and its high-scoring offense intend to keep protecting the home floor. Nick Calathes is running the show for Panathinaikos with 13.6 points, 9.4 assists and 4.9 rebounds, but the Greens’ two best scorers are Jimmer Fredette (14.5 ppg.) and DeShaun Thomas (14.1). Zalgiris is missing its top scorer, Marius Grigonis, and has big men Zach LeDay (11.0 ppg. 4.7 rpg.) and Jock Landale (10.7 ppg. 4.4 rpg.) carry the biggest load. Thomas Walkup who does a bit of everything with 9.6 points, 4.9 assists, 3.5 rebounds and 1.2 steals.

No team allows more offensive rebounds (13.2) or more three-pointer per game (10.7) per game than Panathinaikos. If the team can control either of the two defensive segments, it will have an opportunity to get its offense in transition and running, and no one this season does it better than Panathinaikos, the best scoring team in the competition, averaging 88.6 points.

It is imperative for Zalgiris to keep Panathinaikos from running and engaging in a shootout. The hosts have the highest-scoring offense, but also one of the most porous defenses, which allows 85.8 points on average. That’s where Zalgiris’s chances lie, playing long and patient possessions and attacking the offensive glass. If Zalgiris also gets an efficient three-point shooting night, it will have its chances in OAKA.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 163.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Villeurbanne

Efes is in its best moment of the season, overcoming injuries to lead the standings (16-3). It is on a four-game winning streak. ASVEL (8-11) has lost its last three EuroLeague games and its only road victory, against Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade, was in mid-November. Shane Larkin (20.7 ppg., 3.9 apg.), Krunoslav Simon (9.3) and Tibor Pleiss (8.6) are Efes’s leaders in this game. Adreian Payne (11.0 ppg.) is ASVEL’s top scorer, followed by David Lighty (10.3) and Tonye Jekiri (9.0).

Efes is the second-highest scoring team in the competition (86.6 ppg.) and has been equally unstoppable (87.0) in the last two games without Micic. Its outstanding ball circulation (1.76 assists per turnover) allows Efes to shoot the ball with high percentages (57.0% 2FG, 39.9% 3FG). Running its offense through Larkin is where it all starts for Efes, as he opens all sort of options for its many talented players.

After a strong defensive start to the competition, ASVEL is allowing opponents to shoot the ball with great effectiveness (54.5% 2FG, 39.0% 3FG), so lowering those numbers would be a first step for the French champs. ASVEL has to make the most out of its athleticism in the paint, trying to get Pleiss into foul trouble, and need Diot and Taylor to put Larkin into some sort of trouble at both ends of the floor, especially on offense.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 158.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Get up to £100 in Bet Credits!

News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


Euroleague Standings

Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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