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Euroleague Preview & Tips – Round 1 – 04/10/2019

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Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

Zalgiris – Baskonia

Both of these teams made it to the Turkish Airlines EuroLeague Playoffs last season. They start a new campaign with the same goal. Each underwent many roster changes in the off-season, but managed to keep signature players who will allow them to be competitive from Day One. Expect the first of many basketball parties in Zalgirio Arena, as basketball is a religion in Lithuania and the atmosphere in Kaunas is second to none.

Stopping Toko Shengelia and Fall down low will be the biggest key for Zalgiris, which counts on Landale, Hayes, LeDay and Paulius Jankunas to do so. Zalgiris needs its best shooters – Arturas Milaknis and Marius Grigonis – to be in top shape against two of the best three-point marksmen around, Stauskas and Matt Janning. Preventing Henry and Luca Vildoza from controlling the game tempo will be another critical key for the hosts.

Shavon Shields and Patricio Garino give Baskonia a physical advantage at the small forward position due to their quickness, athleticism and all-around skills. Shengelia continues as the team’s leader and must give his best against Jankunas and LeDay, but Shields, Janning and Stauskas will be ready to help him from the perimeter. Fall has what it takes to dominate and the whole team knows that. Expect him to be found often around the basket.

Nikolas Stauskas will miss the EuroLeague opener due to injury.

Tip: 2 at Half Time at 2.20 with bet365
(Price correct at 04/10/2019, 11:05 CET, could have changed)

Anadolu Efes – Barcelona

In one of the most intriguing opening-round games you could hope for, Efes and Barcelona square off at Sinan Erdem Dome in a rematch of their five-game EuroLeague Playoffs series from last season. Efes took the series 3-2 and proceeded to reach the championship game, while Barcelona will surely want to showcase what the team can do at the start of a season with the highest of expectations.

Efes had great success hitting from downtown last season. Efes set an all-time single-season record with 385 three-pointers made, and that was helped by its playoff against Barcelona. Coach Ergin Ataman’s team made a single-series record 63 triples, or 12.6 per game, in those five playoff games. With all the size and rebounding ability Barcelona has inside, making shots from downtown and opening up the paint with be key for Efes once again.

Adrien Moerman will be missing the season opener against Barcelona. Rodrigue Beubois, Shane Larkin and James Anderson are questionable for the game.

With so much firepower at all positions, it looks like head coach Svetislav Pesic could have a good problem. However, it would be no surprise if it still takes time for everything and everybody to synch together for Barcelona, on both ends of the floor. Similar to last season, Barcelona will have one of the best frontcourts in all the EuroLeague. Using that depth, and controlling the boards will be very important in a tough road environment at the start of the season.

Tip: Over 163.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 04/10/2019, 11:05 CET, could have changed)

ALBA Berlin – Zenit

It’s a historic night for Zenit, which will play in its first-ever Turkish Airlines EuroLeague game, but the occasion is not much less significant for ALBA, which returns to the competition for the first time in five years, and for the third time this decade. Both teams are determined to have a strong showing in the German capital and to get their EuroLeague journey going strong.

ALBA played some of the most exciting basketball in the EuroCup last season, averaging 87.1 points and 21.8 assists, setting all-time record totals in each category. Having the same coaching philosophy, the core of the roster intact, and few experienced additions can only boost the team’s performance. ALBA will rely on its up-tempo high-scoring offense again this season again, starting with this opener against Zenit.

Team leader Peyton Siva will be out with injury for this EuroLeague opener. Stefan Peno and Joohannes Thiemann (groin injury) will not play in Round 1, either.

Zenit certainly has a great size – and experience – advantage inside with Ayon, Iverson, Thomas, Abromaitis and Zubkov, and will definitely try to put it to use. And let’s not forget about Ponitka, who is capable to do just about everything for his team on the floor, including score from long range. If Abromaitis, Zubkov and Thomas are successful in stretching the floor with outside shots, that size inside could become a key factor for Zenit’s hopes of a victory.

Anton Pushkov will probably miss the next three weeks with a hand injury. Dmitry Khvostov has re-joined the team for pracices but he will probably not play against ALBA.

Tip: X (Tied at end of regulation) at 9.00 with bet365
(Price correct at 04/10/2019, 11:05 CET, could have changed)

Villeurbanne – Olympiacos

ASVEL returns to the Turkish Airlines EuroLeague after a decade away, but Olympiacos will try to play the role of a villain on Friday night at the Astroballe. The reigning French champions have high aspirations in this campaign, and in seasons to come, while a perennial title contender, Olympiacos, tries to bounce back after missing out on the EuroLeague playoffs by a virtue of a tiebreaker last season.

ASVEL has just four players who have previously appeared in a EuroLeague game, and with coach Zvezdan Mitrovic also making his debut, the team will need to be very disciplined and take care of the ball against an experienced opponent ready to punish every mistake. ASVEL played tremendous defense in the EuroCup last season and excelled in offensive rebounding, and it will certainly try to use the same recipe, in this opening clash.

It is no secret that for almost an entire decade Olympicos would go as far as its mastermind Vassilis Spanoulis would take it. But going on the road against an opponent and crowd eager to taste EuroLeague success, it will be a must for the Reds to take control of the game’s rhythm from the very start. That means Spanoulis will have a key role once again, but so will his fellow playmaking teammate Will Cherry. If that duo takes control of the game, Olympiacos will be on a good path.

Aleksey Pokusevski did not travel for Round 1.

Tip: 2 at 1.57 with bet365
(Price correct at 04/10/2019, 11:05 CET, could have changed)

Valencia – CSKA Moscow

The 7DAYS EuroCup reigning champion hosts last season’s Turkish Airlines EuroLeague winner in what promises to be a truly exciting showdown. Valencia was undefeated at home in the EuroCup last season. Its last home loss in European competition came on March 8, 2018 in the EuroLeague. CSKA has aced its EuroLeague opener in each of the last eight seasons and aims to keep that streak going. Expect an extraordinary basketball atmosphere at Pabellon Fuente de San Luis.

Valencia needs to take James out of his rhythm and counts on three different point guards to do so: Colom, Sam Van Rossom and especially Guillem Vives, their best defensive player at that spot. Valencia has a lot of versatile players, such as Alberto Abalde, Aaron Doornekamp and Joan Sastre, who are able to look for mismatches and make good decisions on offense. Defense and locking the defensive board could lead Valencia to a very important win.

Final Four MVP Will Clyburn is set to have more responsibilities from now on and should start leading CSKA right away. Clyburn, Nikita Kurbanov and Andrey Vorontsevich – who comes off a strong World Cup last month – give head coach Dimitris Itoudis plenty of size, strength and versatility at both forwards. Hilliard and Daniel Hackett should be ready to stop Valencia’s shooters, Marinkovic and Loyd, too.

Kostas Koufos did not travel with CSKA due to a foot injury

Tip: Over 162.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 04/10/2019, 11:05 CET, could have changed)

 

Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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* Odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change.

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 29 – Thursday

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Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

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CSKA Moscow – ALBA Berlin

Back in-form CSKA Moscow will look to keep its momentum going when it hosts ALBA Berlin on Thursday. After dropping three of four, CSKA won twice last week, including a 31-point thumping of Panathinaikos in Athens. Every win is crucial for the champs, who are fighting for homecourt advantage in the playoffs. ALBA, which has lost three in a row, could see its playoff hopes formally put to an end if it losses and other results go the other way.

CSKA always does a great job of picking apart the opponents’ weaknesses and against ALBA it surely knows that by moving the ball and getting penetration or passing to the big men inside it will get great looks against ALBA, which allows a league-high 57.6% of two-point shots against opponents. Strong play from the CSKA bigs could decide this game.

While three-point shooting will be important to this game – the teams are ranked third (ALBA, 39.6%) and fourth (CSKA, 39.2%) in the league in three-point accuracy, rebounding for ALBA will be paramount. CSKA leads the league in rebounding (37.8 rpg.) and its league-best 26.0 defensive rebounds per game ignite many fast breaks. ALBA is a strong offensive rebounding team (fourth, 11.4 prpg.) and will need to be a factor there to avoid CSKA getting easy baskets in transition.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 167.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Valencia

A host with only first place left to clinch faces a visitor struggling for survival when Efes (24-4) welcomes Valencia (12-16) to Istanbul on Thursday. Efes assured itself home-court advantage in the playoffs last Friday when Shane Larkin returned to MVP form in a 91-79 win over Olympiacos Piraeus. Valencia (12-16) suffered its fourth straight loss, 81-83 in heartbreaking fashion to AX Armani Exchange Milan on a game-winning three-pointer to beat the buzzer in overtime. Valencia now shares ninth place just four rounds after having held seventh place alone.

It’s easy to say give the ball to Larkin when he has rained 10 triples and more than 4 points in two separate games this season. But Efes will have to be wary of some things Valencia does well, like offensive rebounds, drawing fouls, making free throws and assist-to-turnover rate, in all of which the visitors rank among the top five in the league. If Efes keeps up an aggressive pace, however, its endless bench could well make the difference.

The visitors would do well to grind it out, slow the game, and somehow keep both Larkin and Micic to a minimum of shots. They have a lot to do with Efes ranking first in both two- and three-point accuracy, so Valencia’s defenders will likely risk trying to turn off the spigot at its source. Not many defenses have had luck with that, but disrupting the perimeter play of Efes would change the dynamic of the game, and that’s not a bad way to try to beat the league leaders.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-11.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Maccabi – Baskonia

Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv will look to rebound from a loss in Belgrade when it meets red-hot KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz. Maccabi had won five in a row before its loss to Crvena Zvezda and is neck-and-neck with CSKA Moscow for fourth place, which is worth homecourt advantage in the playoffs. Baskonia has won three in a row to join a heated playoff race and at 12-16 in now one of five teams that is one win outside the playoff zone.

The test of rebounding in the game will be when Baskonia misses shots. Coach Ivanovic’s men are third in the league in offensive rebounds (11.5 orpg.) and Maccabi is second in defensive boards (25.7 drpg.). If Baskonia can make noise on the offensive glass and get a few extra second-chance baskets, it could go a long way. But if Maccabi locks down the defensive boards and turns them into transition points, the Israeli champs will be in pole position.

It is as important as ever for Baskonia to take good care of the ball against Maccabi. Baskonia has committed the second-most turnovers in the league (14.3 TOpg.), while Maccabi has taken more steals than any other team (7.8 spg.). There are many players on the Maccabi defense with quick hands and Baskonia must rise to the challenge to keep them at bay.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+8.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Real Madrid – Crvena Zvezda

Two teams with different goals in mind will meet in Round 29 when Real Madrid (22-6) hosts Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (11-17). Real has clinched a playoff berth and has won seven straight games, including last week against ASVEL at home. The hosts are looking to get the home-court advantage for the next phase. On the other side, Zvezda managed to win again last week after losing eight of its previous nine games. The Serbian champs defeated red-hot Maccabi at home to remain in the playoff hunt.

The hosts average almost 10 points more per game than the visitors,  are on a winning run and still fighting for a tangible goal. It’s hard to deny that going into the game, Real is the favorite. Los Blancos have better numbers on all fronts and that fact is summed up with a difference of average PIR of 102.6 vs. 77.5 in favor of Real. However, Zvezda is still looking for a playoff ticket and the last home win against such a solid team as Maccabi at this point could give the guests a boost of morale that could be dangerous for the hosts to underestimate.

Zvezda will land in Madrid with a lot of things at stake. It has everything to win… and everything to lose also. One could expect that the visitors can drop this game in the Spanish capital, but at this moment, Zvezda is still playing for a playoff ticket so winning in Madrid has become almost mandatory. It won’t be easy because Real is on a roll and is also playing for a specific goal. The visitors will have to come into the game pumped by the last win against Maccabi and with the idea to steal an upset that would put them in a good position to fight for one of the last places in the next phase.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.0 at 1.90 with bet365

(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 28 – Friday

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Mirotic Barca

Euroleague Basketball Tips

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Khimki – Fenerbahce

Two teams in the thick of the playoffs race will face each other on Friday when Khimki Moscow Region (12-15) hosts Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul (13-14) for Round 28. After having won three in a row, Khimki’s streak came to a halt earlier this week at Zalgiris, while Fener won at home against Zvezda and finally entered the playoff positions.

Going into the game, Khimki’s best option will probably be to unleash its better offense. Fenerbahce is also the worst team of the league under the boards, so if the hosts manage to control those defensive rebounds and run on offense, thanks to their second-best assists numbers in the league, they could have solid options to take this win.

Fenerbahce finally overcame the mental obstacle of being outside of the playoffs zone, and seems to be getting up to speed. Even if Khimki shows better numbers on almost all aspects, the biggest weapon for the guests will be a strong mentality that is just getting stronger week after week and, of course, the second-best three-point shooting in the league.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 at 2.20 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Olympiacos

A classic EuroLeague matchup will live a new edition on Friday when league leader Anadolu Efes Istanbul (23-4) welcomes Olympiacos Piraeus (12-15) for Round 28. Efes comes off a rare loss earlier in the week at Maccabi that snapped its 11-game winning streak. The hosts will be facing the Reds, who land in Turkey fresh off a close win at home in the Greek derby against Panathinaikos earlier this week.

It’s kind of ironic that Efes suffered its first loss in 12 rounds just when it had its full roster available again. The hosts are the second-best offensive team in the league, and this loss shows that they are human after all, but it could also be a wake-up call just at the right time. Efes is already in the playoffs, but a win in this game combined with either a Maccabi or CSKA Moscow loss, would secure home-court advantage for the hosts in the next phase.

Olympiacos is having one of the most irregular seasons of the last decade, and having Vassilis Spanoulis and Nikola Milutinov sidelined does not help, either, However, the Reds have won three of their last four games and they are still pushing hard to make the playoffs in a tough competition. On paper, Efes is basically better at everything this season, but Olympiacos is famous for beating the odds, and the fact that they play on the road with the chance to avenge the home loss earlier this season just adds to the motivation.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 158.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Crvena Zvezda – Maccabi

Playoffs hopeful Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (10-17) will welcome Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv (19-8), a team that just punched its postseason ticket, on Friday for Round 28 of this double-feature week. The hosts are going through a rough patch, having lost eight of their last nine games, including a close one at Fenerbahce earlier this week, 66-63. On the other hand, Maccabi comes from a thrilling home win over Efes, 77-75, that increased its winning streak to five games and secured the club a playoff berth for the first time since 2015.

The hosts need to get out of the dark zone they are in right now. A motivated and happy team like Maccabi might not be the best option to do that, but Zvezda plays at home and that is always a big factor in any game. Maccabi does not have many weak points, but its free-throw percentage is the third-worst in the league, so stepping up on defense and then sending the guests to the line could work in Zvezda’s favor for this game.

Maccabi is in a good place right now. The team is playing well, the wins keep coming in and the playoffs are a reality once more after four seasons. Now it’s just a matter to keep pushing in order to earn home-court advantage. Maccabi has the upper hand in this game, especially in offense, and also with the second-best numbers of the league under the boards. Zvezda also has the worst percentage in two-pointers, so paying attention to defense could bring a big payoff to the guests.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-4.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Barcelona – Bayern

Two teams in opposite places will face each other on Friday as already qualified FC Barcelona (21-6) welcomes FC Bayern Munich (8-19) for Round 28. Barca is one of the hottest teams in the league, with eight consecutive wins, including on Wednesday against another German team, ALBA. The hosts also have the February MVP, Nikola Mirotic, on a roll. Bayern, on the other hand, has lost 11 of its last 13 games, including at home to Baskonia earlier this week, and at risk of soon being mathematically ruled out of the playoffs race.

It all looks bright for Barca going into this game. The hosts are facing the second-worst offense in the league, and the second-worst team in rebounds per game. All in all, Barcelona averages a PIR of 20 more than Bayern per game, plus the hosts are playing well and winning games like they had not done for quite a few seasons now. If Barca manages to execute its game plan, it should be able to add another win and get closer to home-court advantage in the playoffs.

Bayern is in a rough moment of the season and the fact that it plays on the road against one of the hottest teams does not help. Barca is a talented team with a deep bench, so Bayern will have to clench its teeth from tip-off and try to start building a win through defense. Expect the visitors to base their game on going inside to Greg Monroe and Danilo Barthel, and hope that creates space for shooters like Petteri Koponen, who will be playing on his former home floor.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Baskonia – ALBA Berlin

Two teams still in the race for the playoffs will square off on Friday when KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (11-16) welcomes ALBA Berlin (9-18) in Round 28. Baskonia has won three of its last four games, including the last road win at Bayern, and seems to be making a big push towards the postseason spots. ALBA has lost three of its last four games and needs to get back to the winning track if it wants to retain some options.

Baskonia has the worst offense in the league and plays against the fourth-best. That could seem a tall order for the hosts, but these teams are in opposite trends and Baskonia stands at the better end of those. Baskonia is also the EuroLeague team averaging the least assists per game, while ALBA is third, so this will be a clash of styles. If Baskonia manages to put its third-ranked defense at the top of its priority list against an opponent that gives up the most points this season, the hosts could be on their way to their fourth win in five games.

ALBA just fell short of defeating Barcelona in Berlin, and has now lost three of its last four games. Against Baskonia it will be a duel of opposite styles. ALBA will have to by-pass the tough defense of the hosts in order to display its fun-to-watch offense. If those league-best assists flow and those threes fall in the basket (third best numbers in the league for ALBA), the guests could upset Baskonia for a second time this season, even if missing some players like Peyton Siva.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-5.5) at 1.95 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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