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Euroleague Preview & Tips – Round 2 – 10/10/2019

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Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

Crvena Zvezda – Fenerbahce

Crvena Zvezda hosts Fenerbahce in its season opener in what is expected to be a packed Stark Arena on Thursday night. Both teams will try to avoid dropping to 0-2 after their respective comeback attempts fell short on the road in the opening round. Zvezda suffered an 87-82 defeat at the hands of Panathinaikos OPAP Athens, while a depleted Fenerbahce battled hard but lost 81-77 against Real Madrid.

Zvezda needs to enter the game with high energy. Fenerbahce might be short-handed under the rims, too, and if Zvezda can use that and get control of the boards that could open up a lot of things for the hosts. It would not only help Zvezda set its own pace for the game, but give it opportunities to run in transition, something this team likes to do. It could also get the fans engaged and with considering the energy from the stands, the team should try to run on the break early and often.

Big man Ognjen Kuzmic is the only sidelined player against Fenerbahce.

Defense has been the forte of Fenerbahce ever since Coach Obradovic took over at the helm and the team will need a solid performance on that end in this one, too. Historically, Fenerbahce has never allowed Zvezda more than 75 points in any of their eight head-to-head games in the competition since 2015, and it the same recipe in this road game once again could do wonders for Nando De Colo, Kostas Sloukas and company.

Big man Jan Vesely just started practicing with the group, but he travelled to Belgrade. Joffrey Lauvergne stayed in Istanbul to recover from injury.

basketball prediction Tip: 2/2 at HT/FT at 1.80 with bet365
(Price correct at 10/10/2019, 10:30 CET, could have changed)

CSKA Moscow v Bayern Munich

The champs welcome Bayern for their home opener on Thursday in a showdown between Round 1 winners. CSKA got big games from a pair of newcomers, Mike James and Darrun Hilliard, in a road win at Valencia Basket. Bayern rode Vladimir Lucic and Nihad Dedovic to a victory over AX Armani Exchange Milan. This will be the fifth meeting ever between the clubs and CSKA has won all four to date.

CSKA’s offensive efficiency was off the charts in its opener; the team shot 17 for 31 (54.8%) on both two-pointers and three-pointers. Such balance between two- and three-point attempts with such astounding accuracy will keep defenses on their heels. CSKA was also strong on the defensive glass (29 boards compared to 9 offensive rebounds for its opponent). That mix should put CSKA in pole position at home.

Much attention was paid to how Bayern upgraded its frontline over the summer, but in Round 1 it was the perimeter players who got the job done. The starting guards and swingman totaled 46 points and their back-ups added 18 more (though small forward Paul Zipser did play a few minutes at the ‘4’). If Maodo Lo, Nihad Dedovic and Vladimir Lucic can have a repeat presence against CSKA, Bayern will be in a good position, especially with the knowledge that the likes of Greg Monroe, Danilo Barthel and co. won’t be kept down for long.

Amazing stat: CSKA has hosted Bayern twice for the Euroleague. The final score in both games (2014 and 2019) was 77-70.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+9.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 10/10/2019, 10:30 CET, could have changed)

Villeurbanne – Panathinaikos

Two teams that got their campaigns off on the right foot clash for the first time ever in EuroLeague action. ASVEL made a triumphant return to the competition after a decade away with an 82-63 win over Olympiacos Piraeus last week and now welcomes another Greek powerhouse to its Astroballe. Panathinaikos had a winning start to the season by holding off Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade 87-82 at home in the opening round.

Under head coach Zvezdan Mitrovic, dating back to last season, ASVEL has been a defensive force that battles on the boards and takes care of the ball. The same was true in Round 1, when ASVEL was the only team that had less than 10 turnovers (9) while allowing just 63 points, the second-fewest in Round 1. The team will need all that discipline on both ends of the floor once again against Panathinaikos.

Theo Maledon, with injury, and Adreian Payne, who is ill, will not be available against Panathinaikos.

Panathinaikos scored 87 points but had just 14 assists compared to 13 turnovers in Round 1. Half of those 14 dishes were served up by the assist-master Nick Calathes. This week the Greens will have to make sure to have good ball movement in order to counter ASVEL’s athleticism, which the hosts have plenty of, both inside and on the perimeter. And there might not be a better player than Calathes to get the job done.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-5.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 10/10/2019, 10:30 CET, could have changed)

Real – Maccabi

Real Madrid will look to mark off back-to-back home wins to start the season when it hosts Maccabi on Thursday. Real held off Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul in Round 1 behind big games from Jeffery Taylor and Facu Campazzo. Maccabi will play its second straight road game after falling short last week at Khimki Moscow Region. Tarik Black and Omri Casspi were Maccabi’s top scorers in the loss.

Real was outrebounded 27-31 by a Fenerbahce team that was missing two of its top rebounders (Jan Vesely and Joffrey Lauvergne). No player collected more than 5 boards. Maccabi at full strength will not be as forgiving on the glass. Walter Tavares, Anthony Randolph and Jordan Mickey must be sure to fight for every rebound both to take advantage of second-chance buckets and on defense to fuel the transition game.

Trey Thompkins is the only player not available for coach Pablo Laso.

Maccabi played strong in the paint last week, but was unable to take advantage of good looks from the outside; the team was 4 for 22 on three-pointers (18.2%). The Israeli champs must raise their success rate from downtown to keep up with Real in the Spanish capital.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 167.0 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 10/10/2019, 10:30 CET, could have changed)

 

News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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* Odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change.

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 29 – Thursday

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CSKA Moscow – ALBA Berlin

Back in-form CSKA Moscow will look to keep its momentum going when it hosts ALBA Berlin on Thursday. After dropping three of four, CSKA won twice last week, including a 31-point thumping of Panathinaikos in Athens. Every win is crucial for the champs, who are fighting for homecourt advantage in the playoffs. ALBA, which has lost three in a row, could see its playoff hopes formally put to an end if it losses and other results go the other way.

CSKA always does a great job of picking apart the opponents’ weaknesses and against ALBA it surely knows that by moving the ball and getting penetration or passing to the big men inside it will get great looks against ALBA, which allows a league-high 57.6% of two-point shots against opponents. Strong play from the CSKA bigs could decide this game.

While three-point shooting will be important to this game – the teams are ranked third (ALBA, 39.6%) and fourth (CSKA, 39.2%) in the league in three-point accuracy, rebounding for ALBA will be paramount. CSKA leads the league in rebounding (37.8 rpg.) and its league-best 26.0 defensive rebounds per game ignite many fast breaks. ALBA is a strong offensive rebounding team (fourth, 11.4 prpg.) and will need to be a factor there to avoid CSKA getting easy baskets in transition.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 167.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Valencia

A host with only first place left to clinch faces a visitor struggling for survival when Efes (24-4) welcomes Valencia (12-16) to Istanbul on Thursday. Efes assured itself home-court advantage in the playoffs last Friday when Shane Larkin returned to MVP form in a 91-79 win over Olympiacos Piraeus. Valencia (12-16) suffered its fourth straight loss, 81-83 in heartbreaking fashion to AX Armani Exchange Milan on a game-winning three-pointer to beat the buzzer in overtime. Valencia now shares ninth place just four rounds after having held seventh place alone.

It’s easy to say give the ball to Larkin when he has rained 10 triples and more than 4 points in two separate games this season. But Efes will have to be wary of some things Valencia does well, like offensive rebounds, drawing fouls, making free throws and assist-to-turnover rate, in all of which the visitors rank among the top five in the league. If Efes keeps up an aggressive pace, however, its endless bench could well make the difference.

The visitors would do well to grind it out, slow the game, and somehow keep both Larkin and Micic to a minimum of shots. They have a lot to do with Efes ranking first in both two- and three-point accuracy, so Valencia’s defenders will likely risk trying to turn off the spigot at its source. Not many defenses have had luck with that, but disrupting the perimeter play of Efes would change the dynamic of the game, and that’s not a bad way to try to beat the league leaders.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-11.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Maccabi – Baskonia

Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv will look to rebound from a loss in Belgrade when it meets red-hot KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz. Maccabi had won five in a row before its loss to Crvena Zvezda and is neck-and-neck with CSKA Moscow for fourth place, which is worth homecourt advantage in the playoffs. Baskonia has won three in a row to join a heated playoff race and at 12-16 in now one of five teams that is one win outside the playoff zone.

The test of rebounding in the game will be when Baskonia misses shots. Coach Ivanovic’s men are third in the league in offensive rebounds (11.5 orpg.) and Maccabi is second in defensive boards (25.7 drpg.). If Baskonia can make noise on the offensive glass and get a few extra second-chance baskets, it could go a long way. But if Maccabi locks down the defensive boards and turns them into transition points, the Israeli champs will be in pole position.

It is as important as ever for Baskonia to take good care of the ball against Maccabi. Baskonia has committed the second-most turnovers in the league (14.3 TOpg.), while Maccabi has taken more steals than any other team (7.8 spg.). There are many players on the Maccabi defense with quick hands and Baskonia must rise to the challenge to keep them at bay.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+8.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Real Madrid – Crvena Zvezda

Two teams with different goals in mind will meet in Round 29 when Real Madrid (22-6) hosts Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (11-17). Real has clinched a playoff berth and has won seven straight games, including last week against ASVEL at home. The hosts are looking to get the home-court advantage for the next phase. On the other side, Zvezda managed to win again last week after losing eight of its previous nine games. The Serbian champs defeated red-hot Maccabi at home to remain in the playoff hunt.

The hosts average almost 10 points more per game than the visitors,  are on a winning run and still fighting for a tangible goal. It’s hard to deny that going into the game, Real is the favorite. Los Blancos have better numbers on all fronts and that fact is summed up with a difference of average PIR of 102.6 vs. 77.5 in favor of Real. However, Zvezda is still looking for a playoff ticket and the last home win against such a solid team as Maccabi at this point could give the guests a boost of morale that could be dangerous for the hosts to underestimate.

Zvezda will land in Madrid with a lot of things at stake. It has everything to win… and everything to lose also. One could expect that the visitors can drop this game in the Spanish capital, but at this moment, Zvezda is still playing for a playoff ticket so winning in Madrid has become almost mandatory. It won’t be easy because Real is on a roll and is also playing for a specific goal. The visitors will have to come into the game pumped by the last win against Maccabi and with the idea to steal an upset that would put them in a good position to fight for one of the last places in the next phase.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.0 at 1.90 with bet365

(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 28 – Friday

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Khimki – Fenerbahce

Two teams in the thick of the playoffs race will face each other on Friday when Khimki Moscow Region (12-15) hosts Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul (13-14) for Round 28. After having won three in a row, Khimki’s streak came to a halt earlier this week at Zalgiris, while Fener won at home against Zvezda and finally entered the playoff positions.

Going into the game, Khimki’s best option will probably be to unleash its better offense. Fenerbahce is also the worst team of the league under the boards, so if the hosts manage to control those defensive rebounds and run on offense, thanks to their second-best assists numbers in the league, they could have solid options to take this win.

Fenerbahce finally overcame the mental obstacle of being outside of the playoffs zone, and seems to be getting up to speed. Even if Khimki shows better numbers on almost all aspects, the biggest weapon for the guests will be a strong mentality that is just getting stronger week after week and, of course, the second-best three-point shooting in the league.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 at 2.20 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Olympiacos

A classic EuroLeague matchup will live a new edition on Friday when league leader Anadolu Efes Istanbul (23-4) welcomes Olympiacos Piraeus (12-15) for Round 28. Efes comes off a rare loss earlier in the week at Maccabi that snapped its 11-game winning streak. The hosts will be facing the Reds, who land in Turkey fresh off a close win at home in the Greek derby against Panathinaikos earlier this week.

It’s kind of ironic that Efes suffered its first loss in 12 rounds just when it had its full roster available again. The hosts are the second-best offensive team in the league, and this loss shows that they are human after all, but it could also be a wake-up call just at the right time. Efes is already in the playoffs, but a win in this game combined with either a Maccabi or CSKA Moscow loss, would secure home-court advantage for the hosts in the next phase.

Olympiacos is having one of the most irregular seasons of the last decade, and having Vassilis Spanoulis and Nikola Milutinov sidelined does not help, either, However, the Reds have won three of their last four games and they are still pushing hard to make the playoffs in a tough competition. On paper, Efes is basically better at everything this season, but Olympiacos is famous for beating the odds, and the fact that they play on the road with the chance to avenge the home loss earlier this season just adds to the motivation.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 158.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Crvena Zvezda – Maccabi

Playoffs hopeful Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (10-17) will welcome Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv (19-8), a team that just punched its postseason ticket, on Friday for Round 28 of this double-feature week. The hosts are going through a rough patch, having lost eight of their last nine games, including a close one at Fenerbahce earlier this week, 66-63. On the other hand, Maccabi comes from a thrilling home win over Efes, 77-75, that increased its winning streak to five games and secured the club a playoff berth for the first time since 2015.

The hosts need to get out of the dark zone they are in right now. A motivated and happy team like Maccabi might not be the best option to do that, but Zvezda plays at home and that is always a big factor in any game. Maccabi does not have many weak points, but its free-throw percentage is the third-worst in the league, so stepping up on defense and then sending the guests to the line could work in Zvezda’s favor for this game.

Maccabi is in a good place right now. The team is playing well, the wins keep coming in and the playoffs are a reality once more after four seasons. Now it’s just a matter to keep pushing in order to earn home-court advantage. Maccabi has the upper hand in this game, especially in offense, and also with the second-best numbers of the league under the boards. Zvezda also has the worst percentage in two-pointers, so paying attention to defense could bring a big payoff to the guests.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-4.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Barcelona – Bayern

Two teams in opposite places will face each other on Friday as already qualified FC Barcelona (21-6) welcomes FC Bayern Munich (8-19) for Round 28. Barca is one of the hottest teams in the league, with eight consecutive wins, including on Wednesday against another German team, ALBA. The hosts also have the February MVP, Nikola Mirotic, on a roll. Bayern, on the other hand, has lost 11 of its last 13 games, including at home to Baskonia earlier this week, and at risk of soon being mathematically ruled out of the playoffs race.

It all looks bright for Barca going into this game. The hosts are facing the second-worst offense in the league, and the second-worst team in rebounds per game. All in all, Barcelona averages a PIR of 20 more than Bayern per game, plus the hosts are playing well and winning games like they had not done for quite a few seasons now. If Barca manages to execute its game plan, it should be able to add another win and get closer to home-court advantage in the playoffs.

Bayern is in a rough moment of the season and the fact that it plays on the road against one of the hottest teams does not help. Barca is a talented team with a deep bench, so Bayern will have to clench its teeth from tip-off and try to start building a win through defense. Expect the visitors to base their game on going inside to Greg Monroe and Danilo Barthel, and hope that creates space for shooters like Petteri Koponen, who will be playing on his former home floor.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Baskonia – ALBA Berlin

Two teams still in the race for the playoffs will square off on Friday when KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (11-16) welcomes ALBA Berlin (9-18) in Round 28. Baskonia has won three of its last four games, including the last road win at Bayern, and seems to be making a big push towards the postseason spots. ALBA has lost three of its last four games and needs to get back to the winning track if it wants to retain some options.

Baskonia has the worst offense in the league and plays against the fourth-best. That could seem a tall order for the hosts, but these teams are in opposite trends and Baskonia stands at the better end of those. Baskonia is also the EuroLeague team averaging the least assists per game, while ALBA is third, so this will be a clash of styles. If Baskonia manages to put its third-ranked defense at the top of its priority list against an opponent that gives up the most points this season, the hosts could be on their way to their fourth win in five games.

ALBA just fell short of defeating Barcelona in Berlin, and has now lost three of its last four games. Against Baskonia it will be a duel of opposite styles. ALBA will have to by-pass the tough defense of the hosts in order to display its fun-to-watch offense. If those league-best assists flow and those threes fall in the basket (third best numbers in the league for ALBA), the guests could upset Baskonia for a second time this season, even if missing some players like Peyton Siva.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-5.5) at 1.95 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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