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Euroleague Preview & Tips – Round 2 – 11/10/2019

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Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

Zenit – Barcelona

EuroLeague newcomer Zenit St. Petersburg welcomes one of the greats of the competition for its first-ever home game when it hosts FC Barcelona on Friday. Insult was added to literal injury in Round 1 when Zenit lost its game at ALBA Berlin and also lost Gustavo Ayon and Andrey Zubkov to injury. Barcelona will play for the second straight week on the road after opening the season with a victory at Anadolu Efes Istanbul in which Nikola Mirotic marked his return to the EuroLeague with 24 points in 26 minutes.

The difference between a few three-pointers that go in or don’t can greatly impact any game. Zenit was just 7 for 26 (26.9%) in its loss at ALBA, but over the weekend stunned EuroLeague champion CSKA in Moscow in the VTB United League. In that game, Zenit shot 11 for 23 (47.8%) from behind the arc. A strong shooting night for Andrew Albicy, Evgeny Voronov, Austin Hollins and Tim Abromaitis would put Zenit in a much better position against Barcelona.

Barcelona used its frontcourt depth and its athletic wings to outrebound Efes 37-44 last week, though it did allow 13 offensive rebounds, which Efes converted into 17 second-chance points. However, that only underscores how strong of an overall defensive effort the team made to keep the opponent to 64 points at home. If Barcelona can duplicate that effort on defense and control the rebounds against a short-handed Zenit frontline, Barcelona’s many offensive stars should put the team in position to take a second road win.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 11/10/2019, 09:40 CET, could have changed)

Khimki – Baskonia

In a clash of Round 1 winners, Khimki looks to remain perfect at home while Baskonia seeks a valuable second road win. Khimki bested Maccabi with Jannis Timmas joining the old guard of Alexey Shved and Anthony Gill in putting up big numbers. Baskonia triumphed on the road at Zalgiris Kaunas with Shavon Shields providing the offense and Youssoupha Fall dominating on defense. Baskonia swept the season series against Khimki last season.

Khimki scored 89 points in Round 1 despite making only 13 of 32 two-point shots (40.6%). Led by Alexey Shved and Jannis Timma, Khimki fired up more three-point shots (35) than twos and such strategy is an excellent way to neutralize Baskonia’s shot blockers. However, the spreading of the floor can only be complete if the Khimki bigs convert inside. Devin Booker and Jeremy Evans are two of the players who must step up in that department.

Chris Kramer, Timofey Mozgov, Evgeny Valiev, Egor Vialtsev, Stefan Jovic are still out with injuries. Sergey Karasev and Dairis Bertans will probably be a game-time decision for coach Kurtinaitis.

Baskonia put on a defensive clinic to start the season. Ball pressure from Luca Vildoza and co. led to Zalgiris committing 17 turnovers. Youssoupha Fall blocked 5 shots and together with the threat of Michael Eric, they forced the home team into 13 of 36 two-point shooting (36.1%). The downside of challenging so many shots was that they gave up 17 offensive rebounds, but nonetheless, Baskonia held Zalgiris to just 58 points. If Baskonia can duplicate that kind of defensive effort, it will give Khimki fits.

Amazing stat: CSKA has hosted Bayern twice for the Euroleague. The final score in both games (2014 and 2019) was 77-70.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+4.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 11/10/2019, 09:40 CET, could have changed)

Anadolu Efes – ALBA Berlin

Anadolu Efes Istanbul, last season’s runner up, will be in search of its first victory in the new season when it welcomes ALBA Berlin to Sinan Erdem Dome on Friday. Shorthanded in the opening round, Efes battled hard but could not avoid 64-74 home defeat against FC Barcelona Lassa, while ALBA had a great return to the EuroLeague, downing Zenit St Petersburg 85-65 in the German capital.

Coach Ergin Ataman’s team had major success last season behind some of the best three-point shooting ever see in the EuroLeague. Efes led the league with 10.4 triples per game, the second-best average in EuroLeague this century, and ranked third with 40.6% accuracy from long range. Indeed, Efes made 10 triples last week against Barcelona, but on a massive 39 attempts. If it seems like a lot, it is: 39 three-point attempts is tied for the second most in the competition since January 2014. Efes is one of the best teams in the competition in creating good three-point looks, but needs better accuracy to help itself re-capture last-season’s form.

Similar to Efes, ALBA has not done many changes to its roster over the summer, and the team has done a great job staying true to itself despite moving up to play at the EuroLeague level. ALBA plays with great ball movement where all players share the ball, and no one is shy about pulling a trigger. No team in Round 1 had more than ALBA’s 23 assists, but more importantly, each of the 10 players who got minutes registered at least 1 assist. Continuing to play with such mindset will be the key for this team against Efes, too.

Johannes Thiemann and Stefan Peno will not play due to injury. Peyton Siva might return on Friday, but is still questionable, the club reported.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 165.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 11/10/2019, 09:40 CET, could have changed)

Olympiacos – Valencia

Two teams looking to bounce back from disappointing starts to the season meet on Friday when Olympiacos hosts Valencia. the Reds are reeling not just from their opening-night loss at LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne, but also the decision to part ways with Coach David Blatt. His top assistant, Kestutis Kemzura, is guiding the team on an interim basis. Valencia was rocked in Round 1 by the champs, but Coach Jaume Pansarnau can be pleased with how his big men fared against CSKA in that game.

Teams always come out and play hard after a coaching change and this is a sure thing for Olympiacos, too. The stumbling block last week for the Reds was the second unit’ Olympiacos only got 19 points off the bench, despite the presence there of weapons like Vassilis Spanoulis, Kostas Papanikolaou, Brandon Paul, Will Cherry and Augustine Rubit. It is imperative to get more scoring from the second unit going forward.

You can’t win in basketball if you can’s put the ball in the hoop. This is something that Valencia struggled with in Round 1. The team made just 47.2% of its two-pointers and 23.8% of threes. Even though Valencia drew many fouls and shot 29 free throws, the poor shooting meant that Valencia could not keep pace with its opponent. It must find its shooting touch this week to trip up Olympiacos in Greece.

basketball prediction Tip: Olympiacos 3-6 points Winning Margin at 5.50 with bet365
(Price correct at 11/10/2019, 09:40 CET, could have changed)

AX Armani Milano – Zalgiris

Both teams are eager to get onto the winning track after disappointing outcomes in the opening round. Milan was held to 64 points in a road loss to FC Bayern Munich, while Zalgiris was able to score only 58 points in a home defeat against KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz. It is very early in the season, so it is hard to say that there is pressure mounting ahead of this clash, but any team with high aspirations like these two would love to avoid dropping to 0-2.

Milan’s offense struggled last week. Milan has not been doing well from long range this season, and that was especially true in team’s EuroLeague opener when Milan shot a mere 4-for-22 against Bayern. In that game, however, Milan was also held to just 42.9% for two-pointers, and missed one third of its free throws. Messina’s team will need to facilitate more offense, and shoot with better percentages, to improve its chances on any given week, including in this game against Zalgiris.

Center Jock Landale is the biggest man on Zalgiris roster at 2.11 meters, but has found himself in a new role in Round 1 when he fired 6 three-point shots in 20 minutes of action. For comparison purposes, Landale has shot 21 threes in 16 EuroCup appearances last season. His newly developed skill could be of big importance when he goes against his Milan counterparts, especially the 2.13-meter Kaleb Tarczewski. Forcing Tarczewski, and other Milan’s big men, to play further from the basket could open up things for Zalgiris down low, and a team coached by Jasikevicius will know how to use it.

Vladimir Micov is expected to be available for at least some minute against Zalgiris. Nemanja Nedovic and Arturas Gudaitis are still unavailable to coach Messina.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 & Both Teams to Score 80 points at 10.00 with bet365
(Price correct at 11/10/2019, 09:40 CET, could have changed)

 

News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 29 – Thursday

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Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

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CSKA Moscow – ALBA Berlin

Back in-form CSKA Moscow will look to keep its momentum going when it hosts ALBA Berlin on Thursday. After dropping three of four, CSKA won twice last week, including a 31-point thumping of Panathinaikos in Athens. Every win is crucial for the champs, who are fighting for homecourt advantage in the playoffs. ALBA, which has lost three in a row, could see its playoff hopes formally put to an end if it losses and other results go the other way.

CSKA always does a great job of picking apart the opponents’ weaknesses and against ALBA it surely knows that by moving the ball and getting penetration or passing to the big men inside it will get great looks against ALBA, which allows a league-high 57.6% of two-point shots against opponents. Strong play from the CSKA bigs could decide this game.

While three-point shooting will be important to this game – the teams are ranked third (ALBA, 39.6%) and fourth (CSKA, 39.2%) in the league in three-point accuracy, rebounding for ALBA will be paramount. CSKA leads the league in rebounding (37.8 rpg.) and its league-best 26.0 defensive rebounds per game ignite many fast breaks. ALBA is a strong offensive rebounding team (fourth, 11.4 prpg.) and will need to be a factor there to avoid CSKA getting easy baskets in transition.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 167.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Valencia

A host with only first place left to clinch faces a visitor struggling for survival when Efes (24-4) welcomes Valencia (12-16) to Istanbul on Thursday. Efes assured itself home-court advantage in the playoffs last Friday when Shane Larkin returned to MVP form in a 91-79 win over Olympiacos Piraeus. Valencia (12-16) suffered its fourth straight loss, 81-83 in heartbreaking fashion to AX Armani Exchange Milan on a game-winning three-pointer to beat the buzzer in overtime. Valencia now shares ninth place just four rounds after having held seventh place alone.

It’s easy to say give the ball to Larkin when he has rained 10 triples and more than 4 points in two separate games this season. But Efes will have to be wary of some things Valencia does well, like offensive rebounds, drawing fouls, making free throws and assist-to-turnover rate, in all of which the visitors rank among the top five in the league. If Efes keeps up an aggressive pace, however, its endless bench could well make the difference.

The visitors would do well to grind it out, slow the game, and somehow keep both Larkin and Micic to a minimum of shots. They have a lot to do with Efes ranking first in both two- and three-point accuracy, so Valencia’s defenders will likely risk trying to turn off the spigot at its source. Not many defenses have had luck with that, but disrupting the perimeter play of Efes would change the dynamic of the game, and that’s not a bad way to try to beat the league leaders.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-11.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Maccabi – Baskonia

Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv will look to rebound from a loss in Belgrade when it meets red-hot KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz. Maccabi had won five in a row before its loss to Crvena Zvezda and is neck-and-neck with CSKA Moscow for fourth place, which is worth homecourt advantage in the playoffs. Baskonia has won three in a row to join a heated playoff race and at 12-16 in now one of five teams that is one win outside the playoff zone.

The test of rebounding in the game will be when Baskonia misses shots. Coach Ivanovic’s men are third in the league in offensive rebounds (11.5 orpg.) and Maccabi is second in defensive boards (25.7 drpg.). If Baskonia can make noise on the offensive glass and get a few extra second-chance baskets, it could go a long way. But if Maccabi locks down the defensive boards and turns them into transition points, the Israeli champs will be in pole position.

It is as important as ever for Baskonia to take good care of the ball against Maccabi. Baskonia has committed the second-most turnovers in the league (14.3 TOpg.), while Maccabi has taken more steals than any other team (7.8 spg.). There are many players on the Maccabi defense with quick hands and Baskonia must rise to the challenge to keep them at bay.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+8.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Real Madrid – Crvena Zvezda

Two teams with different goals in mind will meet in Round 29 when Real Madrid (22-6) hosts Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (11-17). Real has clinched a playoff berth and has won seven straight games, including last week against ASVEL at home. The hosts are looking to get the home-court advantage for the next phase. On the other side, Zvezda managed to win again last week after losing eight of its previous nine games. The Serbian champs defeated red-hot Maccabi at home to remain in the playoff hunt.

The hosts average almost 10 points more per game than the visitors,  are on a winning run and still fighting for a tangible goal. It’s hard to deny that going into the game, Real is the favorite. Los Blancos have better numbers on all fronts and that fact is summed up with a difference of average PIR of 102.6 vs. 77.5 in favor of Real. However, Zvezda is still looking for a playoff ticket and the last home win against such a solid team as Maccabi at this point could give the guests a boost of morale that could be dangerous for the hosts to underestimate.

Zvezda will land in Madrid with a lot of things at stake. It has everything to win… and everything to lose also. One could expect that the visitors can drop this game in the Spanish capital, but at this moment, Zvezda is still playing for a playoff ticket so winning in Madrid has become almost mandatory. It won’t be easy because Real is on a roll and is also playing for a specific goal. The visitors will have to come into the game pumped by the last win against Maccabi and with the idea to steal an upset that would put them in a good position to fight for one of the last places in the next phase.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.0 at 1.90 with bet365

(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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BASKETBALL

Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 28 – Friday

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Mirotic Barca

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Khimki – Fenerbahce

Two teams in the thick of the playoffs race will face each other on Friday when Khimki Moscow Region (12-15) hosts Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul (13-14) for Round 28. After having won three in a row, Khimki’s streak came to a halt earlier this week at Zalgiris, while Fener won at home against Zvezda and finally entered the playoff positions.

Going into the game, Khimki’s best option will probably be to unleash its better offense. Fenerbahce is also the worst team of the league under the boards, so if the hosts manage to control those defensive rebounds and run on offense, thanks to their second-best assists numbers in the league, they could have solid options to take this win.

Fenerbahce finally overcame the mental obstacle of being outside of the playoffs zone, and seems to be getting up to speed. Even if Khimki shows better numbers on almost all aspects, the biggest weapon for the guests will be a strong mentality that is just getting stronger week after week and, of course, the second-best three-point shooting in the league.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 at 2.20 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Olympiacos

A classic EuroLeague matchup will live a new edition on Friday when league leader Anadolu Efes Istanbul (23-4) welcomes Olympiacos Piraeus (12-15) for Round 28. Efes comes off a rare loss earlier in the week at Maccabi that snapped its 11-game winning streak. The hosts will be facing the Reds, who land in Turkey fresh off a close win at home in the Greek derby against Panathinaikos earlier this week.

It’s kind of ironic that Efes suffered its first loss in 12 rounds just when it had its full roster available again. The hosts are the second-best offensive team in the league, and this loss shows that they are human after all, but it could also be a wake-up call just at the right time. Efes is already in the playoffs, but a win in this game combined with either a Maccabi or CSKA Moscow loss, would secure home-court advantage for the hosts in the next phase.

Olympiacos is having one of the most irregular seasons of the last decade, and having Vassilis Spanoulis and Nikola Milutinov sidelined does not help, either, However, the Reds have won three of their last four games and they are still pushing hard to make the playoffs in a tough competition. On paper, Efes is basically better at everything this season, but Olympiacos is famous for beating the odds, and the fact that they play on the road with the chance to avenge the home loss earlier this season just adds to the motivation.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 158.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Crvena Zvezda – Maccabi

Playoffs hopeful Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (10-17) will welcome Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv (19-8), a team that just punched its postseason ticket, on Friday for Round 28 of this double-feature week. The hosts are going through a rough patch, having lost eight of their last nine games, including a close one at Fenerbahce earlier this week, 66-63. On the other hand, Maccabi comes from a thrilling home win over Efes, 77-75, that increased its winning streak to five games and secured the club a playoff berth for the first time since 2015.

The hosts need to get out of the dark zone they are in right now. A motivated and happy team like Maccabi might not be the best option to do that, but Zvezda plays at home and that is always a big factor in any game. Maccabi does not have many weak points, but its free-throw percentage is the third-worst in the league, so stepping up on defense and then sending the guests to the line could work in Zvezda’s favor for this game.

Maccabi is in a good place right now. The team is playing well, the wins keep coming in and the playoffs are a reality once more after four seasons. Now it’s just a matter to keep pushing in order to earn home-court advantage. Maccabi has the upper hand in this game, especially in offense, and also with the second-best numbers of the league under the boards. Zvezda also has the worst percentage in two-pointers, so paying attention to defense could bring a big payoff to the guests.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-4.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Barcelona – Bayern

Two teams in opposite places will face each other on Friday as already qualified FC Barcelona (21-6) welcomes FC Bayern Munich (8-19) for Round 28. Barca is one of the hottest teams in the league, with eight consecutive wins, including on Wednesday against another German team, ALBA. The hosts also have the February MVP, Nikola Mirotic, on a roll. Bayern, on the other hand, has lost 11 of its last 13 games, including at home to Baskonia earlier this week, and at risk of soon being mathematically ruled out of the playoffs race.

It all looks bright for Barca going into this game. The hosts are facing the second-worst offense in the league, and the second-worst team in rebounds per game. All in all, Barcelona averages a PIR of 20 more than Bayern per game, plus the hosts are playing well and winning games like they had not done for quite a few seasons now. If Barca manages to execute its game plan, it should be able to add another win and get closer to home-court advantage in the playoffs.

Bayern is in a rough moment of the season and the fact that it plays on the road against one of the hottest teams does not help. Barca is a talented team with a deep bench, so Bayern will have to clench its teeth from tip-off and try to start building a win through defense. Expect the visitors to base their game on going inside to Greg Monroe and Danilo Barthel, and hope that creates space for shooters like Petteri Koponen, who will be playing on his former home floor.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Baskonia – ALBA Berlin

Two teams still in the race for the playoffs will square off on Friday when KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (11-16) welcomes ALBA Berlin (9-18) in Round 28. Baskonia has won three of its last four games, including the last road win at Bayern, and seems to be making a big push towards the postseason spots. ALBA has lost three of its last four games and needs to get back to the winning track if it wants to retain some options.

Baskonia has the worst offense in the league and plays against the fourth-best. That could seem a tall order for the hosts, but these teams are in opposite trends and Baskonia stands at the better end of those. Baskonia is also the EuroLeague team averaging the least assists per game, while ALBA is third, so this will be a clash of styles. If Baskonia manages to put its third-ranked defense at the top of its priority list against an opponent that gives up the most points this season, the hosts could be on their way to their fourth win in five games.

ALBA just fell short of defeating Barcelona in Berlin, and has now lost three of its last four games. Against Baskonia it will be a duel of opposite styles. ALBA will have to by-pass the tough defense of the hosts in order to display its fun-to-watch offense. If those league-best assists flow and those threes fall in the basket (third best numbers in the league for ALBA), the guests could upset Baskonia for a second time this season, even if missing some players like Peyton Siva.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-5.5) at 1.95 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Get up to £100 in Bet Credits!

News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


Euroleague Standings

Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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