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Euroleague Preview & Tips – Play-offs Game 1

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Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

Real – Panathinaikos

For the second season in a row, these teams meet in the playoffs. This time, the series begins in the Spanish capital. The teams arrive in much different momentums. Madrid lost two of its last three games and is facing the possibility of starting the series without point guard and former EuroLeague MVP Sergio Llull. Panathinaikos is among the hottest teams in the league with seven wins from its last eight games. However, the lone Madrid win and Panathinaikos defeat in the aforementioned periods was in Athens on a Rudy Fernandez buzzer-beating three in Round 29.

Madrid enters this series with its on-court leader, Sergio Llull, injured. The team must collectively make up for his absence in many areas. First is playing time; with two games in three days, the knock to the team’s depth is relevant. Madrid will also miss his backcourt scoring and leadership. Having Facu Campazzo to step into the starting lineup is huge, but without a natural third point guard, running the offense when Camapzzo rests will be more difficult. Playing well in these minutes is vital for Madrid.

Among many things that Panathinaikos must do to slow down Madrid’s offense, the Greens need strong play in the front. Center Georgios Papagiannis played very well down the stretch for Coach Pitino and had a respectable 9 points and 7 boards against Madrid last time. Beyond his contributions in numbers, Papagiannis must be a physical presence to limit Walter Tavares, Gustavo Ayon and Felipe Reyes without getting into foul trouble. It’s a big ask, but important for his team’s success.

Tip: 2 (+7.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/04/2019, 09:45 CET)

Anadolu Efes – Barcelona

It is a little bit of a historic occasion for Efes as it welcomes Barcelona for Game 1 of their best-of-five series. This will mark the first time Efes hosts a series opener in the Turkish Airlines EuroLeague this century. Efes is also attempting to get its first series win in its sixth attempt. Meanwhile, Barcelona returns to the playoffs after missing them the last two years and will look to return to the Final Four for the first time since 2014. In its previous three attempts, Barcelona has never won a Game 1 on the road.

The team holding home-court advantage would not want to jeopardize losing it with a slow start to the series. Efes ranks second in two-point (58.9%) and three-point (40.7%) accuracy, which means that its offense is likely to get going at some point of the game. But Efes needs to make sure that does not happen too late, and suddenly find itself playing catch-up. Coach Ergin Ataman’s men need to bring focus and energy from the opening tip-off in this game, to take control, just like they did against this same opponent in Round 25.

Barcelona allowed 76.4 points per game during the regular season, second-fewest in the competition, and it has relied on its defense throughout the season. It will be important for Barcelona to slow down the Efes ballhandlers — Micic, Shane Larkin and Krunoslav Simon — and make sure Efes does not get into its free-flowing offense, which posts 85.4 points and 19.9 assists per contest. Efes is also extremely dangerous in transition, and preventing the hosts from getting their usual dosage of easy buckets will be one of Barcelona’s priorities.

Tip: 1 (-4.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/04/2019, 09:45 CET)


CSKA Moscow – Baskonia

The playoffs begin the Russian capital with CSKA facing Baskonia in a repeat of their Round 30 game. CSKA has a long and impressive history both against Baskonia at home and the playoffs in general. The Russian giants have not lost a home game against Baskonia since 2005 and have not lost a playoff series this century. Baskonia has reasons for optimism after putting up a good fight in their most-recent meeting and slowly rebuilding chemistry with players returning from injuries.

Even after not playing to its standards for 30 minutes, one big quarter was enough for CSKA to take down Baskonia in Round 30. But that may not always be the case. What CSKA did well in that game was get good shots and make them (50.0% 2FG and 47.1% 3FG). However, it was outrebounded 28-35. Baskonia collected 12 offensive rebounds and turned them into 18 second-chance points. CSKA had just 6 second-chance points from 6 offensive rebounds. Closing that gap could pay dividends for Coach Itoudis’s men.

Baskonia committed the fifth-most turnovers in the league this season 12.8 per game. It made 15 in the Round 30 loss in Moscow. Every lost ball is a lost opportunity and in playoff basketball, one cannot let many opportunities go unused. Only Marcelinho Huertas (2.4 TOpg.) has committed more than 2 turnovers per game this season, so the effort must be a collective one. Look for Baskonia to be prepared for all of CSKA’s defensive looks to avoid wasting possessions with turnovers.

Tip: 1 (-8.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 16/04/2019, 09:45 CET)

Fenerbahce – Zalgiris

It’s a series opener on the Asian side of Istanbul as Fenerbahce is prepared to host Zalgiris. Fenerbahce is undefeated on its home floor this season, and has won 17 EuroLeague games in a row at Ulker Sports and Event Hall dating back to last season. Fenerbahce is also 7-0 at home in the playoffs under coach Zeljko Obradovic. As Fenerbahce attempts to protect that streak and pave the way to its fifth consecutive Turkish Airlines EuroLeague Final Four appearance, upset-minded Zalgiris arrives red-hot to Game 1 with lots of momentum after a six-game winning streak to reach the playoffs at the last gasp.

Fenerbahce has not become the first team with 25 wins in the regular season by accident. Its defense allows league-low 75.8 points per game, and its offense has some of the best shooting percentages in EuroLeague history. Its 59.0% on two-pointers is the second-highest and 43.18% of three-pointers the third-highest accuracy in the EuroLeague this century. Despite such shooting prowess, Fenerbahce needs high energy and defensive intensity to grab control of the game, and the series.

In the two games earlier this season, Zalgiris did not manage to contain Kostas Sloukas. To steal Game 1, coach Sarunas Jasikevicius’s men need to start with defense on Fenerbahce’s playmaker while trying to slow the pace to cool down both the home players and their fans. Zalgiris will also need to make sure to control the defensive glass. Fenerbahce is tied for last place in offensive rebounds (8.2), and Zalgiris needs to make sure that those second-chance opportunities stay low.

Tip: Under 150.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 16/04/2019, 09:45 CET)

Source: Euroleague.net
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18/11/2018GRE - APanathinaikos v OlympiacosOver 153.51.90
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17/11/2018NBABOS Celtics v UTA JazzUnder 208.51.90
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15/11/2018ELOlympiacos v Fenerbahce1 (-2.5)1.90
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13/11/2018NBADEN Nuggets v HOU RocketsOver 213.51.90
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12/11/2018NBAMIA Heat v PHI 76ers22.00
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12/11/2018GRE - APanionios v Panathinaikos1 (+27.5)1.90
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09/11/2018ELPanathinaikos v OlympiacosOver 151.51.90
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02/11/2018ELBuducnost v Panathinaikos1 (+9.0)1.90
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02/11/2018ELKhimki v Gran Canaria1 (-8.5)1.92
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4000novibet+3600Pre
01/11/2018ELFenerbahce v Bayern MunichHome Over 83,51.88
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01/11/2018ELCSKA v OlympiacosOver 168.51.92
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6000novibet-6000Pre
31/10/2018NBAGS Warriors v NO Pelicans1 (-11.5)1.90
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31/10/2018NBABKN Nets v DET PistonsOver 213.51.90
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30/10/2018EUROCUPVilleurbanne v Zenit22.25
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29/10/2018NBAIND Pacers v POR Trail BlazersOver 218.01.90
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28/10/2018NBALa Clippers v WAS Wizards22.35
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27/10/2018NBAMEM Grizzlies v PHX SunsUnder 212.51.90
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17/10/2018ELFenerbahce v Khimki1 & Over 154.52.35
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12/10/2018ELKhimki v OlympiacosOver 153.51.93
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06/10/2018GRE - AKolossos Rhodes v Promitheas1 (+3.5)1.91
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10bet365-10Pre
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10bet365+9Pre
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100bet365+90Pre
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3. 2 (-4.5)
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05/04/2018ELBarcelona v Khimki22.5010bet365-10Pre
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* Odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change.

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BASKETBALL

Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 12 – 06/12/2019

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Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

Get up to £100 in Bet Credits!

Zenit – Villeurbanne

Both teams come to this game looking to break their respective losing streaks. ASVEL has lost its last three games, including a 31-point thrashing at the hands of Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv in Round 11. Zenit is on a six-game losing streak and is looking for its first home win of the season; its two victories – against Olympiacos Piraeus and Zalgiris Kaunas – came on the road and in overtime. Expect high intensity between two defensive-minded teams eager to bounce back as soon as possible.

Zenit has a deeper bench and must use it to play with very high intensity at both ends. Zenit co-leads the EuroLeague in offensive rebounds (12 orpg.) but has struggled to dominate under its boards (21.2 drpg., 16th overall). Coach Joan Plaza’s team must run its offense through its most experienced players – Ayon, Mateusz Ponitka, Alex Renfroe – and box out to get going in transition more often than it did until now.

ASVEL is last in scoring (70.6 ppg.) mainly because of its poor shooting percentages; it’s made just 48.8% of its shots inside the arc and 32.5% from three-point range. Finding better shots will help the team’s fluency on offense. It must involve its best shooters – Edwin Jackson, David Lighty, Rihards Lomasz – on offense, so Antoine Diot and Theo Maledon not only must find the right rhythm but diversify ASVEL’s offense not to rely too much on its efficient frontcourt, led by Jekiri.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-9.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/11/2019, 10:30 CET, could have changed)

Khimki – Barcelona

Two teams coming off painful losses in Round 11 will square off in Russia when Khimki Moscow Region welcomes FC Barcelona. Khimki is riding a three-game losing streak, the last one coming at Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul 89-76. Barcelona saw its winning streak snapped at home against CSKA Moscow with a stunning 67-96 defeat. Both teams will be looking to get back on the winning track as soon as possible. Alexey Shved, who missed the last game for Khimki, is expected to play against Barcelona.

After a solid start to the season, Khimki has dropped four of its last six games. Despite being in not such a sweet moment right now, the hosts still have the fourth-best offense in the league (84.7 ppg.) but also the second-weakest defense (85.6 ppg.). The main task for Khimki will be on defense trying to limit the offensive talent that Barcelona boasts. The visitors are also third-best in rebounds, so that will go hand in hand with defense for Khimki if it wants to protect its home floor against the team in second place.

Petr Gubanov and Timofey Mozgov are still out with injuries. Evgeny Valiev will spend the rest of the season in Parma Perm on loan.

Barcelona is having a pretty good season but suffered another tough blow last week at home and it will have to demonstrate that it is a solid team by bouncing back swiftly. The team certainly has the talent to do that, but Khimki has better shooting percentages from all ranges, so the visitors will have to make sure to deny the opponent open shots. Khimki has better numbers on almost all fronts, but Barcelona has a higher PIR average. Efficiency could be the key to steal a win from Russia.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (+3.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/11/2019, 10:30 CET, could have changed)

Fenerbahce – ALBA Berlin

After winning back-to-back games for the first time all season, Fenerbahce will look to keep its momentum going when it hosts ALBA Berlin, which is also in fine form with victories in three of its last four games. Not only has Fenerbahce started winning, but its last two wins both also came by double-figure margins of victory. It will be the first time these teams have squared off in over a decade; they split home win in the 2008-09 season.

Fenerbahce has won games when its offense has worked. It is 4-0 when the team has scored at least 80 points and Fenerbahce has averaged an unthinkable 54.4% on three-pointers as a team in those games. This week it faces an ALBA team that has allowed the most points in the league (88.4 ppg.). Fenerbahce is also last in the league in rebounding (29.2 rpg.). An improved rebounding effort that leads to good shots in transition could be just what Fenerbahce wins for another victory.

Jan Vesely suffered an injury and he’s being evaluated by the medical staff. He won’t play against ALBA. Both Nikola Kalinic, Leo Westermann and Nando De Colo are practicing with the team but they will be a game-time decision.

ALBA’s great ball movement has been a double-edged sword; the team leads the EuroLeague in both assists (19.8 apg.) and turnovers (14.8 TOpg.). To win in Istanbul, ALBA must cut down on its turnovers and get more production in the paint. Its 48.6% shooting on two-pointers is third-worst in the competition. Getting more balance would help ALBA’s already-strong three-point marksmen and could be the key to a second road win.

ALBA is missing Tyler Cavanaugh, Johannes Thiemann and Tim Schneider. Bogdan Radosavljevic, who was brought in to fill in for injured players, will also miss one week with an ankle sprain.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 162.5 at 2.00 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/11/2019, 10:30 CET, could have changed)

Panathinaikos – Olympiacos

This will be the first derby of Athens this season and of course, it is one of the most anticipated showdowns in European basketball. Panathinaikos is on a three-game winning streak and comes off a 32-point win over Baskonia. Olympiacos is also in fine form after winning its last two games by an average margin of 20.0 points. While both teams arrive in good shape, it often comes down to who wants it more, as intangibles such as intensity, focus, determination and character are always critical when the Greens and the Reds meet on a basketball court.

The two teams have faced each other 15 times in Turkish Airlines EuroLeague history and Olympiacos owns a 10-5 record against the Greens. Three of those showdowns were in the EuroLeague semifinals. Olympiacos defeated Panathinaikos in 1994 and 1995 but lost in the championship games against Joventut Badalona and Real Madrid, respectively. Panathinaikos topped Olympiacos 84-82 in the 2009 semifinals and went on to lift the trophy. Olympiacos also swept Panathinaikos 2-0 in the 1997 EuroLeague Playoffs on its way to its first continental crown.

Panathinaikos is the top-scoring team in the league (88.5 ppg.) and ranks second in assists (19.1 apg.). It is shooting the ball with good percentages, especially inside the arc (56.1% 3FG, 38.7% 3FG). Playing with great aggressiveness on defense, looking for steals and deflections, will be critical for Panathinaikos, as well as rebounding well under its own rim. So far, Panathinaikos has done well (25.3 drpg.) and that has allowed Calathes to run the show in transition offense.

Olympiacos is averaging 77.9 points so far this season but boosted that number to 95.0 points in the last couple of games. It is still struggling to hit its outside shots (33.1% 3FG) but getting much better (22 of 48 in the last two games, 45.8%). Panathinaikos takes excellent care of the ball with just 10.2 turnovers per game). Olympiacos needs to force its opponents into more mistakes and run its offense through Spanoulis, Georgios Printezis and Nikola Milutinov, who can be unstoppable.

Panathinaikos Olympiakos live stream

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-7.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/11/2019, 10:30 CET, could have changed)

Baskonia – Anadolu Efes

Two teams in different situations will meet in Spain when KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz welcomes first placed Anadolu Efes Istanbul. Baskonia suffered one of its worst road losses ever at Panathinaikos last week, 100-68, and will look to bounce back at home. Efes is the hottest team right now with five wins in a row and Shane Larkin earning November MVP honors and shattering the all-time scoring record in a single game with his 49 points against Bayern last week for a 104-75 win.

Baskonia needs to bounce back from one of its toughest losses ever and it has to do it against the hottest team in the league. It could be a tall order for the hosts, but on defense, they look like a stronger team on paper and will have to focus on that with the support of the fans in Vitoria. Efes is an offensive juggernaut with the third-best numbers in the league plus a red-hot Shane Larkin, who just blasted the scoring record and earned MVP of the month honors. It will be paramount to try to stop such a talented and motivated player.

Efes will be looking for its sixth straight win against a team that could be hurt emotionally. The visitors will have to try to capitalize on that but also take care of rebounds, as Baskonia is the best team in the league in that aspect (37.7 rpg.). However, Baskonia seems to be struggling to move the ball on offense (fewest assists in the league, 13.9 apg.), so if the visitors manage to put pressure on the ball on defense, they might find the way to run and win again on the road.

Adrien Moerman and Bryant Dunston won’t be available against Baskonia.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 at 2.20 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/11/2019, 10:30 CET, could have changed)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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BASKETBALL

Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 12 – 05/12/2019

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CSKA Moscow – Zalgiris

One of the chief rivalries from Soviet basketball lives on when CSKA hosts Zalgiris. CSKA comes off a tough three-game road stretch in which it lost the first two games, but got a boost of confidence with a resounding 67-96 thumping of FC Barcelona. After making two straight playoff appearances, Zalgiris has slumped this season; the Lithuanian champs have dropped five straight games and are 1-3 on the road.

The key number for CSKA this season is 80. CSKA is 6-1 when it has scored at least 80 points. It is 6-1 when its opponents have been held below 80 points. Based on the teams’ averages – CSKA is fifth in the league with 83.9 points per game and Zalgiris 16th with 73.6, the 80-point threshold could be the key to victory again this week.

Zalgiris has struggled on offense this season and ranks near the bottom in scoring (16th, 73.6 ppg.) and assists (16th 14.6 apg.) and is last in both three-pointers made (75) and three-point accuracy (31.4%). There is no shortage of top-notch shooters on the team, from Lukas Lekavicius and Arturas Milaknis in the backcourt to center Jock Landale. Getting the team’s once-feared three-point attack back on track could turn things around for Zalgiris.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-9.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 05/11/2019, 09:40 CET, could have changed)

Maccabi – Bayern

The champions of Israel and Germany will clash in this showdown in Tel Aviv. While Maccabi will look to remain undefeated at home, Bayern seeks its maiden road victory this season. Both teams have been shorthanded in recent weeks with forward Omri Casspi of Maccabi and Nihad Dedovic of Bayern each missing multiple games.

Great defense has led to great defense for Maccabi this season; the team leads the league in rebounds (37.6 rpg.) and steals (8.3 spg.), which has led to it ranking second in scoring (86.9 ppg.) and atop the table in two-point shooting (58.2%). Bayern is second-to-last in offensive rebounding (8.4), so if Maccabi can control the glass and get its points on the fastbreak and in transition, it will be in good shape for a sixth straight home win.

Bayern is tied for the second-fewest three-pointers in the league (77), but is fifth in three-point accuracy (39.1%). Facing a stingy Maccabi defense that leads the league in two-point accuracy, allowing opponents a mere 44.2%, Bayern would be wise to fire up more shots from behind the arc to open things up and challenge the Maccabi big men to keep pace. Petteri Koponen, Paul Zipser and Maodo Lo could take the lead in that charge.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 164.5 at 2.00 with bet365
(Price correct at 05/11/2019, 09:40 CET, could have changed)

Milano – Crvena Zvezda

Two teams in different recent forms meet in the fashion capital when Milan hosts Crvena Zvezda. Milan has lost back-to-back games and three of its last four, including its first home loss of the season to Anadolu Efes Istanbul in Round 10. Zvezda has won its last two games, including its first road win at Zalgiris Kaunas in Round 10.

Milan has been able to break games open at times with its league-leading 42.9% three-point shooting, which also helps cover for its poor two-point shooting (17th, 46.8%). However, it is noteworthy that while Milan has made 48.1% of its threes in its seven wins, the team is just 34.3% from behind the arc in losses. This week Milan faces a Zvezda team, which thanks to the perimeter defense of Branko Lazic, Lorenzo Brown and Charles Jenkins, has held opponents to 32.3% shooting from downtown. A good shooting night from three-point land seems pivotal for Milan.

When Zvezda plays its best defense, it has a chance in every game. However, when it has allowed at least 80 points in a game this season, it is 0-4. Zvezda must improve its abysmal shooting (46.7% 2FG, 32.1% 3FG) and cut down on its 13.9 turnovers, which are third-most in the league. That will allow it to keep pace with opponents when its defense is less than elite. However, Zvezda must also continue to play tough defense to have a good chance at a second straight road win.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+8.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 05/11/2019, 09:40 CET, could have changed)

Real Madrid – Valencia

It will be an all-Spanish affair on Thursday night when Real Madrid welcomes Valencia Basket to the Spanish capital. Real is one of the hottest teams in the league right now riding a six-game winning streak. The last win arrived at Zenit St Peterburg, 71-86. On the other hand, Valencia saw its winning streak snapped last week in Belgrade with a 76-73 loss on the buzzer against Crvena Zvezda.

Coach Pablo Laso seems to have found the right key to press at this moment. The team is on a roll despite injury problems and playing at home against a well-known opponent could be a blessing and a curse. Real has a net 10-point difference with the visitors counting offense and defense, and the hosts outperform Valencia on almost every other aspect of the game on paper. If Los Blancos slow Jordan Loyd and Dubljevic down, they will be closer to their seventh straight win.

Sergio Llull, Salah Mejri and Felipe Reyes will miss the game for sure. Rudy Fernandez did not practice all week with the flu. Jeffery Taylor will play.

It took a while, but Valencia seems to finally be rolling in the EuroLeague. Despite its last loss, the visitors are in good form and will try to stay that way in Madrid. However, Coach Jaume Ponsarnau is facing a tough challenge against arguably the hottest team in the league. Defense to deny open shots will be key since Real has solid percentages from all ranges. The hosts’ 99.8 average PIR (third-best in the league) indicates that they do many things well, so it will be an important task for Valencia in Madrid.

basketball prediction Tip: Winning Margin 3-way: Any other result (any team 1-5 points win) at 3.40 with bet365
(Price correct at 05/11/2019, 09:40 CET, could have changed)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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