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Euroleague Preview & Tips – Round 19

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Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

Anadolu Efes – Darussafaka

The latest edition of the Istanbul derby will open Friday’s slate of EuroLeague action with Anadolu Efes against Darussafaka. Efes comes into the game on a three-game winning streak, sitting in fourth place in the league and owning a 7-2 home record. Darussafaka is on a three-game losing streak, last in the standings and winless on the road this season. Efes is 5-0 in EuroLeague games against Darussafaka and also won their Turkish League game earlier this season.

Turning this game into a shootout would work to Efes’s benefit since Coach Ataman has a deeper squad that has scored at least 90 points seven times this season – and has won each of those games. Efes is averaging 89.4 points in wins, while Darussafaka has averaged 75.0 points in its wins. Efes also leads the league in three-point accuracy (43.8%) and Darussafaka is last (30.4%).

Darussafaka leads the league in offensive rebounds this season (12.3 orpg.) and Efes is last (8.1 orpg.). Coach Ernak’s men – led by Micheal Eric and Jeremy Evans – must turn that rebounding advantage into second-chance points to improve their chances of scoring an upset win.

Tip: Over 165.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 18/01/2019, 13:30 CET)

Buducnost – Real Madrid

Buducnost will try to turn its latest victory into a winning streak when it hosts the champs on Friday. Buducnost has been revitalized by a mid-season coaching change and the signings of Norris Cole at guard and Goga Bitadze at center and will now be tested by Real Madrid, which has won three in a row and seven of its last eight. Madrid has won all five of its previous EuroLeague games against Buducnost.

Though Buducnost is last in the league in scoring at 74.1 points per game, that number has jumped to 83.3 over the team’s last four appearances. The offensive improvement must continue for Buducnost to gather more wins. The team must also match its stellar three-point shooting from earlier in the season to catch Madrid.

Madrid is not only one of the top offenses in the league, but is also second in terms of points allowed (75.8 ppg.). Depth is one of the keys to Madrid’s success and the fact that the team has six players averaging at least 9 points per game is tough to match. Getting strong performances off the bench and making Buducnost’s top players work hard every minute they are on the floor would point the game in Madrid’s direction.

Tip: 1 (+9.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 18/01/2019, 13:30 CET)

Zalgiris – Panathinaikos

Two EuroLeague classic teams meet again when Zalgiris (7-11) tries to snap a four-game losing streak and catch Panathinaikos (8-10) in the standings. After going 13-4 at home last season, Zalgiris is 3-7 in front of its diehard fans in this one. Brandon Davies (15 ppg.) has been its top scorer until now, followed by Nate Wolters (12 ppg.) and Aaron White (9.1 ppg.). Panathinaikos carries a six-game road losing streak. Its last win away from Athens was against Buducnost on November 2. Nick Calathes (11.2 ppg., 8.1 apg.) has been its main pillar until now, but the Greens expect a lot from recent signing Sean Kilpatrick, a scoring guard who is set to make his EuroLeague debut in Kaunas. Big man Adreian Payne, who was with the Greens last season for 12 games, has signed with them again and might be available on Friday, as well.

Zalgiris is averaging 78.4 points per game at home this season, third worst in the league. Only Darussafaka and Buducnost score less at home. Zalgiris is shooting the ball well (54.9% 2FG, 38.8% 3FG) but picking up a lot of turnovers (14.4, first overall) at Zalgirio Arena. It will need better ball circulation in general, so Wolters and Derrick Walton must keep control of the game tempo against two more experienced players like Calathes and former Zalgiris playmaker Lukas Lekavicius.

Since Coach Pitino arrived, Panathinaikos has averaged 86.5 points at home but just 66.5 on the road. Barcelona pulled down 15 offensive rebounds against the Greens last week, so controlling its own board is mandatory for Panathinaikos. Once it has those defensive rebounds, Panathinaikos can run its transition offense through Calathes, Lekavicius and Nikos Pappas, generally finding better shots.

Panathinaikos is without Langford.

Tip: 2 (+2.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 18/01/2019, 13:30 CET)

Baskonia – Milano

In this key game in the EuroLeague Playoffs race, Baskonia (8-10) and Milan (8-10) will break their share of a three-way tie for all-important eighth place. Baskonia comes off a convincing win against Gran Canaria, overcoming injuries and using a shorter rotation to win the game. With Toko Shengelia and Jayson Granger out, Vincent Poirier (20 points), Ilimane Diop (13 points, 10 rebounds, 25 PIR) and Marcelinho Huertas (24 points, 29 PIR) stepped up big. Milan needs to bounce back from two losses in a row. Two former Baskonia players – Mike James (19.8 ppg) and Vladimir Micov (14.6 ppg.) – have been Milan’s leaders along with center Arturas Gudaitis (13.4 ppg., 7.6 rpg.), so expect an intense, thrilling showdown at Fernando Buesa Arena.

Last week, Baskonia was heavily outrebounded, allowing 20 offensive boards, but forced Gran Canaria into 15 turnovers and low shooting percentages (43.9% 2FG, 27.6% 3FG). If Johannes Voigtmann is finally back in action after a sickness, Baskonia should be more powerful under the baskets. On offense, Huertas and Luca Vildoza will try to keep everyone involved, finding good shots and creating for themselves, too.

Baskonia is without Toko Shengelia, Jayson Granger and Tadas Sedekerskis. Patricio Garino, Voigtmann and Janning are questionable.

Milan is the highest-scoring team in the competition (87.3 ppg.) but ranks second in points allowed (86.8 ppg.). Milan allows opponents to shoot with very good percentages – 56% inside the arc and 39.7% from downtown – which is dangerous against a team full of experienced players like Baskonia. On offense, Milan will keep running its offense through James and Micov, and will look to Gudaitis and Alen Omic for easy points down low.

Milan travelled to Vitoria-Gasteiz without Nemanja Nedovic and Kaleb Tarczewski.

Tip: Under 169.0 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 18/01/2019, 13:30 CET)

 


CSKA Moscow – Bayern

Two teams currently in the playoff zone will face off in Round 19 when CSKA Moscow hosts FC Bayern Munich in the Russian capital. CSKA arrives from a severe home loss to Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv last week despite 16 points apiece by Will Clyburn and Nando De Colo. It was CSKA’s first home loss since Round 8 of last season. Bayern got back to its winning ways with a prestige home win over AX Armani Exchange Olimpia Milan thanks to 18 points apiece by Maodo Lo and Nihad Dedovic.

CSKA boasts the third-best offense in the league and its major firepower will still be its main asset for this game. On paper, CSKA outdoes Bayern on almost every front, especially rebounds (33.7 rpg. to 29.6.), but that did not happen the last time these teams met, so the hosts will have to pay special attention to that.

Bayern seems to have found its rhythm in the competition, but one of the toughest trips in the league awaits the German champs this week, especially after CSKA suffered a home loss already last week. Bayern’s main job will be stopping the many resources that the hosts have on offense, which can be a daunting task. The visitors will also have to focus on rebounds to try to even the numbers between the teams, just like they did at home in Round 7

Tip: Over 168.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2019, 12:00 CET)

Olympiacos v Khimki

This game presents two teams with much in common. Both Olympiacos and Khimki have split their last four games and each team won the first game of last week’s two-round week at home and lost the second game on the road. Olympiacos comes into the game one win out of fourth place, while Khimki is one win outside of the playoff zone. The Reds will welcome back center Nikola Milutinov, who missed the last through games through illness, but has otherwise dominated in the paint this season. Khimki hopes to have reigning Alphonso Ford Top Scorer Trophy winner Alexey Shved back this week after missing six weeks with a broken finger.

Olympiacos leads the league in rebounding (36.4 rpg.) and has the league’s top rebounder in Nikola Milutinov (8.4 rpg.), while Khimki is second-to-last in rebounding (30.1 rpg.) and has only one player (Jordan Mickey, 4.9 rpg.) averaging more than half as many boards as Milutinov. Continued domination of the glass and the put-backs that come with it could propel the Reds to another win on Thursday.

If Alexey Shved is available for the game, his return would be an immediate boost for the team both as a scorer and to deflect attention from the other scorers. With or without Shved, the key to victory for Khimki is outside shooting. Coach Bartzokas’s side leads the league in three-point shots attempted (29.4 per game) and has attempted the fewest two-pointers (31.1). For that to work, the extra threes have to go in.

Alexey Shved is still sidelined for Khimki.

Tip: 2 (+8.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2019, 12:00 CET)

Maccabi – Barcelona

Two teams in great spirits meet on Thursday when Maccabi hosts Barcelona. Both sides swept their games in the two-round week. Maccabi ended a 15-year drought in Moscow by routing CSKA, while Barcelona bested AX Armani Exchange Olimpia Milan and Panathinaikos OPAP Athens to take its winning streak to five in a row. Their recent successes have Maccabi one victory outside of the playoff zone and Barcelona back in the hunt for home-court advantage in the playoffs. Seven of the last eight games between these historic clubs have been won by the home team.

Barcelona has held its opponents to 70 points or less in six of its last eight games. In that same period, Barcelona has scored more than 80 only twice and lost in one of those. Accordingly, setting a more-measured pace that gets the team’s deep frontcourt involved and thus creates space for outside shooters like Heurtel and Kyle Kuric would put Barcelona in a stronger position.

Maccabi has found many different ways to win recently by playing smart. Against CSKA, that included finding the best shots available even if the shooter was not a go-to scorer and happily going away from three-pointers when the shots weren’t falling and instead setting a team record with 35 two-pointers. Against Barcelona, Maccabi must add avoiding foul trouble to give Coach Sfairopoulos a full roster down the stretch for what promises to be a close game.

Tip: Winning margin 3-way: Any other result (1-5 points) at 2.65 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2019, 12:00 CET)

Gran Canaria – Fenerbahce

Two teams from opposite ends of the table meet on the Canary Islands when Gran Canaria takes on Fenerbahce. Granca has lost three in a row and five of six to slip back to 14th in the standings, though it is still only two wins behind the team in eighth place. Fenerbahce leads the standings and has only lost twice all season. Their defenses tell the stories of their seasons; Granca allows the most points in the league (87.5 ppg.) and Fenerbahce allows the fewest (75.1 ppg.).

Gran Canaria has held opponents to less than 80 points only four times this season, but is 3-1 in those games. So first and foremost, Coach Garcia’s men must play exceptional defense. Fenerbahce’s standout defense does not block a lot of shots (1.9 bpg.) and allows teams to shoot an above average 54.8% on two-pointers, so Gran Canaria would be wise to look early and often to its big men, Ondrej Balvin and Anzejs Pasecniks, which might have an added bonus of drawing some fouls from Fenerbahce’s interior stars.

Fenerbahce has cracked the 90-point mark five times this season, but all of them have been on the road. Thus, despite facing the most porous defense in the league, Coach Obradovic’s men are best playing their brand of basketball, which is slower-paced. Focusing on defense and keeping Gran Canaria to a low score is the safest game plan for Fenerbahce to notch another victory.

Tip: Over 160.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2019, 12:00 CET)

Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster

Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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* Odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change.

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 29 – Thursday

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CSKA Moscow – ALBA Berlin

Back in-form CSKA Moscow will look to keep its momentum going when it hosts ALBA Berlin on Thursday. After dropping three of four, CSKA won twice last week, including a 31-point thumping of Panathinaikos in Athens. Every win is crucial for the champs, who are fighting for homecourt advantage in the playoffs. ALBA, which has lost three in a row, could see its playoff hopes formally put to an end if it losses and other results go the other way.

CSKA always does a great job of picking apart the opponents’ weaknesses and against ALBA it surely knows that by moving the ball and getting penetration or passing to the big men inside it will get great looks against ALBA, which allows a league-high 57.6% of two-point shots against opponents. Strong play from the CSKA bigs could decide this game.

While three-point shooting will be important to this game – the teams are ranked third (ALBA, 39.6%) and fourth (CSKA, 39.2%) in the league in three-point accuracy, rebounding for ALBA will be paramount. CSKA leads the league in rebounding (37.8 rpg.) and its league-best 26.0 defensive rebounds per game ignite many fast breaks. ALBA is a strong offensive rebounding team (fourth, 11.4 prpg.) and will need to be a factor there to avoid CSKA getting easy baskets in transition.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 167.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Valencia

A host with only first place left to clinch faces a visitor struggling for survival when Efes (24-4) welcomes Valencia (12-16) to Istanbul on Thursday. Efes assured itself home-court advantage in the playoffs last Friday when Shane Larkin returned to MVP form in a 91-79 win over Olympiacos Piraeus. Valencia (12-16) suffered its fourth straight loss, 81-83 in heartbreaking fashion to AX Armani Exchange Milan on a game-winning three-pointer to beat the buzzer in overtime. Valencia now shares ninth place just four rounds after having held seventh place alone.

It’s easy to say give the ball to Larkin when he has rained 10 triples and more than 4 points in two separate games this season. But Efes will have to be wary of some things Valencia does well, like offensive rebounds, drawing fouls, making free throws and assist-to-turnover rate, in all of which the visitors rank among the top five in the league. If Efes keeps up an aggressive pace, however, its endless bench could well make the difference.

The visitors would do well to grind it out, slow the game, and somehow keep both Larkin and Micic to a minimum of shots. They have a lot to do with Efes ranking first in both two- and three-point accuracy, so Valencia’s defenders will likely risk trying to turn off the spigot at its source. Not many defenses have had luck with that, but disrupting the perimeter play of Efes would change the dynamic of the game, and that’s not a bad way to try to beat the league leaders.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-11.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Maccabi – Baskonia

Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv will look to rebound from a loss in Belgrade when it meets red-hot KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz. Maccabi had won five in a row before its loss to Crvena Zvezda and is neck-and-neck with CSKA Moscow for fourth place, which is worth homecourt advantage in the playoffs. Baskonia has won three in a row to join a heated playoff race and at 12-16 in now one of five teams that is one win outside the playoff zone.

The test of rebounding in the game will be when Baskonia misses shots. Coach Ivanovic’s men are third in the league in offensive rebounds (11.5 orpg.) and Maccabi is second in defensive boards (25.7 drpg.). If Baskonia can make noise on the offensive glass and get a few extra second-chance baskets, it could go a long way. But if Maccabi locks down the defensive boards and turns them into transition points, the Israeli champs will be in pole position.

It is as important as ever for Baskonia to take good care of the ball against Maccabi. Baskonia has committed the second-most turnovers in the league (14.3 TOpg.), while Maccabi has taken more steals than any other team (7.8 spg.). There are many players on the Maccabi defense with quick hands and Baskonia must rise to the challenge to keep them at bay.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+8.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Real Madrid – Crvena Zvezda

Two teams with different goals in mind will meet in Round 29 when Real Madrid (22-6) hosts Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (11-17). Real has clinched a playoff berth and has won seven straight games, including last week against ASVEL at home. The hosts are looking to get the home-court advantage for the next phase. On the other side, Zvezda managed to win again last week after losing eight of its previous nine games. The Serbian champs defeated red-hot Maccabi at home to remain in the playoff hunt.

The hosts average almost 10 points more per game than the visitors,  are on a winning run and still fighting for a tangible goal. It’s hard to deny that going into the game, Real is the favorite. Los Blancos have better numbers on all fronts and that fact is summed up with a difference of average PIR of 102.6 vs. 77.5 in favor of Real. However, Zvezda is still looking for a playoff ticket and the last home win against such a solid team as Maccabi at this point could give the guests a boost of morale that could be dangerous for the hosts to underestimate.

Zvezda will land in Madrid with a lot of things at stake. It has everything to win… and everything to lose also. One could expect that the visitors can drop this game in the Spanish capital, but at this moment, Zvezda is still playing for a playoff ticket so winning in Madrid has become almost mandatory. It won’t be easy because Real is on a roll and is also playing for a specific goal. The visitors will have to come into the game pumped by the last win against Maccabi and with the idea to steal an upset that would put them in a good position to fight for one of the last places in the next phase.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.0 at 1.90 with bet365

(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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BASKETBALL

Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 28 – Friday

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Mirotic Barca

Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

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Khimki – Fenerbahce

Two teams in the thick of the playoffs race will face each other on Friday when Khimki Moscow Region (12-15) hosts Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul (13-14) for Round 28. After having won three in a row, Khimki’s streak came to a halt earlier this week at Zalgiris, while Fener won at home against Zvezda and finally entered the playoff positions.

Going into the game, Khimki’s best option will probably be to unleash its better offense. Fenerbahce is also the worst team of the league under the boards, so if the hosts manage to control those defensive rebounds and run on offense, thanks to their second-best assists numbers in the league, they could have solid options to take this win.

Fenerbahce finally overcame the mental obstacle of being outside of the playoffs zone, and seems to be getting up to speed. Even if Khimki shows better numbers on almost all aspects, the biggest weapon for the guests will be a strong mentality that is just getting stronger week after week and, of course, the second-best three-point shooting in the league.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 at 2.20 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Olympiacos

A classic EuroLeague matchup will live a new edition on Friday when league leader Anadolu Efes Istanbul (23-4) welcomes Olympiacos Piraeus (12-15) for Round 28. Efes comes off a rare loss earlier in the week at Maccabi that snapped its 11-game winning streak. The hosts will be facing the Reds, who land in Turkey fresh off a close win at home in the Greek derby against Panathinaikos earlier this week.

It’s kind of ironic that Efes suffered its first loss in 12 rounds just when it had its full roster available again. The hosts are the second-best offensive team in the league, and this loss shows that they are human after all, but it could also be a wake-up call just at the right time. Efes is already in the playoffs, but a win in this game combined with either a Maccabi or CSKA Moscow loss, would secure home-court advantage for the hosts in the next phase.

Olympiacos is having one of the most irregular seasons of the last decade, and having Vassilis Spanoulis and Nikola Milutinov sidelined does not help, either, However, the Reds have won three of their last four games and they are still pushing hard to make the playoffs in a tough competition. On paper, Efes is basically better at everything this season, but Olympiacos is famous for beating the odds, and the fact that they play on the road with the chance to avenge the home loss earlier this season just adds to the motivation.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 158.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Crvena Zvezda – Maccabi

Playoffs hopeful Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (10-17) will welcome Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv (19-8), a team that just punched its postseason ticket, on Friday for Round 28 of this double-feature week. The hosts are going through a rough patch, having lost eight of their last nine games, including a close one at Fenerbahce earlier this week, 66-63. On the other hand, Maccabi comes from a thrilling home win over Efes, 77-75, that increased its winning streak to five games and secured the club a playoff berth for the first time since 2015.

The hosts need to get out of the dark zone they are in right now. A motivated and happy team like Maccabi might not be the best option to do that, but Zvezda plays at home and that is always a big factor in any game. Maccabi does not have many weak points, but its free-throw percentage is the third-worst in the league, so stepping up on defense and then sending the guests to the line could work in Zvezda’s favor for this game.

Maccabi is in a good place right now. The team is playing well, the wins keep coming in and the playoffs are a reality once more after four seasons. Now it’s just a matter to keep pushing in order to earn home-court advantage. Maccabi has the upper hand in this game, especially in offense, and also with the second-best numbers of the league under the boards. Zvezda also has the worst percentage in two-pointers, so paying attention to defense could bring a big payoff to the guests.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-4.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Barcelona – Bayern

Two teams in opposite places will face each other on Friday as already qualified FC Barcelona (21-6) welcomes FC Bayern Munich (8-19) for Round 28. Barca is one of the hottest teams in the league, with eight consecutive wins, including on Wednesday against another German team, ALBA. The hosts also have the February MVP, Nikola Mirotic, on a roll. Bayern, on the other hand, has lost 11 of its last 13 games, including at home to Baskonia earlier this week, and at risk of soon being mathematically ruled out of the playoffs race.

It all looks bright for Barca going into this game. The hosts are facing the second-worst offense in the league, and the second-worst team in rebounds per game. All in all, Barcelona averages a PIR of 20 more than Bayern per game, plus the hosts are playing well and winning games like they had not done for quite a few seasons now. If Barca manages to execute its game plan, it should be able to add another win and get closer to home-court advantage in the playoffs.

Bayern is in a rough moment of the season and the fact that it plays on the road against one of the hottest teams does not help. Barca is a talented team with a deep bench, so Bayern will have to clench its teeth from tip-off and try to start building a win through defense. Expect the visitors to base their game on going inside to Greg Monroe and Danilo Barthel, and hope that creates space for shooters like Petteri Koponen, who will be playing on his former home floor.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Baskonia – ALBA Berlin

Two teams still in the race for the playoffs will square off on Friday when KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (11-16) welcomes ALBA Berlin (9-18) in Round 28. Baskonia has won three of its last four games, including the last road win at Bayern, and seems to be making a big push towards the postseason spots. ALBA has lost three of its last four games and needs to get back to the winning track if it wants to retain some options.

Baskonia has the worst offense in the league and plays against the fourth-best. That could seem a tall order for the hosts, but these teams are in opposite trends and Baskonia stands at the better end of those. Baskonia is also the EuroLeague team averaging the least assists per game, while ALBA is third, so this will be a clash of styles. If Baskonia manages to put its third-ranked defense at the top of its priority list against an opponent that gives up the most points this season, the hosts could be on their way to their fourth win in five games.

ALBA just fell short of defeating Barcelona in Berlin, and has now lost three of its last four games. Against Baskonia it will be a duel of opposite styles. ALBA will have to by-pass the tough defense of the hosts in order to display its fun-to-watch offense. If those league-best assists flow and those threes fall in the basket (third best numbers in the league for ALBA), the guests could upset Baskonia for a second time this season, even if missing some players like Peyton Siva.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-5.5) at 1.95 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Get up to £100 in Bet Credits!

News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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