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Euroleague Preview & Tips – Round 5 – 30/10/2019

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Obradovic Sloukas

Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

CSKA – Olympiacos

A duel between two Final Four regulars in the last years will have an un expected side due to things happening on both sides. CSKA Moscow (4-0) is one of the last two undefeated teams in the league but lost one of its main players, 2019 Final Four MVP Will Clyburn, for the season with ACL injury. On the other side, Olympiacos Piraeus (1-3) added two new names to the team over the weekend: Willie Reed and Taylor Rochestie, and that added to the recent change on the bench means that the Reds will need some time to offer their best version. Reed and Rochestie have not travelled to Moscow for the game.

CSKA will have to adjust to missing one of its key players for the rest of the season. However, the hosts have a deep roster with resources for all situations, and they currently are the best offense in the league (89.0 ppg.). They also stand in front of the Reds in almost all the main stats categories except for free throws, so despite such a big absence, CSKA still has the tools to come out of this duel victorious, especially at home.

Olympiacos is having one of the toughest trips of the season at a very convulsed moment. After two losses, two new players have arrived to help the team, but a visit to CSKA does not seem the best occasion for a test drive aside from the fact that neither player will travel to Moscow to make his debut. The calendar is unforgiving, but the Reds’ legendary fighting spirit remains untouched. Defense must be the key focus for the guests, as CSKA’s percentages indicate that mistakes behind almost always hit the net for the hosts. Reed and Rochestie will be motivated to show that they can contribute, so if they manage to give a little spark to the rest of the team, do not count Olympiacos out of this duel.

Willie Reed and Taylor Rochestie, the new signings, did not travel to Moscow for the game.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-10.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 30/10/2019, 10:00 CET, could have changed)

Zalgiris – Zenit

In-form Zalgiris Kaunas will seek its third straight win when it hosts Zenit St. Petersburg on Wednesday. The Lithuanian champs bested LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne in Round 4 thanks to tremendous defense and strong outside shooting. Zenit comes off a home loss against Panathinaikos OPAP Athens in which its 15 turnovers hurt the team, however, Zenit won on the road at Olympiacos Piraeus the week before.

Zalgiris has allowed the second-fewest points in the league this season (71.0 ppg.) and Zenit’s 71.0 points scored are among the fewest in the league. Defense is always important for Zalgiris, but this time the focus must be on the bigs since four of Zenit’s top five scorers are on its frontline.

Zenit’s 25 three-pointers attempted per game are above the league average, but its 31.0% accuracy from downtown is far below average. With proven marksmen like Andrew Albicy, Austin Hollins and Evgeny Voronov, Zenit can turn any game on its head by knocking down a higher percentage of triples than it has been recently.

basketball prediction Tip: No Bet

Maccabi – Fenerbahce

Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv will look for its third straight home win when it hosts Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul on Wednesday. The Israeli champs have held opponents to 66.0 points at home this season, but face a Fenerbahce team that has won three straight against Maccabi. Turkish national team player Scottie Wilbekin led Maccabi with 14 points in its ROund 4 win over Valencia Basket. Fenerbahce came up short 87-74 at AX Armani Exchange Milan. The good news was the return of Joffrey Lauvergne, who started alongside Jan Vesely and posted 14 points and 8 rebounds in 22 minutes.

Maccabi has been dominant in the paint thanks to the play of Tarik Black, Othello Hunter and co. Maccabi not only leads the league in two-point accuracy at 61.4%, but has held opponents to a league-low 38.2%. Maccabi is among the league leaders in rebounding (37.3 rpg.), too. Fenerbahce is strong inside with reigning EuroLeague MVP Jan Vesely as well as Joffrey Lauvergne, who was sharp in his season debut last week, but if Maccabi can retain its dominance inside it will be tough to beat.

Last season Fenerbahce was among the most efficient offensive teams in basketball, but its struggles to start the new campaign have seen it post only 73.5 points on 49.0% two-point shooting and 35.6% three-point shooting. However, with the additions of Nando De Colo and Derrick Williams to that roster, it is only a matter of time before Fenerbahce begins racking up the points again. Could it be this week?

basketball prediction Tip: 1 at 2.10 with bet365
(Price correct at 30/10/2019, 10:00 CET, could have changed)

Bayern – Real

Two sports giants meet again – on a basketball court. Both teams come off respective losses, which adds more anticipation to this showdown. Bayern lost at home against Khimki Moscow Region and Anadolu Efes Istanbul stopped Real at the Sinan Erdem Dome. Maodo Lo (13 ppg.) has been Bayern’s top scorer until now, followed by Nihad Dedovic (12.8) and Greg Monroe (12.3). Anthony Randolph (11.8 ppg.), Jordan Mickey (10.3 ppg.) and Facu Campazzo (9.5 ppg., 5.3 apg.) have led Real so far in this 2019-20 EuroLeague campaign.

Bayern’s shot selection and ball circulation have it ranked second in three-point shooting accuracy (42.0%) this season. Bayern is last in three-point shot attempts (17.3 per game), however. Bayern has managed to rebound well defensively (25.5 per game) and block shots (3.5 bpg.) to get its transition game going. Bayern needs Monroe and Danilo Barthel to stop Tavares and Mickey down low, as well as relying on Petteri Koponen, Vladimir Lucic and Dedovic to use their experience at both wings. A sellout crowd at Audi Dome will provide non-stop support.

First and foremost, Real needs to improve its two-point shooting percentage. Los Blancos rank 15th overall at 46.9%. Even when Real is shooting well from downtown (39.8%), it needs to score in the paint through Randolph, Tavares, Mickey and Gabriel Deck to balance its offense. As always, dominating the defensive boards will lead to easy transition points. It will be very important to set the right game tempo through Campazzo and Sergio Llull. If Real powers the boards and plays at the right pace, it will be main favorite to win, even on the road.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 158.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 30/10/2019, 10:00 CET, could have changed)

Barcelona – Valencia

It’s an all-Spanish duel to start the first double feature week of the season as undefeated FC Barcelona (4-0) welcomes winless Valencia Basket (0-4). Both teams are in opposite places right now. Barcelona’s star-studded roster has already proven that it knows how to win big and how to suffer to win, as the team just gets better with each game. On the other hand, Valencia will need a win fast in order to leave the last place in the standings, because the calendar is relentless.

Barcelona did not start the season with 4 straight wins since 2014-15, and it seems determined to stay on the winning path. The fact that it plays against a winless team might make it seem easier: Valencia is the only team in the league averaging less than 70 points (68.8 ppg.), Barca leads the league in rebounds (39.8 rpg.) and the hosts basically outdo Valencia in every aspect of the game. However, the guests will react sooner or later, and the fact that they know Barcelona well and that their trip will be short, could make Palau Blaugrana a great place for an ambush, so the hosts better stay focused like they showed in the first four games.

Everything looks dark at the moment for Valencia. They are the only winless team in the league, they have the weakest offense and they face one of the undefeated co-leaders. Coach Jaume Ponsarnau has a daunting task ahead of him, but Valencia is a team with resources. Only two players are averaging points in double digits – Dubljevic and Jordan Loyd – so it will need other players like Maurice Ndour, Quino Colom or Vanja Marinkovic to get more involved and bring those scoring numbers up as soon as possible.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+9.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 30/10/2019, 10:00 CET, could have changed)

News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


Euroleague Standings

Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 29 – Thursday

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Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

Get up to £100 in Bet Credits!

CSKA Moscow – ALBA Berlin

Back in-form CSKA Moscow will look to keep its momentum going when it hosts ALBA Berlin on Thursday. After dropping three of four, CSKA won twice last week, including a 31-point thumping of Panathinaikos in Athens. Every win is crucial for the champs, who are fighting for homecourt advantage in the playoffs. ALBA, which has lost three in a row, could see its playoff hopes formally put to an end if it losses and other results go the other way.

CSKA always does a great job of picking apart the opponents’ weaknesses and against ALBA it surely knows that by moving the ball and getting penetration or passing to the big men inside it will get great looks against ALBA, which allows a league-high 57.6% of two-point shots against opponents. Strong play from the CSKA bigs could decide this game.

While three-point shooting will be important to this game – the teams are ranked third (ALBA, 39.6%) and fourth (CSKA, 39.2%) in the league in three-point accuracy, rebounding for ALBA will be paramount. CSKA leads the league in rebounding (37.8 rpg.) and its league-best 26.0 defensive rebounds per game ignite many fast breaks. ALBA is a strong offensive rebounding team (fourth, 11.4 prpg.) and will need to be a factor there to avoid CSKA getting easy baskets in transition.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 167.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Valencia

A host with only first place left to clinch faces a visitor struggling for survival when Efes (24-4) welcomes Valencia (12-16) to Istanbul on Thursday. Efes assured itself home-court advantage in the playoffs last Friday when Shane Larkin returned to MVP form in a 91-79 win over Olympiacos Piraeus. Valencia (12-16) suffered its fourth straight loss, 81-83 in heartbreaking fashion to AX Armani Exchange Milan on a game-winning three-pointer to beat the buzzer in overtime. Valencia now shares ninth place just four rounds after having held seventh place alone.

It’s easy to say give the ball to Larkin when he has rained 10 triples and more than 4 points in two separate games this season. But Efes will have to be wary of some things Valencia does well, like offensive rebounds, drawing fouls, making free throws and assist-to-turnover rate, in all of which the visitors rank among the top five in the league. If Efes keeps up an aggressive pace, however, its endless bench could well make the difference.

The visitors would do well to grind it out, slow the game, and somehow keep both Larkin and Micic to a minimum of shots. They have a lot to do with Efes ranking first in both two- and three-point accuracy, so Valencia’s defenders will likely risk trying to turn off the spigot at its source. Not many defenses have had luck with that, but disrupting the perimeter play of Efes would change the dynamic of the game, and that’s not a bad way to try to beat the league leaders.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-11.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Maccabi – Baskonia

Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv will look to rebound from a loss in Belgrade when it meets red-hot KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz. Maccabi had won five in a row before its loss to Crvena Zvezda and is neck-and-neck with CSKA Moscow for fourth place, which is worth homecourt advantage in the playoffs. Baskonia has won three in a row to join a heated playoff race and at 12-16 in now one of five teams that is one win outside the playoff zone.

The test of rebounding in the game will be when Baskonia misses shots. Coach Ivanovic’s men are third in the league in offensive rebounds (11.5 orpg.) and Maccabi is second in defensive boards (25.7 drpg.). If Baskonia can make noise on the offensive glass and get a few extra second-chance baskets, it could go a long way. But if Maccabi locks down the defensive boards and turns them into transition points, the Israeli champs will be in pole position.

It is as important as ever for Baskonia to take good care of the ball against Maccabi. Baskonia has committed the second-most turnovers in the league (14.3 TOpg.), while Maccabi has taken more steals than any other team (7.8 spg.). There are many players on the Maccabi defense with quick hands and Baskonia must rise to the challenge to keep them at bay.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+8.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Real Madrid – Crvena Zvezda

Two teams with different goals in mind will meet in Round 29 when Real Madrid (22-6) hosts Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (11-17). Real has clinched a playoff berth and has won seven straight games, including last week against ASVEL at home. The hosts are looking to get the home-court advantage for the next phase. On the other side, Zvezda managed to win again last week after losing eight of its previous nine games. The Serbian champs defeated red-hot Maccabi at home to remain in the playoff hunt.

The hosts average almost 10 points more per game than the visitors,  are on a winning run and still fighting for a tangible goal. It’s hard to deny that going into the game, Real is the favorite. Los Blancos have better numbers on all fronts and that fact is summed up with a difference of average PIR of 102.6 vs. 77.5 in favor of Real. However, Zvezda is still looking for a playoff ticket and the last home win against such a solid team as Maccabi at this point could give the guests a boost of morale that could be dangerous for the hosts to underestimate.

Zvezda will land in Madrid with a lot of things at stake. It has everything to win… and everything to lose also. One could expect that the visitors can drop this game in the Spanish capital, but at this moment, Zvezda is still playing for a playoff ticket so winning in Madrid has become almost mandatory. It won’t be easy because Real is on a roll and is also playing for a specific goal. The visitors will have to come into the game pumped by the last win against Maccabi and with the idea to steal an upset that would put them in a good position to fight for one of the last places in the next phase.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.0 at 1.90 with bet365

(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Get up to £100 in Bet Credits!

News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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Basketball predictions today

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The only basketball tipster you will even need…

We love the NBA. We feel devotion with the Euroleague. We can’t wait for international basketball either. Call it Eurobasket or World Cup, you name it and we’ve got your basketball tips.

That explains why basketball is our second biggest sport in our interest list. We provide basketball tips including daily NBA predictions as well as Euroleague tips. We follow all major leagues around Europe and the biggest international tournaments like the Eurobasket. So, why don’t you sit comfortably and check our basketball tips below?

basketball prediction We also produce Euroleague tips for every match day of the competition.

Daily Basketball Picks

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* Odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change.

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 28 – Friday

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Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

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Khimki – Fenerbahce

Two teams in the thick of the playoffs race will face each other on Friday when Khimki Moscow Region (12-15) hosts Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul (13-14) for Round 28. After having won three in a row, Khimki’s streak came to a halt earlier this week at Zalgiris, while Fener won at home against Zvezda and finally entered the playoff positions.

Going into the game, Khimki’s best option will probably be to unleash its better offense. Fenerbahce is also the worst team of the league under the boards, so if the hosts manage to control those defensive rebounds and run on offense, thanks to their second-best assists numbers in the league, they could have solid options to take this win.

Fenerbahce finally overcame the mental obstacle of being outside of the playoffs zone, and seems to be getting up to speed. Even if Khimki shows better numbers on almost all aspects, the biggest weapon for the guests will be a strong mentality that is just getting stronger week after week and, of course, the second-best three-point shooting in the league.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 at 2.20 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Olympiacos

A classic EuroLeague matchup will live a new edition on Friday when league leader Anadolu Efes Istanbul (23-4) welcomes Olympiacos Piraeus (12-15) for Round 28. Efes comes off a rare loss earlier in the week at Maccabi that snapped its 11-game winning streak. The hosts will be facing the Reds, who land in Turkey fresh off a close win at home in the Greek derby against Panathinaikos earlier this week.

It’s kind of ironic that Efes suffered its first loss in 12 rounds just when it had its full roster available again. The hosts are the second-best offensive team in the league, and this loss shows that they are human after all, but it could also be a wake-up call just at the right time. Efes is already in the playoffs, but a win in this game combined with either a Maccabi or CSKA Moscow loss, would secure home-court advantage for the hosts in the next phase.

Olympiacos is having one of the most irregular seasons of the last decade, and having Vassilis Spanoulis and Nikola Milutinov sidelined does not help, either, However, the Reds have won three of their last four games and they are still pushing hard to make the playoffs in a tough competition. On paper, Efes is basically better at everything this season, but Olympiacos is famous for beating the odds, and the fact that they play on the road with the chance to avenge the home loss earlier this season just adds to the motivation.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 158.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Crvena Zvezda – Maccabi

Playoffs hopeful Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (10-17) will welcome Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv (19-8), a team that just punched its postseason ticket, on Friday for Round 28 of this double-feature week. The hosts are going through a rough patch, having lost eight of their last nine games, including a close one at Fenerbahce earlier this week, 66-63. On the other hand, Maccabi comes from a thrilling home win over Efes, 77-75, that increased its winning streak to five games and secured the club a playoff berth for the first time since 2015.

The hosts need to get out of the dark zone they are in right now. A motivated and happy team like Maccabi might not be the best option to do that, but Zvezda plays at home and that is always a big factor in any game. Maccabi does not have many weak points, but its free-throw percentage is the third-worst in the league, so stepping up on defense and then sending the guests to the line could work in Zvezda’s favor for this game.

Maccabi is in a good place right now. The team is playing well, the wins keep coming in and the playoffs are a reality once more after four seasons. Now it’s just a matter to keep pushing in order to earn home-court advantage. Maccabi has the upper hand in this game, especially in offense, and also with the second-best numbers of the league under the boards. Zvezda also has the worst percentage in two-pointers, so paying attention to defense could bring a big payoff to the guests.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-4.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Barcelona – Bayern

Two teams in opposite places will face each other on Friday as already qualified FC Barcelona (21-6) welcomes FC Bayern Munich (8-19) for Round 28. Barca is one of the hottest teams in the league, with eight consecutive wins, including on Wednesday against another German team, ALBA. The hosts also have the February MVP, Nikola Mirotic, on a roll. Bayern, on the other hand, has lost 11 of its last 13 games, including at home to Baskonia earlier this week, and at risk of soon being mathematically ruled out of the playoffs race.

It all looks bright for Barca going into this game. The hosts are facing the second-worst offense in the league, and the second-worst team in rebounds per game. All in all, Barcelona averages a PIR of 20 more than Bayern per game, plus the hosts are playing well and winning games like they had not done for quite a few seasons now. If Barca manages to execute its game plan, it should be able to add another win and get closer to home-court advantage in the playoffs.

Bayern is in a rough moment of the season and the fact that it plays on the road against one of the hottest teams does not help. Barca is a talented team with a deep bench, so Bayern will have to clench its teeth from tip-off and try to start building a win through defense. Expect the visitors to base their game on going inside to Greg Monroe and Danilo Barthel, and hope that creates space for shooters like Petteri Koponen, who will be playing on his former home floor.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Baskonia – ALBA Berlin

Two teams still in the race for the playoffs will square off on Friday when KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (11-16) welcomes ALBA Berlin (9-18) in Round 28. Baskonia has won three of its last four games, including the last road win at Bayern, and seems to be making a big push towards the postseason spots. ALBA has lost three of its last four games and needs to get back to the winning track if it wants to retain some options.

Baskonia has the worst offense in the league and plays against the fourth-best. That could seem a tall order for the hosts, but these teams are in opposite trends and Baskonia stands at the better end of those. Baskonia is also the EuroLeague team averaging the least assists per game, while ALBA is third, so this will be a clash of styles. If Baskonia manages to put its third-ranked defense at the top of its priority list against an opponent that gives up the most points this season, the hosts could be on their way to their fourth win in five games.

ALBA just fell short of defeating Barcelona in Berlin, and has now lost three of its last four games. Against Baskonia it will be a duel of opposite styles. ALBA will have to by-pass the tough defense of the hosts in order to display its fun-to-watch offense. If those league-best assists flow and those threes fall in the basket (third best numbers in the league for ALBA), the guests could upset Baskonia for a second time this season, even if missing some players like Peyton Siva.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-5.5) at 1.95 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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