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Euroleague Preview & Tips – Round 22 – The last third of the way



Euroleague basketball predictions included under each mini game preview.

Round 22 will close with another chapter in the exciting rivalry between Real Madrid and Olympiacos Piraeus. The two have met in the Turkish Airlines EuroLeague Championship Game twice in the last five years alone! Before that, Fenerbahce Dogus Istanbul will welcome former players Nikos Zisis and Ricky Hickman when it hosts Brose Bamberg and Valencia will host CSKA Moscow and Nando De Colo for the latter’s first game there since he played three years for the club.

Friday’s matches

Fenerbahce vs Brose Bamberg

Fenerbahce (14-7) will look to keep a grip on at least a share of second place by recording a fourth straight home win with the visit of a Brose team (8-13) that has not yet surrendered hope of climbing into the playoffs places. Don’t expect a shoot-out – Brose is the second-lowest scoring team in the Turkish Airlines Euroleague (75.3 points per game) while Fenerbahce has the second-best defense (73.5 ppg allowed). Former Fenerbahce players Nikos Zisis and Ricky Hickman return to Istanbul with Brose, which has blocked the joint lowest number of shots in the league (1.8 per game) so there could be plenty of rim-rocking action from Jan Vesely and co.

Tip: 2 (+11.5) at 1.90 with bet365

Crvenz Zvezda vs Olimpia Milan

On a roll Milan (7-14) will look for a third straight road win in a meeting with Zvezda (8-13), which could see the loser effectively kiss goodbye to realistic playoffs aspirations. The home team has the worst three-point shooting conversion rate in the league, making just 34.0% of attempts from downtown, but could improve that statistic against a Milan team which has allowed opponents to complete a higher percentage of three-pointers (41.8%) than anyone else. If it stays close, don’t expect Milan to freeze: the Italian team’s last two wins both came with shots in the dying seconds.

Tip: Winning Margin 3-way Any Other Result at 2.70 with bet365

Zalgiris vs Khimki Moscow

Confident Zalgiris (13-8) will look to maintain its strong challenge for home-court advantage in the playoffs by registering an eighth consecutive victory in Kaunas. But Khimki (12-9) is poised just one game behind the Lithuanian champion after winning three of its last four games, and would jump above the hosts in the standings with a win here thanks to a Round 2 victory in Moscow. Zalgiris’s players will have to keep their eye on the ball against a Khimki team that has made the joint-highest number of steals in the competition (7.5 per game).

Tip: 1 (-4.0) at 1.90 with bet365

Real Madrid vs Olympiacos

A clash of styles awaits in the Spanish capital as free-scoring Madrid (13-8), which is second in the league in scoring (84.2 pppg.) takes on the competition’s stingiest defense in 14-7 Olympiacos (73.1 ppg allowed). The Reds have suffered horribly on the road in recent weeks, losing four straight, while Madrid has won five in a row on its home floor. The backcourt battle between old master Vassilis Spanoulis (11.7 points, 5.1 assists per game) and rising star Luka Doncic (17.4 ppg. and 4.6 apg.) will be well worth watching, and sparks will surely fly as these old foes go head to head.

Tip: Over 161.5 at 1.90 with bet365

Euroleague Basketball Tips

25/04/2018ELReal Madrid v Panathinaikos1 (-5.5)Pre1.90bet36510+9
25/04/2018ELReal Madrid v Panathinaikos1 (-5.5)Pre1.90bet36510+9
02/03/2018ELPanathinaikos v Olympiacos2 (+5.5)Pre1.90bet36520+18
01/03/2018ELMilano v Anadolou EfesOver 168.0Pre1.90novibet10-10
23/02/2018ELKhimki v PanathinaikosUnder 155.5Pre1.90novibet40+36
22/02/2018ELOlympiacos v Valencia1 & Over 152.5Pre2.35novibet20-20
09/02/2018ELReal Madrid v OlympiacosOver 161.5Pre1.90bet36510-10
08/02/2018ELPanathinaikos v Baskonia2 (+5.5)Pre1.90bet365100+90
02/02/2018ELBrose Bamberg v PanathinaikosWinning Margin 3-way: Any Other (1-5 points)Pre2.75bet36540-40
26/01/2018ELCrvena Zvezda v OlympiacosUnder 149.5Pre1.90bet36520-20
25/01/2018ELPanathinaikos v Zalgiris1 (-8.0)Pre1.90bet36510-10
19/01/2018ELPanathinaikos v CSKA MoscowUnder 161.0Pre1.90bet36510+9
18/01/2018ELMaccabi v Crvena ZvezdaOver 162.5Pre1.90bet36510+9
17/01/2018ELFenerbahce v Panathinaikos2 (+5.0)Pre1.90bet36510-
16/01/2018ELOlympiacos v MaccabiOver 154.0Pre1.90bet36520+18
12/01/2018ELBaskonia v Olympiacos2Pre2.25bet36510-10
11/01/2018ELPanathinaikos v BarcelonaOver 156.5Pre1.90bet36510+9
05/01/2018ELBrose Bamberg v Khimki MoscowUnder 156.5Pre1.90bet36510+9
05/01/2018ELOlympiacos v Milano2 (+9.5)Pre1.90bet36520+18
04/01/2018ELPanathinaikos v Anadolu Efes2 (+9.0)Pre1.90bet36510-10
29/12/2017ELMilano v Crvena Zvezda2 (+5.0)Pre1.90bet36510+9
29/12/2017ELKhimki v Barcelona2 (+4.5)Pre1.90bet36520+18
28/12/2017ELValencia v Panathinaikos2 (-2.0)Pre1.90bet36510-10
28/12/2017ELZalgiris v Olympiacos1 (-2.5)Pre1.90bet365100+90
22/12/2017ELBaskonia v Barcelona2Pre2.67bet36540-40
22/12/2017ELAnadolu Efes v Olympiacos1Pre2.15bet36520-20
21/12/2017ELCrvena Zvezda v PanathinaikosWinning 3-way
Any other result
(any win 1-6p)
20/12/2017ELMilano v Baskonia1Pre2.00bet36520+18
19/12/2017ELPanathinaikos v MaccabiUnder 159.5Pre1.90bet36510-10
14/12/2017ELBamberg v Olympiacos1Pre2.50bet36510+15
08/12/2017ELOlympiacos v Real MadridUnder 156.5Pre1.90bet36510+9
01/12/2017ELPanathinaikos v MalagaOver 150.5Pre1.90bet365250+225
01/12/2017ELReal Madrid v Crvena Zvezda1 (-13.0)Pre1.90bet365100-100
30/11/2017EL1. Khimki v Bamberg
2. Efes v Milano
3. Baskonia v Fenerbahce
1. 1 (-4.5)
2. Over 162.5
3. 2 (-1.5)
Pre - Treble6.95bet36540-40
30/11/2017ELValencia v OlympiacosWinning Margin 3-way - OtherPre2.55bet36520-20
24/11/2017ELPanathinaikos v Real Madrid1 (-3.5)Pre1.90bet36510-10
23/11/2017ELMilano v OlympiacosOver 148.5Pre1.90bet36510+9
17/11/2017ELCSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce2 (+6.0)Pre1.90bet36540+36
15/11/2017ELFenerbahce v Olympiacos1 (-6.5)Pre1.90bet36520-20
14/11/2017ELPanathinaikos v Khimki MoscowUnder 157.5Pre1.90bet36510-10
10/11/2017ELOlympiacos v Panathinaikos2 (+5.0)Pre1.90bet36510+9
09/11/2017ELCSKA Moscow v ValenciaUnder 162.5Pre1.90bet36520+18
02/11/2017ELBaskonia v PanathinaikosUnder 152.5Pre1.90bet36510-10

Thursday’s matches

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Barcelona

Barcelona (7-14) has won four straight against Maccabi (11-10) and has no choice but to do so again in order to preserve its slender playoffs hopes. Maccabi has been a free-scoring outfit at home in recent weeks, averaging 85.7 points in its last six games in Tel Aviv. But the hosts have also struggled defensively, allowing opponents to score at least 88 points in six of the last seven. Both teams have great potential, but are also highly inconsistent, with neither having won more than two consecutive games at any stage so far this season.

Tip: 2 at 2.60 with bet365

Panathinaikos vs Baskonia

A big battle with major implications will unfold in Athens, where Panathinaikos (13-8) will look for a return to form after losing three of its last four games, while Baskonia (10-11) is aiming to burst into the top half of the standings with a third straight win. Baskonia dished 28 assists in last week’s big win over Zvezda, the second-highest tally in club history, but will be hard pushed to repeat that feat against a Panathinaikos defense that has allowed its opponents an average of just 16.1 assists per game – second-best in the league.

Tip: 2 (+6.0) at 1.90 with bet365

Valencia vs CSKA Moscow

League-leading CSKA (17-4) could move to the brink of a playoffs place by making it six wins in a row with a trip to injury-ravaged Valencia (7-14), which is running out of chances to prolong its challenge for post-season action after alternating between wins and losses over the last six games. It’s a meeting of the competition’s top offense (CSKA, 88.8 points per game) and the third-worst (Valencia, 75.4 ppg), and the host will be hoping for an off-day from former favorite Nando De Colo in his first return to the city since his three year playing stint.

Tip: Under 165.5 at 1.90 with bet365

Unicaja Malaga vs Anadolu Efes

After suffering two consecutive defeats on the final buzzer and losing five of its last six, Unicaja (8-13) is looking for an injection of positivity against an Efes team (6-15) hoping to climb out of the cellar by gaining its first road win since Round 7. The teams are very closely matched in most statistical categories, but Unicaja’s dangerous collection of long-range shooters will hope to profit from the fact that Efes has allowed its opponents to convert 41.7% of three-point attempts – second-worst in the league.

Tip: 2 (+4.5) at 1.90 with bet365

Basketball Tips:

Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore


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Euroleague Preview & Tips – Play-offs Game 2



Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

Real – Panathinaikos

Real Madrid held off a stirring comeback from Panathinaikos OPAP Athens to record a thrilling 75-72 home victory in the opening game of their playoffs series. Madrid was in front nearly all night and led by 14 early in the third quarter, but the Greens did not give up and roared in front 66-72 with 4 minutes left. Jeffery Taylor paced the winners with 13 points, Fabien Causeur scored 12. Nick Calathes recovered from a slow start to lead all scorers with 17 points for the Greens.

The hosts won the first game by the skin of their teeth but if one good thing comes out of that win is that now the team knows they can handle playoffs pressure. Panathinaikos had a solid 9 of 20 form the arc, so Madrid will have to watch for those open shots from long range, as well as the rebounds, as the guests managed to win the battle under the glass 38-39.

Panathinaikos was on the verge of upsetting the defending champs in Madrid, and that’s a good sign for future games. The problem for the Greens was that Madrid was consisten from the free throws line with 19 of 22 attempts, and in such close games, that is a huge factor. Also, Panathinaikos has the best passer in the league in Nick Calathes and got stuck at 10 assists, the third lowest mark for the team this season.

Tip: 2 at 3.15 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/04/2019, 09:05 CET)

Anadolu Efes – Barcelona

Anadolu Efes started the playoffs in style with a Game 1 win, but both teams know that it will be meaningless if Barcelona can even the series with a road win on Friday in Istanbul. The teams finished fourth and fifth, respectively in the regular season, but Efes finished stronger to get home-court advantage in the playoffs and for good reason. Efes is now 13-3 at home this season and Barcelona is 6-10 on the road.

The hosts gave no thought to Game 2 on Wednesday as they played their best players at length to open the series with a victory. However, the price paid is that four starters topped 30 minutes: Adrien Moerman (37:31), Krunoslav Simon (32:32), Vasilije Micic (31:08) and Bryant Dunston (30:05). Even though it’s the playoffs and players must give their all, fatigue may be a concern in a close Game 2. Efes will hope that the injured Brock Motum is available Friday and for bigger contributions from Rodrigue Beaubois, Dogus Balbay and Tibor Pleiss. Otherwise, Barcelona’s players – none of whom played even close to 30 – may have fresher legs down the stretch.

So many things went right for Barcelona in Game 1, yet Coach Pesic’s men still came up short. The visitors outrebounded Efes 32-38 and only committed 7 turnovers. Barcelona scored 18 second-chance points. The problem was shooting; Barcelona made just 21 of 44 two-pointers (47.7%) and 6 of 23 threes (26.1%). If Barcelona shot its regular season average on the same shots, it would have scored 80 points. A better shooting night is imperative to win Game 2 in Istanbul.

Tip: 1 (-4.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 19/04/2019, 09:05 CET)

CSKA Moscow – Baskonia

The pivotal second game of this best-of-five series tips off in Moscow where host CSKA looks to double up its lead, while Baskonia seeks to tie the score before heading to Vitoria-Gasteiz for Game 3 – and, if necessary, Game 4 – next week. CSKA stretched its home-court winning streak against Baskonia to 15 games with its Game 1 victory and the last two of those have been decided by big quarters in the second half.

CSKA Moscow began the playoffs with a convincing 94-68 victory over KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz in Game 1 of their best-of-five series.

CSKA outplayed Baskonia in the paint in Game 1. The hosts won the rebounding battle 31-25 and shot 60% on two-pointers, while Baskonia settled for 54.5%. League-leading rebounder Vincent Poirier was held to just 5 boards and All-EuroLeague big man Toko Shengelia scored just 6 points off the bench. Othello Hunter and Nikita Kurbanov in the starting five and Kyle Hines and Alec Peters off the bench did their job against Baskonia’s bigger frontline and if they can do it again, CSKA may start thinking about a sweep.

Baskonia was unable to follow its plans on Tuesday in part because Coach Perasovic was dealing with foul trouble from the start. Point guard Luca Vildoza was called for 2 early fouls and his replacement, Marcelinho Huertas, soon found himself in a similar situation. Shavon Shields was the team’s most effective offensive weapon, but he fouled out after just 20 minutes on the floor. CSKA has many guards who specialize in drawing fouls and it will be imperative for the visitors’ backcourt to avoid that trap and be ready to follow the game plan for 40 minutes.

Tip: Over 163.0 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 18/04/2019, 08:25 CET)

Fenerbahce – Zalgiris

Fenerbahce will try to remain perfect on its home floor and climb within one win of its fifth consecutive EuroLeague Final Four appearance when it welcomes Zalgiris for Game 2 of their best-of-five series. Fenerbahce has won all 16 home games this season and is on an 18-game home-court winning streak dating back to last season’s playoffs. Fenerbahce has also won all eight of its playoff games at home under Coach Obradovic, dating back to 2015.

Fenerbahce took control of the series behind a stellar defensive performance, beating Zalgiris 76-43 on Tuesday.

After an impressive display in Game 1, Fenerbahce’s challenge is to bring the same energy and focus into Game 2. Fenerbahce will want to avoid a letdown at all costs and try to get a quick start to carry the momentum from the first game. Fenerbahce will also like to get more from Jan Vesely, especially with Joffrey Lauvergne sidelined with an injury.

As Zalgiris head coach Sarunas Jasikevicius pointed out after the Game 1 loss, his team needs to find a way to answer Fenerbahce’s physicality. Zalgiris will need to take better care of the ball after committing 23 turnovers in the series opener. The visitors must also knock down some shots. Despite Fenerbahce’s defense, Zalgiris did find a bunch of open looks, but made just 3 of 16 three-point shots (18.8%) and will need to do much better than that to get a chance to win this contest.

Tip: 1 (-12.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 18/04/2019, 08:25 CET)

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Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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Euroleague Preview & Tips – Play-offs Game 1



Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

Real – Panathinaikos

For the second season in a row, these teams meet in the playoffs. This time, the series begins in the Spanish capital. The teams arrive in much different momentums. Madrid lost two of its last three games and is facing the possibility of starting the series without point guard and former EuroLeague MVP Sergio Llull. Panathinaikos is among the hottest teams in the league with seven wins from its last eight games. However, the lone Madrid win and Panathinaikos defeat in the aforementioned periods was in Athens on a Rudy Fernandez buzzer-beating three in Round 29.

Madrid enters this series with its on-court leader, Sergio Llull, injured. The team must collectively make up for his absence in many areas. First is playing time; with two games in three days, the knock to the team’s depth is relevant. Madrid will also miss his backcourt scoring and leadership. Having Facu Campazzo to step into the starting lineup is huge, but without a natural third point guard, running the offense when Camapzzo rests will be more difficult. Playing well in these minutes is vital for Madrid.

Among many things that Panathinaikos must do to slow down Madrid’s offense, the Greens need strong play in the front. Center Georgios Papagiannis played very well down the stretch for Coach Pitino and had a respectable 9 points and 7 boards against Madrid last time. Beyond his contributions in numbers, Papagiannis must be a physical presence to limit Walter Tavares, Gustavo Ayon and Felipe Reyes without getting into foul trouble. It’s a big ask, but important for his team’s success.

Tip: 2 (+7.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/04/2019, 09:45 CET)

Anadolu Efes – Barcelona

It is a little bit of a historic occasion for Efes as it welcomes Barcelona for Game 1 of their best-of-five series. This will mark the first time Efes hosts a series opener in the Turkish Airlines EuroLeague this century. Efes is also attempting to get its first series win in its sixth attempt. Meanwhile, Barcelona returns to the playoffs after missing them the last two years and will look to return to the Final Four for the first time since 2014. In its previous three attempts, Barcelona has never won a Game 1 on the road.

The team holding home-court advantage would not want to jeopardize losing it with a slow start to the series. Efes ranks second in two-point (58.9%) and three-point (40.7%) accuracy, which means that its offense is likely to get going at some point of the game. But Efes needs to make sure that does not happen too late, and suddenly find itself playing catch-up. Coach Ergin Ataman’s men need to bring focus and energy from the opening tip-off in this game, to take control, just like they did against this same opponent in Round 25.

Barcelona allowed 76.4 points per game during the regular season, second-fewest in the competition, and it has relied on its defense throughout the season. It will be important for Barcelona to slow down the Efes ballhandlers — Micic, Shane Larkin and Krunoslav Simon — and make sure Efes does not get into its free-flowing offense, which posts 85.4 points and 19.9 assists per contest. Efes is also extremely dangerous in transition, and preventing the hosts from getting their usual dosage of easy buckets will be one of Barcelona’s priorities.

Tip: 1 (-4.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/04/2019, 09:45 CET)

CSKA Moscow – Baskonia

The playoffs begin the Russian capital with CSKA facing Baskonia in a repeat of their Round 30 game. CSKA has a long and impressive history both against Baskonia at home and the playoffs in general. The Russian giants have not lost a home game against Baskonia since 2005 and have not lost a playoff series this century. Baskonia has reasons for optimism after putting up a good fight in their most-recent meeting and slowly rebuilding chemistry with players returning from injuries.

Even after not playing to its standards for 30 minutes, one big quarter was enough for CSKA to take down Baskonia in Round 30. But that may not always be the case. What CSKA did well in that game was get good shots and make them (50.0% 2FG and 47.1% 3FG). However, it was outrebounded 28-35. Baskonia collected 12 offensive rebounds and turned them into 18 second-chance points. CSKA had just 6 second-chance points from 6 offensive rebounds. Closing that gap could pay dividends for Coach Itoudis’s men.

Baskonia committed the fifth-most turnovers in the league this season 12.8 per game. It made 15 in the Round 30 loss in Moscow. Every lost ball is a lost opportunity and in playoff basketball, one cannot let many opportunities go unused. Only Marcelinho Huertas (2.4 TOpg.) has committed more than 2 turnovers per game this season, so the effort must be a collective one. Look for Baskonia to be prepared for all of CSKA’s defensive looks to avoid wasting possessions with turnovers.

Tip: 1 (-8.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 16/04/2019, 09:45 CET)

Fenerbahce – Zalgiris

It’s a series opener on the Asian side of Istanbul as Fenerbahce is prepared to host Zalgiris. Fenerbahce is undefeated on its home floor this season, and has won 17 EuroLeague games in a row at Ulker Sports and Event Hall dating back to last season. Fenerbahce is also 7-0 at home in the playoffs under coach Zeljko Obradovic. As Fenerbahce attempts to protect that streak and pave the way to its fifth consecutive Turkish Airlines EuroLeague Final Four appearance, upset-minded Zalgiris arrives red-hot to Game 1 with lots of momentum after a six-game winning streak to reach the playoffs at the last gasp.

Fenerbahce has not become the first team with 25 wins in the regular season by accident. Its defense allows league-low 75.8 points per game, and its offense has some of the best shooting percentages in EuroLeague history. Its 59.0% on two-pointers is the second-highest and 43.18% of three-pointers the third-highest accuracy in the EuroLeague this century. Despite such shooting prowess, Fenerbahce needs high energy and defensive intensity to grab control of the game, and the series.

In the two games earlier this season, Zalgiris did not manage to contain Kostas Sloukas. To steal Game 1, coach Sarunas Jasikevicius’s men need to start with defense on Fenerbahce’s playmaker while trying to slow the pace to cool down both the home players and their fans. Zalgiris will also need to make sure to control the defensive glass. Fenerbahce is tied for last place in offensive rebounds (8.2), and Zalgiris needs to make sure that those second-chance opportunities stay low.

Tip: Under 150.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 16/04/2019, 09:45 CET)

Basketball Predictions

Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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