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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 19 – Tuesday

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Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

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CSKA Moscow – Real Madrid

The two most successful clubs in European history take each other’s measure at mid-season as CSKA Moscow (12-6) hosts streaking Real Madrid (15-3) to light the spark of a double-round week that could have long-term repercussions for all teams. CSKA has fought off injuries to win six of eight games and tie for fourth place, while Real has matched its longest winning streak this century, 13 games, which is also the longest under the EuroLeague’s new format since 2016.

CSKA is unlikely to ride only a great game by James to victory over such a deep team as Madrid. But neither will the hosts leave anything to chance. Having Darrun Hilliard on the wing, Nikita Kurbanov in transition, and Johannes Voigtmann in the corners round out its offense will give CSKA a lot more chances. And the hosts, ranked first in overall rebounding this season, need to imposed that advantage on the boards, as well. If they do all that, CSKA will be hard to beat, even for Real.

Real’s streak will face its ultimate test against a team on whose court it has not won since 2008. Its top scorer, Anthony Randolph, won’t make the trip due to injury, so the visitors can expect to have to win with defense. Around the basket, that means the league’s top shot-blocker, Walter Tavares, has to be on his game. And on the perimeter, it’ll be a matter of making a driver out of James, which proved successful in their first game. Real must expect ups and downs offensively that will require compensation on the defensive end.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 166.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 14/01/2020, 08:55 CET, subject to change)

Khimki – Valencia

Two teams tied for ninth place in the standings will face each other for the chance to stay there or rise when Khimki Moscow Region (8-10) hosts Valencia Basket (8-10) in Round 19 on Tuesday. Both teams lost their last games and will look to be back on the winning track as soon as possible, especially against a foe that could be a direct rival for a playoff spot in the long run.

Having dropped four of its last five games, the last three in a row, Khimki needs to get to the W side as fast as possible. The hosts have some of the best offensive weapons and percentages in the league, but Valencia seems to take the upper hand on the defensive side. The numbers between both teams are rather close, so the hosts will have to step it up on defense, in which case their options to keep the win in Moscow will raise dramatically.

Valencia comes from a difficult home loss to Olympiacos, but the team is on the right path, and will look not to divert from it too much in Moscow. Valencia dominates the rebounds and a couple other defensive statistics, while it’s not too far away from Khimki on the others. If it becomes a close game like the first time this season however, the guests will have to pay attention at their lower percentage from the stripe. Those small details can make a big difference in the end.

Valencia will be missing Mike Tobey and Bojan Dubljevic at center in the game against Khimki.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 176.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 14/01/2020, 08:55 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Milano

High-flying co-leader Efes (15-3) takes on sixth-place Milan (10-8) in a game between teams that have found ways to win at the start of the new year. Efes comes off a big-ticket road win over FC Barcelona and has prevailed in 11 of its last 12 games. Milan beat visiting Panathinaikos OPAP Athens for its third victory in four games since shaking off a five-game losing streak.

The hosts have no trouble piling up the points as the EuroLeague’s third-ranked offense (86.6 ppg.), which makes their defense a bigger focus. Despite solid three-point accuracy (39.5%) Milan likes to go inside, which is where Efes is short-handed due to defensive ace Bryant Dunston being injured. These teams are very evenly matched in rebounds, and controlling them could be enough for Efes to use its home-court advantage for yet another victory. Pulling Milan’s big men to the perimeter will open up lanes for Larkin and friends to do their damage.

The visitors excel at limiting assists and three-pointers to their opponents, on the road as much as at home. Both of those are imperatives to stop Efes in Istanbul, but Milan will still be required to play solid one-on-one defense, intimidate around the rim and rebound, rebound, rebound. Milan would seem to prefer a slower pace, but considering how fluently Efes fills the basket it would also behoove the visitors to take advantage of transition scoring opportunities and not depend solely on game tempo and superior shooting accuracy, should it come, to stay close enough for an upset bid.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-8.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 14/01/2020, 08:55 CET, subject to change)

Fenerbahce – Villeurbanne

Surging old stanby Fenerbahce (7-11) looks to step over newcomer ASVEL (8-10) in the standings when they face off on Tuesday. Fenerbahce is coming off two road wins amid signs that its old dominance has returned. ASVEL has lost two in a row at home, making it seven defeats in 10 games, and counts this as the first of a daunting three-game road trip to stay within shouting distance of the playoff spots.

Nailing 16 three-pointers in consecutive games went a long way to making Fenerbahce’s resurgence happen over the last two weeks. Leo Westermann and De Colo combined for 17 of those 32 triples, calling to mind that Fenerbahce built its dominance over five years on the second-best three-point shooting (both total made and percentage) in the EuroLeague. Anything close to 16 three-pointers at home will make ASVEL’s task extremely difficult. What solid outside shooting has done lately is let Fenerbahce’s injury-thinned frontcourt concentrate on its job around the rim, where it rebounded to a draw over the last two weeks, avoiding what has been one of the team’s big problems this season.

Neither team is great at overall rebounding, but ASVEL does a lot better on the offensive glass, where Fenerbahce is vulnerable. Adreian Payne has joined Tonye Jekiri, who ranks second with 3.0 offensive boards per game, in giving opponents lots to think about inside. They will need to combine forces in Istanbul so that their teammates in the backcourt may focus a whole lot of their attention on stopping Fenerbahce’s experienced perimeter players at one end and on eluding the hosts’ strong defense on first and second passes at the other. If the guards are successful, Jekiri and Payne may find themselves getting plenty of scoring chances for ASVEL, too.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+11.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 14/01/2020, 08:55 CET, subject to change)

Olympiacos – ALBA Berlin

Two teams facing similarly difficult moments will square off on Tuesday as Olympiacos Piraeus (7-11) hosts ALBA Berlin (5-13) for Round 19. Olympiacos snapped a losing streak against Valencia and will have Georgios Bartzokas returning to its bench to try to stay on the right path. ALBA has lost six of the last seven games and will look to steal a win in Piraeus to try to rise up again.

The hosts welcome Bartzokas back to the bench with the goal of trying to build a streak off of their last win against Valencia. ALBA is the more offensive team, and the Reds’ defense will have to work hard to try and limit the league-best 19.8 assists per game of the guests. If Olympiacos has its main players healthy and looks for options to maintain or even increase its 55% efficiency on two-point shots, it will have solid chances to add another win.

Injuries have been plaguing ALBA these last months and the results reflect that. Peyton Siva returned for ALBA last week, and as the team’s long-time floor director, his presence helps everyone on the team. ALBA’s offensive style can beat anyone, but the team must not forget defense and try to control the rebounds as Olympiacos is the fifth-best team in the league in that regard. The game around the basket, where Olympiacos is tough, must be a defensive priority of the visitors, who shoot better than the Reds in other places on the court.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-7.5) at 1.86 with bet365
(Price correct at 14/01/2020, 08:55 CET, subject to change)

Maccabi – Barcelona

Two teams with top-five records and already with thoughts of home-court advantage for the playoffs meet in Tel Aviv when Maccabi FOX hosts FC Barcelona. Maccabi comes off a road win at ALBA Berlin to begin a stretch that will see it plat four of its next five games at home. The Israeli champs are also regaining strength in the rotation with the return from injury of Nate Wolters, while newcomers Jalen Reynolds and Aaron Jackson gain form. Barcelona, which begins a tough week that will see it play Fenerbahce Beko in Istanbul on Thursday, will look to stop a two-game slide.

Nikola Mirotic has dominated for Barcelona this season, but when he has struggled, Barcelona has had trouble winning. The star forward has failed to record a performance index rating of 20 in any of his team’s five defeats; he’s averaged 16.4 points on 14 of 29 two-pointers (48.3%) and 12-of-34 shooting on threes (35.3%) plus 5.0 rebounds in losses, which are still strong numbers, but lower and less efficient than his norm. Maccabi will use a mix of the physical Quincy Acy, the young Deni Avdija and the versatile Angelo Caloiaro to guard Mirotic knowing that slowing him down would be a boon to the home team.

Barcelona had 20 assists and just 10 turnovers in its win against Maccabi. That was much better (2.00) than its regular assist-to-turnover ratio: 1.39. Preventing Maccabi from dominating the boards will be critical for Coach Svetislav Pesic’s team, as well as running its offense through Mirotic, Brandon Davies and Ante Tomic. The more points in the paint, the better looks Barcelona will find for sharpshooters Kyle Kuric, Alex Abrines and Cory Higgins.

basketball prediction Tip: Winning Margin 3-way: Any other result (1-5 points difference) at 2.50 with bet365
(Price correct at 14/01/2020, 08:55 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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* Odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change.

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 29 – Thursday

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CSKA Moscow – ALBA Berlin

Back in-form CSKA Moscow will look to keep its momentum going when it hosts ALBA Berlin on Thursday. After dropping three of four, CSKA won twice last week, including a 31-point thumping of Panathinaikos in Athens. Every win is crucial for the champs, who are fighting for homecourt advantage in the playoffs. ALBA, which has lost three in a row, could see its playoff hopes formally put to an end if it losses and other results go the other way.

CSKA always does a great job of picking apart the opponents’ weaknesses and against ALBA it surely knows that by moving the ball and getting penetration or passing to the big men inside it will get great looks against ALBA, which allows a league-high 57.6% of two-point shots against opponents. Strong play from the CSKA bigs could decide this game.

While three-point shooting will be important to this game – the teams are ranked third (ALBA, 39.6%) and fourth (CSKA, 39.2%) in the league in three-point accuracy, rebounding for ALBA will be paramount. CSKA leads the league in rebounding (37.8 rpg.) and its league-best 26.0 defensive rebounds per game ignite many fast breaks. ALBA is a strong offensive rebounding team (fourth, 11.4 prpg.) and will need to be a factor there to avoid CSKA getting easy baskets in transition.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 167.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Valencia

A host with only first place left to clinch faces a visitor struggling for survival when Efes (24-4) welcomes Valencia (12-16) to Istanbul on Thursday. Efes assured itself home-court advantage in the playoffs last Friday when Shane Larkin returned to MVP form in a 91-79 win over Olympiacos Piraeus. Valencia (12-16) suffered its fourth straight loss, 81-83 in heartbreaking fashion to AX Armani Exchange Milan on a game-winning three-pointer to beat the buzzer in overtime. Valencia now shares ninth place just four rounds after having held seventh place alone.

It’s easy to say give the ball to Larkin when he has rained 10 triples and more than 4 points in two separate games this season. But Efes will have to be wary of some things Valencia does well, like offensive rebounds, drawing fouls, making free throws and assist-to-turnover rate, in all of which the visitors rank among the top five in the league. If Efes keeps up an aggressive pace, however, its endless bench could well make the difference.

The visitors would do well to grind it out, slow the game, and somehow keep both Larkin and Micic to a minimum of shots. They have a lot to do with Efes ranking first in both two- and three-point accuracy, so Valencia’s defenders will likely risk trying to turn off the spigot at its source. Not many defenses have had luck with that, but disrupting the perimeter play of Efes would change the dynamic of the game, and that’s not a bad way to try to beat the league leaders.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-11.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Maccabi – Baskonia

Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv will look to rebound from a loss in Belgrade when it meets red-hot KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz. Maccabi had won five in a row before its loss to Crvena Zvezda and is neck-and-neck with CSKA Moscow for fourth place, which is worth homecourt advantage in the playoffs. Baskonia has won three in a row to join a heated playoff race and at 12-16 in now one of five teams that is one win outside the playoff zone.

The test of rebounding in the game will be when Baskonia misses shots. Coach Ivanovic’s men are third in the league in offensive rebounds (11.5 orpg.) and Maccabi is second in defensive boards (25.7 drpg.). If Baskonia can make noise on the offensive glass and get a few extra second-chance baskets, it could go a long way. But if Maccabi locks down the defensive boards and turns them into transition points, the Israeli champs will be in pole position.

It is as important as ever for Baskonia to take good care of the ball against Maccabi. Baskonia has committed the second-most turnovers in the league (14.3 TOpg.), while Maccabi has taken more steals than any other team (7.8 spg.). There are many players on the Maccabi defense with quick hands and Baskonia must rise to the challenge to keep them at bay.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+8.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Real Madrid – Crvena Zvezda

Two teams with different goals in mind will meet in Round 29 when Real Madrid (22-6) hosts Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (11-17). Real has clinched a playoff berth and has won seven straight games, including last week against ASVEL at home. The hosts are looking to get the home-court advantage for the next phase. On the other side, Zvezda managed to win again last week after losing eight of its previous nine games. The Serbian champs defeated red-hot Maccabi at home to remain in the playoff hunt.

The hosts average almost 10 points more per game than the visitors,  are on a winning run and still fighting for a tangible goal. It’s hard to deny that going into the game, Real is the favorite. Los Blancos have better numbers on all fronts and that fact is summed up with a difference of average PIR of 102.6 vs. 77.5 in favor of Real. However, Zvezda is still looking for a playoff ticket and the last home win against such a solid team as Maccabi at this point could give the guests a boost of morale that could be dangerous for the hosts to underestimate.

Zvezda will land in Madrid with a lot of things at stake. It has everything to win… and everything to lose also. One could expect that the visitors can drop this game in the Spanish capital, but at this moment, Zvezda is still playing for a playoff ticket so winning in Madrid has become almost mandatory. It won’t be easy because Real is on a roll and is also playing for a specific goal. The visitors will have to come into the game pumped by the last win against Maccabi and with the idea to steal an upset that would put them in a good position to fight for one of the last places in the next phase.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.0 at 1.90 with bet365

(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 28 – Friday

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Mirotic Barca

Euroleague Basketball Tips

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Khimki – Fenerbahce

Two teams in the thick of the playoffs race will face each other on Friday when Khimki Moscow Region (12-15) hosts Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul (13-14) for Round 28. After having won three in a row, Khimki’s streak came to a halt earlier this week at Zalgiris, while Fener won at home against Zvezda and finally entered the playoff positions.

Going into the game, Khimki’s best option will probably be to unleash its better offense. Fenerbahce is also the worst team of the league under the boards, so if the hosts manage to control those defensive rebounds and run on offense, thanks to their second-best assists numbers in the league, they could have solid options to take this win.

Fenerbahce finally overcame the mental obstacle of being outside of the playoffs zone, and seems to be getting up to speed. Even if Khimki shows better numbers on almost all aspects, the biggest weapon for the guests will be a strong mentality that is just getting stronger week after week and, of course, the second-best three-point shooting in the league.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 at 2.20 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Olympiacos

A classic EuroLeague matchup will live a new edition on Friday when league leader Anadolu Efes Istanbul (23-4) welcomes Olympiacos Piraeus (12-15) for Round 28. Efes comes off a rare loss earlier in the week at Maccabi that snapped its 11-game winning streak. The hosts will be facing the Reds, who land in Turkey fresh off a close win at home in the Greek derby against Panathinaikos earlier this week.

It’s kind of ironic that Efes suffered its first loss in 12 rounds just when it had its full roster available again. The hosts are the second-best offensive team in the league, and this loss shows that they are human after all, but it could also be a wake-up call just at the right time. Efes is already in the playoffs, but a win in this game combined with either a Maccabi or CSKA Moscow loss, would secure home-court advantage for the hosts in the next phase.

Olympiacos is having one of the most irregular seasons of the last decade, and having Vassilis Spanoulis and Nikola Milutinov sidelined does not help, either, However, the Reds have won three of their last four games and they are still pushing hard to make the playoffs in a tough competition. On paper, Efes is basically better at everything this season, but Olympiacos is famous for beating the odds, and the fact that they play on the road with the chance to avenge the home loss earlier this season just adds to the motivation.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 158.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Crvena Zvezda – Maccabi

Playoffs hopeful Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (10-17) will welcome Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv (19-8), a team that just punched its postseason ticket, on Friday for Round 28 of this double-feature week. The hosts are going through a rough patch, having lost eight of their last nine games, including a close one at Fenerbahce earlier this week, 66-63. On the other hand, Maccabi comes from a thrilling home win over Efes, 77-75, that increased its winning streak to five games and secured the club a playoff berth for the first time since 2015.

The hosts need to get out of the dark zone they are in right now. A motivated and happy team like Maccabi might not be the best option to do that, but Zvezda plays at home and that is always a big factor in any game. Maccabi does not have many weak points, but its free-throw percentage is the third-worst in the league, so stepping up on defense and then sending the guests to the line could work in Zvezda’s favor for this game.

Maccabi is in a good place right now. The team is playing well, the wins keep coming in and the playoffs are a reality once more after four seasons. Now it’s just a matter to keep pushing in order to earn home-court advantage. Maccabi has the upper hand in this game, especially in offense, and also with the second-best numbers of the league under the boards. Zvezda also has the worst percentage in two-pointers, so paying attention to defense could bring a big payoff to the guests.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-4.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Barcelona – Bayern

Two teams in opposite places will face each other on Friday as already qualified FC Barcelona (21-6) welcomes FC Bayern Munich (8-19) for Round 28. Barca is one of the hottest teams in the league, with eight consecutive wins, including on Wednesday against another German team, ALBA. The hosts also have the February MVP, Nikola Mirotic, on a roll. Bayern, on the other hand, has lost 11 of its last 13 games, including at home to Baskonia earlier this week, and at risk of soon being mathematically ruled out of the playoffs race.

It all looks bright for Barca going into this game. The hosts are facing the second-worst offense in the league, and the second-worst team in rebounds per game. All in all, Barcelona averages a PIR of 20 more than Bayern per game, plus the hosts are playing well and winning games like they had not done for quite a few seasons now. If Barca manages to execute its game plan, it should be able to add another win and get closer to home-court advantage in the playoffs.

Bayern is in a rough moment of the season and the fact that it plays on the road against one of the hottest teams does not help. Barca is a talented team with a deep bench, so Bayern will have to clench its teeth from tip-off and try to start building a win through defense. Expect the visitors to base their game on going inside to Greg Monroe and Danilo Barthel, and hope that creates space for shooters like Petteri Koponen, who will be playing on his former home floor.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Baskonia – ALBA Berlin

Two teams still in the race for the playoffs will square off on Friday when KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (11-16) welcomes ALBA Berlin (9-18) in Round 28. Baskonia has won three of its last four games, including the last road win at Bayern, and seems to be making a big push towards the postseason spots. ALBA has lost three of its last four games and needs to get back to the winning track if it wants to retain some options.

Baskonia has the worst offense in the league and plays against the fourth-best. That could seem a tall order for the hosts, but these teams are in opposite trends and Baskonia stands at the better end of those. Baskonia is also the EuroLeague team averaging the least assists per game, while ALBA is third, so this will be a clash of styles. If Baskonia manages to put its third-ranked defense at the top of its priority list against an opponent that gives up the most points this season, the hosts could be on their way to their fourth win in five games.

ALBA just fell short of defeating Barcelona in Berlin, and has now lost three of its last four games. Against Baskonia it will be a duel of opposite styles. ALBA will have to by-pass the tough defense of the hosts in order to display its fun-to-watch offense. If those league-best assists flow and those threes fall in the basket (third best numbers in the league for ALBA), the guests could upset Baskonia for a second time this season, even if missing some players like Peyton Siva.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-5.5) at 1.95 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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