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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 4 – Friday

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Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

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CSKA Moscow – ALBA Berlin

CSKA will try to keep its early-season momentum going when it welcomes winless ALBA Berlin to the Russian capital. CSKA bounced back from a season-opening loss with back-to-back victories, including an overtime thriller at Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul on Wednesday night. ALBA has had a slow start, with three losses and a league-worst -47 point difference going into Round 4.

CSKA has been depleted to start the season but led by Will Clyburn (17.7 ppg.), Mike James (17.3 ppg., 4.3 apg.) and Tornike Shengelia (10.3 ppg., 8.3 rpg.) has found ways to succeed. Still, it would be important for their teammates to get involved in the offense sooner rather than later. The rest of the team has averaged just 28.0 points per game so far, and finding more balance on offense would go long way toward victory in this game that CSKA is playing on short rest.

Semen Antonov, Nikola Milutinov and Janis Strelnieks tested positive for COVID-19 and missed CSKA’s Round 2 and Round 3 games. Andrei Lopatin also tested positive ahead of the Round 3 game.

ALBA has still to rediscover the offense that has been its trademark since Aito Garcia Reneses took over as head coach. ALBA has not scored more than 73 points in any of its first three games after averaging 84.5 last season. The teams needs to get better control of the boards, especially on the defensive end, which would give it more opportunities to run in transition and get some easy baskets.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 162.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 16/10/2020, 08:30 CET, subject to change)

Fenerbahce – Bayern

Fenerbahce and Bayern are coming into their Round 4 clash from opposite directions. Fenerbahce lost a overtime thriller at home against CSKA Moscow, while Bayern is coming off a dramatic road win at Maccabi Playtika Tel Aviv. With both sides holding 2-1 records, it is an early-season clash where the winner’s prize could end up being a share of the EuroLeague standings lead.

To bounce back from its first defeat under Kokoskov, Fenerbahce will need to take better care of the ball and get more efficient inside the three-point arc. Fenerbahce is averaging 16.3 turnovers, second-most in the league, and shoots the ball with the third-lowest two-point accuracy, 46.0%. Improving in those areas will be very important against a defensively aggressive Bayern team.

Bayern has started this season playing with focus, poise and discipline, especially on the defensive end. Bayern leads the league with 9.7 steals per game, and needs to keep that effort in this game, too. It will be important for Bayern to try to keep up in the battle on the glass, too, as Fenerbahce is one of the best rebounding teams in the league through three games.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+7.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 16/10/2020, 08:30 CET, subject to change)

Olympiacos – Maccabi

Maccabi (1-2) comes off its second loss of the season, as FC Bayern Munich stood on its way at Menora Mivtachim Arena, 82-85, despite 27 points from Scottie Wilbekin and 19 from Ante Zizic. Olympiacos (2-1) registered its second consecutive win, downing AX Armani Exchange Olimpia Milan 86-75 behind 17 points and 11 assists from Kostas Sloukas. Georgios Printezis and Aaron Harrison each added 16 points for the Reds. Expect nothing but a great showdown between old sports rivals at Peace and Friendship Stadium as visiting coach Ioannis Sfairopoulos returns again to face the team he led to the 2017 championship game.

Olympiacos shot the ball really well against Milan, hitting 61.8% two-point shots and 40% of its attempts from beyond the arc. It finished the game with 20 assists and held Milan to just 12. That focus on defense and ball circulation on offense will be critical against a high-scoring team like Maccabi. Olympiacos has a more experienced backcourt, led by Sloukas, Vassilis Spanoulis and Charles Jenkins, and must be read to make the most of that advantage. Stopping Ante Zizic and Othello Hunter down low should be critical, too, for the hosts.

Despite this week’s loss, Maccabi outrebounded Bayern by 40-29, showing a great team effort, with as many as seven players pulling down at least 4 boards. Maccabi has a size advantage in the paint with Zizic, Hunter and Dragan Bender, so connecting with its big men will be important. The Israeli powerhouse relies on Elijah Bryant and Chris Jones to put defensive pressure on Sloukas and prevent him from organizing Olympiacos’s offense. Maccabi needs to cut down turnovers, as it had 18 against Bayern after averaging 12.5 in the first two rounds.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 at 2.30 with bet365
(Price correct at 16/10/2020, 08:30 CET, subject to change)

Milano – Real Madrid

Real (1-2) registered its first win this week, downing Khimki Moscow Region 94-85 behind 21 points from Sergio Llull and 19 off the bench from Nico Laprovittola. Milan (2-1) took an 86-75 road loss against Olympiacos Piraeus despite 18 points from Sergio Rodriguez. It will be a special game for Rodriguez, who played for Real for six seasons, earning EuroLeague MVP honors in 2015, reaching three consecutive continental championship games and lifting the trophy in 2015. Expect a fun-to-watch but intense game at WiZink Center.

As always for Real, it all starts with hard defense and pulling down defensive rebounds. If able to do both, Real can run the floor and find space for its many shooters. Los Blancos downed 17 three-point shots against Khimki, one shy of tying its all-time record. Edy Tavares and Usman Garuba must play physical and aggressive inside against Kyle Hines and Kaleb Tarczewski. Real has to find a way to prevent Rodriguez and Malcolm Delaney from dominating the game tempo, as Milan will have better chances in a five-on-five offense game.

Kevin Punter has been sidelined for the start of the season with a hip flexor. Vladimir Micov has missed the team’s first three games of the season.

Milan only grabbed 6 offensive rebounds in its loss against Olympiacos and averages just 8.7 until now. Milan should try to crash the offensive boards better, which would help to stop Real’s transition game. Milan is without Vladimir Micov and Kevin Punter, so players like Gigi Datome, Delaney and Michael Roll will be ready to outscore high-quality offensive players such as Llull, Facu Campazzo and Jaycee Carroll. Hines will want to use his experience against Tavares and take him out of the paint, generating space for drives to the basket.

Felipe Reyes has missed Real’s first three games of the season. Anthony Randolph missed Round 3.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 at 1.86 with bet365
(Price correct at 16/10/2020, 08:30 CET, subject to change)

Baskonia – Khimki

It’s going to be two teams coming from different places when TD Systems Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (1-1) welcomes a winless Khimki Moscow Region (0-3) on Friday night. The hosts did not play their Round 2 game against Zenit St Petersburg and will probably be fresh in their first game this week. On the other hand, Khimki lost its third in a row at Real Madrid, and this will be its third game in seven days with a lineup that has been limited by virus cases.

Baskonia did not play earlier this week, so that fact and home-court advantage give the hosts an edge going into the game. Khimki tops the league in assists per game, so Baskonia will have to pay attention to the passing lanes on defense to try to get steals and run the break. Also, Khimki big men like Devin Booker and Jonas Jerebko are ever-present weapons for the guests for now, so Baskonia’s bigs will have extra work on Friday in order for their team to have good options for a win.

Baskonia has a fresh roster because its Round 3 game was not played.

Still without super scorer Alexey Shved on board, among several other players, Khimki is struggling with three losses in three games. A fourth one is a luxury that few teams could afford, so the guests will have to do everything in their hands to get the win. Khimki’s 4.3 steals per game is the second-worst in the league, so the Russian team will have to increase the effort in defense in order to get more open options on the offensive end. The COVID-19 situation is also affecting Khimki big-time, so coach Rimas Kurtinaitis will have to get the best of the men he’s got available in Vitoria.

Khimki’s Jordan Mickey, Janis Timma, Evgeny Voronov Greg Monroe and Maxim Barashkov have all tested positive for COVID-19 last week and have been isolated and are under medical supervision. Alexey Shved, Stefan Jovic and Errick McCollum all missed the first three games of the season.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+15.5) at 2.00 with bet365
(Price correct at 16/10/2020, 08:30 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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* Odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change.

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 5 – Friday

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Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

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Khimki – Maccabi

Khimki has struggled so far this season due to its many injuries but there is very good news as Alexey Shved, Jordan Mickey, Janis Timma and Evgeny Voronov are back in action and ready to play in Round 5. The Russian powerhouse comes off a 77-60 loss in Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain, despite 17 points from Viacheslav Zaytsev. Maccabi is on a three-game losing streak. It lost at the buzzer against Olympiacos Piraeus in Round 4, 85-82, despite 18 points from Wilbekin. Expect an entertaining and intense showdown at Arena Mytishchi.

Khimki is set to play with a longer rotation for the first time since Round 1 and Shved makes his season debut, so everything is expected to be different for Coach Kurtinaitis’s team. Shved needs the ball to facilitate things and will get it often. Players like Dairis Bertans and Zaytsev are expected to have more space to shoot and drive. Maccabi has a strong frontcourt, so players such as Mickey, Jonas Jerebko and Devin Booker must be ready to power the boards and stop Othello Hunter and Ante Zizic down low.

Khimki’s Jordan Mickey, Janis Timma, Evgeny Voronov, Greg Monroe and Maxim Barashkov all tested positive for COVID-19 and missed last week’s games. Alexey Shved, Stefan Jovic and Errick McCollum all missed the first four games of the season. Sergey Monia missed the Round 4 game.

Having effective scorers like Hunter, Zizic and Angelo Caloiaro has helped Maccabi make 55.6% of its two-point shots. Maccabi, however, ranks 14th in three-point shooting percentage (32.3%) so better selection is required. The Israeli champs rank third in offensive rebounds (11.3 orpg.) and must keep powering the glass against such a physical team. Maccabi relies on Wilbekin to make the difference in offense and needs a good defensive effort from Chris Jones, Bryant and Tyler Dorsey against Shved and Zaytsev, who has made the most out of his extended playing time recently (14.8 ppg., 6.5 apg.).

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-2.0) at 1.95 with bet365
(Price correct at 23/10/2020, 08:00 CET, subject to change)

Efes – Villeurbanne

Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs. LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne, originally scheduled to be played on Friday, October 23, has been suspended. ASVEL requested the suspension of the game due to multiple COVID-19 positive cases that do not allow the team to have a minimum eight players on the Authorisation List fit to play.

basketball prediction Tip: 
(Price correct at 23/10/2020, 08:00 CET, subject to change)

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Bayern – Olympiacos

Two teams that started the season with narrow losses and then went on to win three in a row will clash on Friday when FC Bayern Munich hosts Olympiacos Piraeus in Round 5. Last week, Bayern defeated juggernauts Maccabi Playtika Tel Aviv and Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul in style, while the Reds took care of title contenders AX Armani Exchange Milan and Maccabi to turn their respective seasons around. One of these hot teams will see its winning streak snapped while the other will roll to its fourth straight victory.

Bayern managed to match its best start in the league since its debut in 2013-14 and it now has the chance to make it the best start ever. The team has become the highest-scoring squad in the league (82.3 ppg.) and is also second in steals (9.0 spg.) which means it likes to be aggressive on defense and run on the breaks. However, Olympiacos is also in great momentum and the differences between both teams are minimal, number-wise, so the trio formed by Lucic, Jalen Reynolds and Wade Baldwin will have to make sure they push Bayern in the right direction once again.

Olympiacos is following a similar trend to Bayern and now will want to add its fourth straight win. The team is tied for fourth in the league in assists and is also sixth in PIR, just below Bayern with an unnoticeable difference. The Reds can count on veteran warriors such as Printezis, Vassilis Spanoulis, Kostas Sloukas and Kostas Papanikolaou, but lately, it has been Aaron Harrison and Hassan Martin making contributions the offensive end to keep Olympiacos going. Expect it to be no different in Munich.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-1.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 23/10/2020, 08:00 CET, subject to change)

Barcelona – Real Madrid

Friday marks one of the biggest dates of the season as Barcelona and Real lock horns for the 27th time this century in the EuroLeague. Nothing that happened before this season or in their eight decades of playing each other matters on derby day. For the record, though, Barca (3-1) has picked up where it left off last season, while Real (1-3) has not. The hosts are expected to still be without superstar Nikola Mirotic, and the same goes for a big-game veteran, Fabien Causeur, for Madrid — both due to being COVID-19 positive.

Low as its scoring is compared to normal, Real’s real problem is its fourth-worst EuroLeague defense, allowing 83.0 points per game. Opponents are making 43.8% of their three-pointers against Real, a league high, and getting to the free throw line 14.5 times a game. The visitors will have to mind the perimeter without fouling Barca and let Tavares worry about anyone threatening the basket up close. Once defending well, Real needs to run better with the rebounds to raise is low, 15.8 assists per game. Finally, Facundo Campazzo will have his hands full with Barca point guard Nick Calathes, and vice-versa, so controlling that matchup could be pivotal.

Nikola Mirotic missed Rounds 3 and 4 after testing positive for COVID-19.

With Barcelona possibly missing Victor Claver and Alex Abrines along with Mirotic, relative newcomers to this rivalry will have to carry the banner for the hosts. Davies and Calathes will need scoring punch from do-it-all Cory Higgins, but watch also for Rolands Smits, who helped undermanned Barca win a tough road game in Valencia. Adam Hanga will be tasked with keeping Real’s perimeter scorers under wraps, while Kyle Kuric is back to help keep the visitors’ defense honest with his own sniping. All will be needed to defend their home court on Friday.

Felipe Reyes has missed Real’s first four games of the season. Anthony Randolph missed the last two games. Real announced on Sunday that Fabien Causeur has tested positive for COVID-19.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+3.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 23/10/2020, 08:00 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 5 – Thursday

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Zalgiris – Valencia

First place Zalgiris Kaunas will look to remain atop the table when it hosts Valencia Basket on Thursday. Zalgiris picked apart Anadolu Efes Istanbul 89-73 in its last game with Nigel Hayes leading five Zalgiris scorers in double figures with 17 points. Valencia will look to bounce back from its first loss of the season in Round 3 at home against FC Barcelona. Its Round 4 game against Zenit St Petersburg was canceled. A Valencia victory would leave the two teams tied in first place.

Zalgiris has made its opponents’ lives miserable on defense while shooting efficiently on offense, which has proven to be a recipe for winning. The Lithuanian champs lead the league in three-point accuracy (41.7%) and are third in two-point shooting (57.9%). They have allowed the second-fewest points (6.98 ppg.) and the fewest rebounds (27.0 rpg.). The keys against Valencia remain taking good shots when they present themselves and playing tough defense, in particular on the guards to get the offense out of its comfort zone early.

 Valencia has allowed opponents to make 58.4% of two-point shots and will need to be tougher in the paint to lower that number. It also could use a bump in three-point shooting; its 31.9% is third-lowest in the league. Valencia can take pride in its excellent steals-to-turnover ratio as it has collected the fourth-most steals (7.3 spg.) and committed the fourth-fewest turnovers (2.33), which are great numbers to fall back on in a road game.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 153.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 21/10/2020, 22:00 CET, subject to change)

Zenit – Milano

Zenit St Petersburg vs. AX Armani Exchange Milan, originally scheduled to be played on Thursday, October 22, has been suspended.

basketball prediction Tip: 
(Price correct at 21/10/2020, 22:00 CET, subject to change)

ALBA Berlin – Baskonia

ALBA Berlin vs. TD Systems Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz, originally scheduled to be played on Thursday, October 22, has been suspended. ALBA requested the suspension of the game due to local legislation imposing quarantine measures on the team, which leaves it without the minimum eight players on the Authorisation List fit to play.

basketball prediction Tip: 
(Price correct at 21/10/2020, 22:00 CET, subject to change)

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Panathinaikos – Fenerbahce

Panathinaikos looks for its first win since opening night. It registered a 97-89 overtime loss against FC Barcelona last Friday despite 24 points from Marcus Foster and a double-double by Dinos Mitoglou. Fenerbahce needs to bounce back after suffering back-to-back home defeats against CSKA Moscow, 77-78 in overtime, and FC Bayern Munich, 71-75, last week.

Panathinaikos did a lot of good things at Palau Blaugrana last week: it amassed 12 offensive rebounds and 22 assists with only 12 turnovers. The Greens need to be more efficient, as they made only 51.3% of their two-point shots and rank 17th in three-point shooting (29.4%). Panathinaikos needs to be more aggressive on defense in crunch time; it allowed 22 points in overtime against Barcelona last week. Panathinaikos has many talented scorers in its backcourt, but Panathinaikos must find a way to stop De Colo and 2019 MVP, center Jan Vesely. Mitoglou and Georgios Papagiannis are set to see playing time against the “Czech Jet.”

First of all, Fenerbahce needs to be focused for 40 minutes, as it paid a high price – consecutive losses – for its lack of concentration in crunch time. It needs to make the most out of its experience, as players such as Ali Muhammed, De Colo, Vesely and Leo Westermann have been in similar situations before. Fenerbahce must run its offense through De Colo and Jarrel Eddie and expect newcomers Dyshawn Pierre and Johnny Hamilton to step up. Being physical on defense is critical against a team with a lot of great scorers. Edgaras Ulanovas faces a critical matchup against Ioannis Papapetrou, too.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (+4.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 21/10/2020, 22:00 CET, subject to change)

Crvena Zvezda – CSKA Moscow

Zvezda looks for its second win of the season after downing TD Systems Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz in Round 2. Last week, Zvezda suffered a 69-75 home loss against Zalgiris Kaunas despite 19 points from Jordan Loyd. CSKA had an up and down week; first, it bested Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul 77-78 in an overtime thriller behind Will Clyburn’s late heroics, and then it lost at home to ALBA Berlin 88-93 despite 27 points from Mike James. Expect an intense and physical basketball battle at Aleksandar Nikolic Hall.

Loyd leads the EuroLeague in scoring (21.3 ppg.), but Zvezda ranks 15th in the category (74.0 ppg.), mainly because of its poor shooting percentages inside the arc (47.6%). Dejan Davidovac and Marko Jagodic-Kuridza have the tough mission of guarding Will Clyburn at small forward. At the same time, Zvezda relies on two good on-the-ball defenders in Branko Lazic and Langston Hall to try to stop James. Zvezda must prevent CSKA from running the floor by playing half-court offense, looking for Loyd and Corey Walden. A contribution from newcomer Emanuel Terry at power forward could also make a difference.

CSKA has a lot of offensive talent; Clyburn has been hot lately and is a nightmare mismatch at small forward, James remains a top-class scoring threat, while Toko Shengelia, Johannes Voigtmann and Nikola Milutinov can run the floor like guards. In order to run the floor and make the most out of that, however, CSKA needs defensive stops and rebounds. CSKA is allowing 85.5 points per game and opponents are getting 12.0 offensive rebounds on average. Locking down the defensive glass to run the floor is critical for CSKA against a physical squad like Zvezda.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-6.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 21/10/2020, 22:00 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


Euroleague Standings

Standings provided by SofaScore LiveScore

Disclaimer: This is not investment or gambling advice. Always conduct your own independent research.

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