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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 20 – Friday

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Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

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CSKA Moscow – Baskonia

CSKA (13-6) comes off a hard-fought victory against Real Madrid and wants to keep its momentum going. Baskonia (7-12) has only won twice in the last nine games and arrives in Moscow after a road loss against Zenit St Petersburg. Mike James (20.8 ppg.) has been CSKA’s top scorer until now, followed by Darrun Hilliard (10.8) and Kyle Hines (9.2). Toko Shengelia (16.7 ppg., 6.0 rpg.), Nik Stauskas (9.7) and Shavon Shields (8.3) have led Baskonia’s offense until now.

CSKA limited Real, one of the best offenses in the competition, to just 55 points, and will need the same defensive mentality against Baskonia. After pulling down 44 against Real, CSKA now leads the rebounds standings at 38.1 per night, getting 26.2 defensive boards on average. That is mandatory for CSKA to get going in transition, making the most out of mobile big men like Nikita Kurbanov, Johannes Voigtmann and Hines.

Baskonia allowed Zenit to score 77.4% of its two-point shots, the second highest percentage in the EuroLeague this season. Protecting the paint will be mandatory for Baskonia. Its big men – Michael Eric, Youssupha Fall and Ilimane Diop – must be ready to be aggressive down low. Baskonia keeps struggling from the three-point line (28% against Zenit, 32.5% overall) and only improving those shooting numbers will make the team more competitive.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Zenit – Valencia

Zenit (6-13) has won consecutive games for the first time this season, using great defense to do so. Valencia (9-10) is also in a good moment, coming off a road victory against Khimki Moscow Region. After a 0-5 start, Valencia is 9-5 in the last 14 games. Gustavo Ayon (12.3 ppg.) is Zenit’s top scorer this season, followed by Will Thomas (10.9) and Mateusz Ponitka (10.0). Jordan Loyd (11.2), Fernando San Emeterio (7.9) and Alberto Abalde (7.3) will be Valencia’s leaders in this game.

Zenit is allowing 79.4 points per game this season but has dramatically improve those numbers in the last four games, allowing just 71.3 on average. That defensive improvement has allowed the team to find more balance on offense, hitting 77.4% of its two-point shots against Baskonia this week. Without Dubljevic and Tobey on court for Valencia, Zenit must get Colton Iverson and Ayon involved to make the most of its size advantage and depth in the paint.

Valencia has averaged 91.5 points over the last four games, winning three of them, and must try to speed up the game tempo against a defensive-minded team like Zenit. It is mandatory for Valencia to make the most out of its depth at point guard, with Sam Van Rossom, Quino Colom and Guillem Vives giving coach Jaume Ponsarnau plenty of options. Stopping Will Thomas down low and getting Fernando San Emeterio and Alberto Abalde involved at both wings will be other keys for the Spanish powerhouse.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+2.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Crvena Zvezda – ALBA Berlin

After four consecutive wins, Zvezda (9-10) suffered a home loss against Zalgiris Kaunas on Wednesday and wants to bounce back right away. ALBA (6-13) comes off a brilliant road victory against Olympiacos Piraeus and wants to keep its momentum going. Lorenzo Brown (14.1 ppg.) has been Zvezda’s top scorer until now, followed by recently signed Kevin Punter (12.7) and Vladimir Stimac (12.3). Rokas Giedraitis (13.8), Marcus Eriksson (10.9) and Luke Sikma (9.9, 6.2 rpg.) are leading ALBA right now.

Zvezda has averaged 81.0 points since Punter joined the team, as he has made the team’s offense more unpredictable. Zvezda is struggling to shoot the ball with high percentages at home (49.1% 2FG, 34.7% 3FG in Belgrade) and has a good opportunity to improve those numbers. Stimac and Kuzmic have a size advantage in the paint while Brown, Baron, Punter and Dejan Davidovac give coach Dragan Sakota more options. Charging the offensive glass will be important to stop ALBA’s transition game.

ALBA is one of the highest-scoring teams in the competition (84.3 ppg.) and leads the 2019-20 EuroLeague in assists (19.8 apg.). The German powerhouse, however, hits just 49.8% of its two-point shots on average and has struggled to rebound the ball under its own rim, grabbing just 22.6 defensive rebounds per game while allowing 10.3 offensive boards to its opponents. Boxing out and locking down the glass will lead to more transitions, in which players like Giedraitis, Niels Giffey and Peyton Siva feel most comfortable.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-5.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

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Olympiacos – Bayern

Olympiacos (7-12) comes off a tough home loss against ALBA Berlin and has only managed to win twice in the last eight showdowns. Bayern (6-13) is on a five-game losing streak, its longest in the competition since 2014, and needs a victory as soon as possible. Georgios Printezis (12.1 ppg.) has been Olympiacos’s top scorer until now, followed by Nikola Milutinov (10.7) and Vassilis Spanoulis (10.6). For Bayern, Greg Monroe (12.7 ppg.), Vladimir Lucic (11.7) and Maodo Lo (9.3) have been leading the offense until now.

Olympiacos has struggled on defense, allowing 92.7 points on average in the last six games. Head coach Georgios Bartzokas has a reputation as a defensive coach and is expected to bring those numbers down. Olympiacos relies on its legendary core of players (Spanoulis, Printezis, Milutinov, Kostas Papanikolaou) to step up at both ends, preventing Bayern from running the floor, and to play with extra patience on offense.

Bayern has struggled to protect its paint, as opponents hit 55.6% of their two-point shots and grab 10.9 offensive rebounds on average. Its big men – mainly Monroe, Barthel, Mathias Lessort and Leon Radosevic – must make an extra effort to box out, as getting in transition will benefit Bayern’s many fast perimeter players such as Lo, Lucic and Nihad Dedovic. Josh Huestis gives Bayern extra explosiveness, much needed against a deep team like Olympiacos.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-6.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Panathinaikos – Zalgiris

Zalgiris (6-13) is arriving in Athens running high on confidence after having won three of its last four games, but Panathinaikos (11-8) and its high-scoring offense intend to keep protecting the home floor. Nick Calathes is running the show for Panathinaikos with 13.6 points, 9.4 assists and 4.9 rebounds, but the Greens’ two best scorers are Jimmer Fredette (14.5 ppg.) and DeShaun Thomas (14.1). Zalgiris is missing its top scorer, Marius Grigonis, and has big men Zach LeDay (11.0 ppg. 4.7 rpg.) and Jock Landale (10.7 ppg. 4.4 rpg.) carry the biggest load. Thomas Walkup who does a bit of everything with 9.6 points, 4.9 assists, 3.5 rebounds and 1.2 steals.

No team allows more offensive rebounds (13.2) or more three-pointer per game (10.7) per game than Panathinaikos. If the team can control either of the two defensive segments, it will have an opportunity to get its offense in transition and running, and no one this season does it better than Panathinaikos, the best scoring team in the competition, averaging 88.6 points.

It is imperative for Zalgiris to keep Panathinaikos from running and engaging in a shootout. The hosts have the highest-scoring offense, but also one of the most porous defenses, which allows 85.8 points on average. That’s where Zalgiris’s chances lie, playing long and patient possessions and attacking the offensive glass. If Zalgiris also gets an efficient three-point shooting night, it will have its chances in OAKA.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 163.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Villeurbanne

Efes is in its best moment of the season, overcoming injuries to lead the standings (16-3). It is on a four-game winning streak. ASVEL (8-11) has lost its last three EuroLeague games and its only road victory, against Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade, was in mid-November. Shane Larkin (20.7 ppg., 3.9 apg.), Krunoslav Simon (9.3) and Tibor Pleiss (8.6) are Efes’s leaders in this game. Adreian Payne (11.0 ppg.) is ASVEL’s top scorer, followed by David Lighty (10.3) and Tonye Jekiri (9.0).

Efes is the second-highest scoring team in the competition (86.6 ppg.) and has been equally unstoppable (87.0) in the last two games without Micic. Its outstanding ball circulation (1.76 assists per turnover) allows Efes to shoot the ball with high percentages (57.0% 2FG, 39.9% 3FG). Running its offense through Larkin is where it all starts for Efes, as he opens all sort of options for its many talented players.

After a strong defensive start to the competition, ASVEL is allowing opponents to shoot the ball with great effectiveness (54.5% 2FG, 39.0% 3FG), so lowering those numbers would be a first step for the French champs. ASVEL has to make the most out of its athleticism in the paint, trying to get Pleiss into foul trouble, and need Diot and Taylor to put Larkin into some sort of trouble at both ends of the floor, especially on offense.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 158.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


Euroleague Standings

Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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* Odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change.

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Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos Preview – Round 26 – Euroleague Tips

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Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos playing on Monday (24/2)

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It is a classic EuroLeague clash in rare Monday action with 10-time EuroLeague champion Real Madrid welcoming six-time winner Panathinaikos OPAP Athens. Real has won the last nine games between these two teams and knows a win in this and some help later int he week could clinch it a place in the EuroLeague Playoffs. The Greens, on the other hand, will try to put an end to a streak of losing three of their last four games – and five of their last six road games.

The… Real domination

Earlier this season in Round 16, Real beat Panathinaikos 75-87 in the Greek capital behind 22 points from Anthony Randolph and 14 points plus 14 rebounds from Walter Tavares. That marked the ninth consecutive win for Real against Panathinaikos. The two teams have met in the EuroLeague Playoffs in each of the last two seasons with Real winning 3-1 in 2018 and sweeping the series last season.

With the EuroLeague’s top-scoring offense coming to town, Real will need to focus on its defense. Panathinaikos is averaging a league-best 88.7 points per game, but over the past five weeks, Los Blancos have managed to hold CSKA to 60 points and Efes and Maccabi to a respectable 80 or below, while Fenerbahce was allowed just 65 last week. To grab control of things against Panathinaikos, Real will need to control the paint and deliver a similar defensive effort.

The Greens have struggled with rebounding the entire season, especially on the defensive glass where they allow a EuroLeague-high 12.4 offensive rebounds per game. It will be a must for Panathinaikos to protect its glass for a full 40 minutes. It would not only prevent Real from second and third possessions, but would give the Greens more chances to run in transition and it is hard to find a team that does it better than Panathinaikos.

The prediction on Real v Panathinaikos

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+9.5) at 2.00 with bet365
(Price correct at 24/02/2020, 10:10 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 25 – Friday

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Euroleague Basketball Tips

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Crvena Zvezda – CSKA Moscow

Two teams in dire need of a victory meet in the Serbian capital. Zvezda is in the midst of the playoff race and intends to protect its home floor with the support of its die-hards at Stark Arena, while CSKA will do whatever it can to avoid going on a three-game losing streak for the first time in more than three years. CSKA has 7-1 edge in head-to-head games between the teams and has beaten Zvezda by double digits each of the last four times teams met.

It is not every day that Zvezda is able to come back from a double-digit deficit – twice in the same night – like the last time it played on its home floor when it faced Panathinaikos OPAP Athens. So, Zvezda needs to try not to fall behind early, again. However, what Zvezda should repeat is the defensive effort. CSKA has all the offensive tools, but Zvezda has the size, muscle, speed and energy on defense to set the tone in this game.

CSKA cannot allow another showing with a lack of energy and urgency as might have been the case in its latest defeat. That’s increasingly important facing Zvezda, which is needing victories to stay in the playoff race. With so much to play for in front of its fans, Zvezda is expected to be at a high energy level and CSKA must match Zvezda’s effort and energy from the start, not allow the hosts to spread their wings at Stark Arena.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-4.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 21/02/2020, 10:00 CET, subject to change)

Valencia – Maccabi

These two teams have positive momentum going and are eager to keep their spots in the standings and even climb higher. Maccabi has won its last two games – by a combined 4 points! – and is tied for fourth in the standings. Valencia has won four of its last six games, but has lost two of its last three at home. The team is in seventh place, but ninth-place Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul has only one win less.

Maccabi has one of the toughest defenses in the league, but Valencia has one of the tools needed to attack it. Valencia gets to the free throw line often; the team is third in the league with 360 free throws made – 19.3 per game. Maccabi commits the most fouls in the league (22.9). The more Valencia attacks, the more fouls it draws, the more free throws it makes, the better chances it has to win.

Maccabi has one of the toughest defenses in the league, but Valencia has one of the tools needed to attack it. Valencia gets to the free throw line often; the team is third in the league with 360 free throws made – 19.3 per game. Maccabi commits the most fouls in the league (22.9). The more Valencia attacks, the more fouls it draws, the more free throws it makes, the better chances it has to win.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 162.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 21/02/2020, 10:00 CET, subject to change)

Panathinaikos – Barcelona

Panathinaikos is on a four-game home winning streak and wants to keep its great momentum going in front of its outstanding home crowd. Barcelona is on a five-game winning streak that included road victories against Fenerbahce and Valencia. DeShaun Thomas (14.5 ppg.) is Panathinaikos’s top scorer this season, followed by Jimmer Fredette (13.7 ppg.) and Nick Calathes (13.4 ppg.). Nikola Mirotic (18.7 ppg.), Cory Higgins (11.7 ppg.) and Brandon Davies (9.8 ppg.) are leading Barcelona right now.

Panathinaikos is the highest-scoring team in the competition at 89.0 points per game. It also has a fantastic assist-to-turnover ratio, leading the competition at 1.61. Panathinaikos has been effective in the paint (55.9% 2FG), but not so much beyond the three-point line (37.0% 3FG). Getting its main shooters – Fredette, Ioannis Papapetrou, Tyrese Rice – involved will be critical to open the floor, allowing Calathes to distribute the ball even better.

As with all teams coached by Svetislav Pesic, defense comes first. Barcelona is boxing out well, as opponents average only 9.55 offensive rebounds against them. It allowed 14 in its last road game in Valencia, a detail that must be corrected right away. On offense, Barcelona has become even more unpredictable with Thomas Heurtel back in action and is shooting the ball well (54.8% 2FG, 39.2% 3FG) from all distances. Defense, however, must lead to offense and Barcelona must box out before running the floor.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 at 2.20 with bet365
(Price correct at 21/02/2020, 10:00 CET, subject to change)

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Bayern v Anadolu Efes

Last place Bayern welcomes playoff-bound league-leader Efes. Before last week’s break, Efes became the earliest-ever team to book its playoffs ticket when it did so in Round 24. Bayern, on the other hand, enters the game on a three-game losing streak and having lost nine of its last 10 games. Moreover, in each of their previous three meetings, Efes has registered a win by 15 points or more, making it quite a favorite in this one although it will take the floor without the league’s top scorer, Shane Larkin, who is out with an ankle injury.

Bayern needs to try to get Efes into playing physical basketball. In addition, Bayern cannot allow the visitors to get into their free-flowing rhythm, especially with Larkin sidelined. Whether with long possessions or by gaining the edge of the offensive glass, and also with timely personal fouls and timeouts, Bayern must find ways to keep Efes offense from becoming too comfortable.

As impressive as Efes’s offense is, during this nine-game winning streak it has averaged 97.0 points on home floor, but 83.3 points on the road. And even though Efes has won 10 games in a row away from home, six of those have been decided by 6 points or less. Now, with a playoff place clinched, Coach Ergin Ataman cannot allow a letdown and a loss of momentum. Efes will need to be focused and step up on defense, because Bayern will be eager to prove itself against the league leader.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-3.0) at 1.86 with bet365
(Price correct at 21/02/2020, 10:00 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


Euroleague Standings

Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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