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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 10 – 21/11/2019

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Zalgiris – Crvena Zvezda
Two teams with three-game losing streaks will battle to get back on the winning track when Zalgiris Kaunas (3-6) hosts Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (2-7) on Thursday of Round 10. Earlier in this double-feature week, Zalgiris fell to Panathinaikos OPAP Athens at home by a single point, 85-86, while Zvezda was defeated in Berlin by ALBA, 93-80. The win will be a breath of fresh air for whichever manages to come out on top from this duel.
Zalgiris has already lost four games at home this season, and the team will have to play hard to reverse the situation. Fortunately for the hosts, Zvezda has only won two games, both at home, and is still looking for its first road triumph. Zalgiris holds a small edge in the total calculation of points for and against, but Zalgiris will have to watch out for an aggressive defense that has Zvezda swiping 7.7 steals per game, second best in the league. Zalgiris, currently at the bottom of the rankings in steals and blocks, will want to try to match that intensity on defense. With a little bit more ‘D’ and the support of the hot fans at Zalgirio Arena, Zalgiris has a good opporunity to get back on a winning path.
With six losses in the last seven games, Zvezda needs a win badly. It’s never easy to triumph in Kaunas, but the numbers say that the guests could have a solid chance to steal a win. Zvezda has a small edge on Zalgiris in several statistics, especially on defense, but has lower shooting percentages from all ranges. Zvezda will be missing Stratos Perperoglou and James Gist, two of its best contributors, but if Derrick Brown, who returned against ALBA this week, gets up to speed soon, the guests could have a good tool to try to return home with the win.
Tip: 1 (-9.5) at 1.86 with bet365
(Price correct at 21/11/2019, 09:50 CET, could have changed)
ALBA Berlin – Olympiacos
Two teams with identical records but different trends face off on Thursday when ALBA Berlin (3-6) welcomes Olympiacos Piraeus (3-6) to the German capital. After dropping six straight games, ALBA seems to have found its pace with two wins in a row, the last one on Tuesday at home against Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade. All this despite having its two playmakers, Peyton Siva and Stefan Peno, injured. Olympiacos is still struggling with many changes in the roster, having lost five of its last seven games, including the last one at FC Bayern Munich. The Reds will try to put an end to their week in Germany with a new victory.
Strangely enough, ALBA has seemed to found its rhythm with both playmakers injured. The entire team has stepped up, and the hosts will look to keep that up against a team that has not found consistency yet this season, giving a chance for ALBA to equal its club record with a third consecutive win. ALBA averages 11 points more than Olympiacos, so we can expect the hosts deliver offense in spades. Defense will have to be the key for them, especially against Nikola Milutinov, considering that a new injury, to center Johannes Thiemann, will keep ALBA short-handed. Trying to force Olympiacos to shoot from beyond the arc, where the guests make a league-low 30.1% of their attempts, is one way for ALBA to win.
Olympiacos had not been in such a dire situation for many seasons, but the Reds retain the character and more than a few players that can get them out of the current situation. On paper, ALBA is more dangerous in offense and has better overall numbers than Olympiacos. Defense will be the key for the guests, as they will have to try to stop the ALBA shooters from running and taking the open shots. Look for them to concentrate on going inside to Milutinov and Printezis for points. The rest of the Reds will need to get their running shoes on, because even when not fastbreaking, ALBA moves the ball and its scorers quickly at all times. Keeping up with them is essential to having a chance to pull of a road win.
Tip: Over 163.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 21/11/2019, 09:50 CET, could have changed)
Milano – Anadolu Efes
At least a share of first place is up for grabs when league leaders AX Armani Exchange Milan (7-2) and visiting Anadolu Efes Istanbul (7-2) square off in the fashion capital on Thursday. The winner will share first place at game’s end with either CSKA Moscow or FC Barcelona, who both play on Friday. Efes is looking for its fourth consecutive victory, having won its last two away from Istanbul.
Both teams are without signature centers, as Milan has been missing Arturas Gudaitis and Bryant Dunston did not make the trip with Efes. The battle on the boards will be up for grabs, in that case, and in Milan’s case, defense of the rim will be key. Efes ranks second in the EuroLeague with 57.0% efficiency on two-pointers, and without Gudaitis to intimidate, others will have to step in. Kaleb Tarczewski and Paul Biligha are the next biggest bodies, and neither played much in Tuesday’s win over Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv, but they might be called on to step up against Efes.
The visitors’ superfly backcourt of Micic and Shane Larkin is all the more important in the absence of Dunston. They rank among the EuroLeague top seven scorers, but their defense on the perimeter might be more of a key on Thursday. Milan is the runaway EuroLeague leader in three-point shooting efficiency, making 44.5% from the arc, and when that happens at home, the hosts will be hard to beat. Expect Efes to balance its own attack by going to the rim as well as almost any EuroLeague team so far and forcing Milan to defend every inch of the court.
Tip: 1 (-2.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 21/11/2019, 09:50 CET, could have changed)
Valencia – Khimki
A classic 7DAYS EuroCup duel makes its jump to the big stage as Valencia Basket (3-6) welcomes Khimki Moscow Region (6-3) to Spain on Thursday. After a struggling start, Valencia has managed to win three of its last four games, the last two in a row, the last one at home against Zenit St Petersburg in a thriller. Khimki seems much more consistent but comes off a blowout loss at Real Madrid and will look to get back on the winning track in its second game of the week in Spain.
Valencia is on a roll after a rough start, and will want to keep the party going at home. The first worry that coach Jaume Ponsarnau will have is Shved, of course. But Khimki is so much more than him. The guests boast the third-best offense in the league and basically outperform Valencia on all fronts except for steals. Valencia will have to look again for the collective effort and do many things right to defeat one of the top teams in the competition. La Fonteta will be there giving the extra push, the rest is up to Valencia and the focus that it brings to the game.
After a brilliant start, Khimki has dropped two of its last four games, and that is a wakeup call not to take any games in the EuroLeague for granted. Going into the game Khimki has the upper hand in virtually every aspect of the game, so the main trio of Shved, Jonas Jerebko and Devin Booker will try to remain the solid pillar they have been for Khimki. As of now, Khimki gives up more points per game than Valencia, but the hosts have the second-weakest numbers from beyond the arc in the league, so the guests will probably try to exploit that.
Tip: 1 at 2.50 with bet365
(Price correct at 21/11/2019, 09:50 CET, could have changed)
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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster
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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 12 – 06/12/2019

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Zenit – Villeurbanne
Both teams come to this game looking to break their respective losing streaks. ASVEL has lost its last three games, including a 31-point thrashing at the hands of Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv in Round 11. Zenit is on a six-game losing streak and is looking for its first home win of the season; its two victories – against Olympiacos Piraeus and Zalgiris Kaunas – came on the road and in overtime. Expect high intensity between two defensive-minded teams eager to bounce back as soon as possible.
Zenit has a deeper bench and must use it to play with very high intensity at both ends. Zenit co-leads the EuroLeague in offensive rebounds (12 orpg.) but has struggled to dominate under its boards (21.2 drpg., 16th overall). Coach Joan Plaza’s team must run its offense through its most experienced players – Ayon, Mateusz Ponitka, Alex Renfroe – and box out to get going in transition more often than it did until now.
ASVEL is last in scoring (70.6 ppg.) mainly because of its poor shooting percentages; it’s made just 48.8% of its shots inside the arc and 32.5% from three-point range. Finding better shots will help the team’s fluency on offense. It must involve its best shooters – Edwin Jackson, David Lighty, Rihards Lomasz – on offense, so Antoine Diot and Theo Maledon not only must find the right rhythm but diversify ASVEL’s offense not to rely too much on its efficient frontcourt, led by Jekiri.
Tip: 1 (-9.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/11/2019, 10:30 CET, could have changed)
Khimki – Barcelona
Two teams coming off painful losses in Round 11 will square off in Russia when Khimki Moscow Region welcomes FC Barcelona. Khimki is riding a three-game losing streak, the last one coming at Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul 89-76. Barcelona saw its winning streak snapped at home against CSKA Moscow with a stunning 67-96 defeat. Both teams will be looking to get back on the winning track as soon as possible. Alexey Shved, who missed the last game for Khimki, is expected to play against Barcelona.
After a solid start to the season, Khimki has dropped four of its last six games. Despite being in not such a sweet moment right now, the hosts still have the fourth-best offense in the league (84.7 ppg.) but also the second-weakest defense (85.6 ppg.). The main task for Khimki will be on defense trying to limit the offensive talent that Barcelona boasts. The visitors are also third-best in rebounds, so that will go hand in hand with defense for Khimki if it wants to protect its home floor against the team in second place.
Petr Gubanov and Timofey Mozgov are still out with injuries. Evgeny Valiev will spend the rest of the season in Parma Perm on loan.
Barcelona is having a pretty good season but suffered another tough blow last week at home and it will have to demonstrate that it is a solid team by bouncing back swiftly. The team certainly has the talent to do that, but Khimki has better shooting percentages from all ranges, so the visitors will have to make sure to deny the opponent open shots. Khimki has better numbers on almost all fronts, but Barcelona has a higher PIR average. Efficiency could be the key to steal a win from Russia.
Tip: 1 (+3.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/11/2019, 10:30 CET, could have changed)
Fenerbahce – ALBA Berlin
After winning back-to-back games for the first time all season, Fenerbahce will look to keep its momentum going when it hosts ALBA Berlin, which is also in fine form with victories in three of its last four games. Not only has Fenerbahce started winning, but its last two wins both also came by double-figure margins of victory. It will be the first time these teams have squared off in over a decade; they split home win in the 2008-09 season.
Fenerbahce has won games when its offense has worked. It is 4-0 when the team has scored at least 80 points and Fenerbahce has averaged an unthinkable 54.4% on three-pointers as a team in those games. This week it faces an ALBA team that has allowed the most points in the league (88.4 ppg.). Fenerbahce is also last in the league in rebounding (29.2 rpg.). An improved rebounding effort that leads to good shots in transition could be just what Fenerbahce wins for another victory.
Jan Vesely suffered an injury and he’s being evaluated by the medical staff. He won’t play against ALBA. Both Nikola Kalinic, Leo Westermann and Nando De Colo are practicing with the team but they will be a game-time decision.
ALBA’s great ball movement has been a double-edged sword; the team leads the EuroLeague in both assists (19.8 apg.) and turnovers (14.8 TOpg.). To win in Istanbul, ALBA must cut down on its turnovers and get more production in the paint. Its 48.6% shooting on two-pointers is third-worst in the competition. Getting more balance would help ALBA’s already-strong three-point marksmen and could be the key to a second road win.
ALBA is missing Tyler Cavanaugh, Johannes Thiemann and Tim Schneider. Bogdan Radosavljevic, who was brought in to fill in for injured players, will also miss one week with an ankle sprain.
Tip: Over 162.5 at 2.00 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/11/2019, 10:30 CET, could have changed)
Panathinaikos – Olympiacos
This will be the first derby of Athens this season and of course, it is one of the most anticipated showdowns in European basketball. Panathinaikos is on a three-game winning streak and comes off a 32-point win over Baskonia. Olympiacos is also in fine form after winning its last two games by an average margin of 20.0 points. While both teams arrive in good shape, it often comes down to who wants it more, as intangibles such as intensity, focus, determination and character are always critical when the Greens and the Reds meet on a basketball court.
The two teams have faced each other 15 times in Turkish Airlines EuroLeague history and Olympiacos owns a 10-5 record against the Greens. Three of those showdowns were in the EuroLeague semifinals. Olympiacos defeated Panathinaikos in 1994 and 1995 but lost in the championship games against Joventut Badalona and Real Madrid, respectively. Panathinaikos topped Olympiacos 84-82 in the 2009 semifinals and went on to lift the trophy. Olympiacos also swept Panathinaikos 2-0 in the 1997 EuroLeague Playoffs on its way to its first continental crown.
Panathinaikos is the top-scoring team in the league (88.5 ppg.) and ranks second in assists (19.1 apg.). It is shooting the ball with good percentages, especially inside the arc (56.1% 3FG, 38.7% 3FG). Playing with great aggressiveness on defense, looking for steals and deflections, will be critical for Panathinaikos, as well as rebounding well under its own rim. So far, Panathinaikos has done well (25.3 drpg.) and that has allowed Calathes to run the show in transition offense.
Olympiacos is averaging 77.9 points so far this season but boosted that number to 95.0 points in the last couple of games. It is still struggling to hit its outside shots (33.1% 3FG) but getting much better (22 of 48 in the last two games, 45.8%). Panathinaikos takes excellent care of the ball with just 10.2 turnovers per game). Olympiacos needs to force its opponents into more mistakes and run its offense through Spanoulis, Georgios Printezis and Nikola Milutinov, who can be unstoppable.
Panathinaikos Olympiakos live stream
Tip: 1 (-7.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/11/2019, 10:30 CET, could have changed)
Baskonia – Anadolu Efes
Two teams in different situations will meet in Spain when KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz welcomes first placed Anadolu Efes Istanbul. Baskonia suffered one of its worst road losses ever at Panathinaikos last week, 100-68, and will look to bounce back at home. Efes is the hottest team right now with five wins in a row and Shane Larkin earning November MVP honors and shattering the all-time scoring record in a single game with his 49 points against Bayern last week for a 104-75 win.
Baskonia needs to bounce back from one of its toughest losses ever and it has to do it against the hottest team in the league. It could be a tall order for the hosts, but on defense, they look like a stronger team on paper and will have to focus on that with the support of the fans in Vitoria. Efes is an offensive juggernaut with the third-best numbers in the league plus a red-hot Shane Larkin, who just blasted the scoring record and earned MVP of the month honors. It will be paramount to try to stop such a talented and motivated player.
Efes will be looking for its sixth straight win against a team that could be hurt emotionally. The visitors will have to try to capitalize on that but also take care of rebounds, as Baskonia is the best team in the league in that aspect (37.7 rpg.). However, Baskonia seems to be struggling to move the ball on offense (fewest assists in the league, 13.9 apg.), so if the visitors manage to put pressure on the ball on defense, they might find the way to run and win again on the road.
Adrien Moerman and Bryant Dunston won’t be available against Baskonia.
Tip: 1 at 2.20 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/11/2019, 10:30 CET, could have changed)
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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster
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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 12 – 05/12/2019

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CSKA Moscow – Zalgiris
One of the chief rivalries from Soviet basketball lives on when CSKA hosts Zalgiris. CSKA comes off a tough three-game road stretch in which it lost the first two games, but got a boost of confidence with a resounding 67-96 thumping of FC Barcelona. After making two straight playoff appearances, Zalgiris has slumped this season; the Lithuanian champs have dropped five straight games and are 1-3 on the road.
The key number for CSKA this season is 80. CSKA is 6-1 when it has scored at least 80 points. It is 6-1 when its opponents have been held below 80 points. Based on the teams’ averages – CSKA is fifth in the league with 83.9 points per game and Zalgiris 16th with 73.6, the 80-point threshold could be the key to victory again this week.
Zalgiris has struggled on offense this season and ranks near the bottom in scoring (16th, 73.6 ppg.) and assists (16th 14.6 apg.) and is last in both three-pointers made (75) and three-point accuracy (31.4%). There is no shortage of top-notch shooters on the team, from Lukas Lekavicius and Arturas Milaknis in the backcourt to center Jock Landale. Getting the team’s once-feared three-point attack back on track could turn things around for Zalgiris.
Tip: 1 (-9.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 05/11/2019, 09:40 CET, could have changed)
Maccabi – Bayern
The champions of Israel and Germany will clash in this showdown in Tel Aviv. While Maccabi will look to remain undefeated at home, Bayern seeks its maiden road victory this season. Both teams have been shorthanded in recent weeks with forward Omri Casspi of Maccabi and Nihad Dedovic of Bayern each missing multiple games.
Great defense has led to great defense for Maccabi this season; the team leads the league in rebounds (37.6 rpg.) and steals (8.3 spg.), which has led to it ranking second in scoring (86.9 ppg.) and atop the table in two-point shooting (58.2%). Bayern is second-to-last in offensive rebounding (8.4), so if Maccabi can control the glass and get its points on the fastbreak and in transition, it will be in good shape for a sixth straight home win.
Bayern is tied for the second-fewest three-pointers in the league (77), but is fifth in three-point accuracy (39.1%). Facing a stingy Maccabi defense that leads the league in two-point accuracy, allowing opponents a mere 44.2%, Bayern would be wise to fire up more shots from behind the arc to open things up and challenge the Maccabi big men to keep pace. Petteri Koponen, Paul Zipser and Maodo Lo could take the lead in that charge.
Tip: Over 164.5 at 2.00 with bet365
(Price correct at 05/11/2019, 09:40 CET, could have changed)
Milano – Crvena Zvezda
Two teams in different recent forms meet in the fashion capital when Milan hosts Crvena Zvezda. Milan has lost back-to-back games and three of its last four, including its first home loss of the season to Anadolu Efes Istanbul in Round 10. Zvezda has won its last two games, including its first road win at Zalgiris Kaunas in Round 10.
Milan has been able to break games open at times with its league-leading 42.9% three-point shooting, which also helps cover for its poor two-point shooting (17th, 46.8%). However, it is noteworthy that while Milan has made 48.1% of its threes in its seven wins, the team is just 34.3% from behind the arc in losses. This week Milan faces a Zvezda team, which thanks to the perimeter defense of Branko Lazic, Lorenzo Brown and Charles Jenkins, has held opponents to 32.3% shooting from downtown. A good shooting night from three-point land seems pivotal for Milan.
When Zvezda plays its best defense, it has a chance in every game. However, when it has allowed at least 80 points in a game this season, it is 0-4. Zvezda must improve its abysmal shooting (46.7% 2FG, 32.1% 3FG) and cut down on its 13.9 turnovers, which are third-most in the league. That will allow it to keep pace with opponents when its defense is less than elite. However, Zvezda must also continue to play tough defense to have a good chance at a second straight road win.
Tip: 2 (+8.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 05/11/2019, 09:40 CET, could have changed)
Real Madrid – Valencia
It will be an all-Spanish affair on Thursday night when Real Madrid welcomes Valencia Basket to the Spanish capital. Real is one of the hottest teams in the league right now riding a six-game winning streak. The last win arrived at Zenit St Peterburg, 71-86. On the other hand, Valencia saw its winning streak snapped last week in Belgrade with a 76-73 loss on the buzzer against Crvena Zvezda.
Coach Pablo Laso seems to have found the right key to press at this moment. The team is on a roll despite injury problems and playing at home against a well-known opponent could be a blessing and a curse. Real has a net 10-point difference with the visitors counting offense and defense, and the hosts outperform Valencia on almost every other aspect of the game on paper. If Los Blancos slow Jordan Loyd and Dubljevic down, they will be closer to their seventh straight win.
Sergio Llull, Salah Mejri and Felipe Reyes will miss the game for sure. Rudy Fernandez did not practice all week with the flu. Jeffery Taylor will play.
It took a while, but Valencia seems to finally be rolling in the EuroLeague. Despite its last loss, the visitors are in good form and will try to stay that way in Madrid. However, Coach Jaume Ponsarnau is facing a tough challenge against arguably the hottest team in the league. Defense to deny open shots will be key since Real has solid percentages from all ranges. The hosts’ 99.8 average PIR (third-best in the league) indicates that they do many things well, so it will be an important task for Valencia in Madrid.
Tip: Winning Margin 3-way: Any other result (any team 1-5 points win) at 3.40 with bet365
(Price correct at 05/11/2019, 09:40 CET, could have changed)
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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster
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