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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 10 – 22/11/2019

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Bayern – Panathinaikos

One of two teams will start a winning streak on Friday night when FC Bayern Munich (4-5) welcomes Panathinaikos OPAP Athens (5-4) for Round 10. Earlier this week, Bayern managed to defeat Olympiacos Piraeus in comeback fashion and snapped a three-game losing streak. Panathinaikos has won three of its last four games, but the last one, a thriller at Zalgiris Kaunas, helped the Greens return to their winning ways after having lost their previous matchup to ALBA Berlin.

Bayern goes into the game with a nearly 10-point disadvantage in average scoring against Panathinaikos’s second-best offense in the league. Nonetheless, Bayern excels at three-point shooting with the league’s second-best accuracy rate (41.1%) and should try to exploit that again at home. The Greens are better, on paper, on all other fronts, so defense will be key for Bayern to try to stop the guests from stealing their first win from Munich.

Panathinaikos is going through a coaching change, but the win in Kaunas softened the blow. The Greens showed that they can keep their cool to decide close games even on the road. Now, they’ll want to prove in Munich that they are the better team based not only on numbers, but on moxie. Keys will be limiting Greg Monroe’s effect for Bayern and Calathes executing the ball circulation that he specializes in. If the Greens impose their style in Munich, they will have options to take the win home to Athens.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 at 2.10 with bet365
(Price correct at 22/11/2019, 09:00 CET, could have changed)

ASVEL Villeurbanne – Fenerbahce

Two teams coming from Round 9 losses will face off when LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (5-4) hosts Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul (2-7) on Friday. ASVEL lost its first home game of the season against Anadolu Efes Istanbul and now hosts another Turkish team that will arrive wounded and ready to bounce back. Fenerbahce suffered a severe defeat in Barcelona and confirmed its slow start to the EuroLeague season. One of them will get back to the winning path on Friday.

ASVEL is having a dream start to the season at home, and it was just two days ago that the team dropped its first game in Lyon. Now, it’s faces the visit of another EuroLeague behemoth like Fenerbahce. The guests arrive wounded, which makes them even more dangerous. Fenerbahce has the second-worst offense in the league, but the only team worse is ASVEL itself. The hosts will have to look for big man Tonye Jekiri, who is dominating in the paint, and try to make good selections when shooting from beyond the arc. Rebounds could be a key factor for ASVEL since Fenerbahce seems to be struggling with that aspect, aside from the fact that the guests will arrive without their best scorer Nando De Colo, who is still injured.

Fenerbahce is in a rare situation for a team that has been to five consecutive Final Fours. However, the heart of this team can never be underestimated, and its roster is loaded with individual talent. The guests will have to try to forget the bad results and focus on beginning a recovery, and Lyon could be a great place to start. ASVEL is featuring better numbers on defense, so Fener will have to try to move the ball well and increase those 15.8 assists per game it has at this point. The hosts seem to be having a hard time from beyond the arc, so forcing those situations could be a way out for Fenerbahce, which needs a win as soon as possible.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (+3.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 22/11/2019, 09:00 CET, could have changed)

Barcelona – Maccabi

Two teams with great starts to the season will square off on Friday when FC Barcelona (7-2) welcomes Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv (6-3) for Round 10. Barcelona comes off an overwhelming win at home against Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul and will look to keep its momentum going against one of its direct rivals for the top spots in the standings. Maccabi lost in Milan for Round 9, which ended its six-game winning streak, so the Israelis will try to get back on the winning track as soon as possible, despite missing Omri Casspi with injury.

Coach Svetislav Pesic said that Barca’s game against Fener had been “perfect”, and that’s what the hosts will have to repeat if they want to defeat Maccabi, too. Maccabi has the best offense in the league and is also the top rebounding team, although followed closely by the hosts. Overall, Maccabi is doing everything well so far this season, so Barcelona will have to try to capitalize on the fact that the guests suffered a rare defeat and need to regroup. If the trio formed by Higgins, Nikola Mirotic and Kyle Kuric works in offense, as usual, and the team plays the tight defense that Pesic likes, they will be on their way to protect the Palau.

After six straight wins, the loss in Milan can be painful for Maccabi, but then again, it could be expected as Milan is firing on all cylinders. The same could be said about Barcelona, as Maccabi will have faced two of the co-leaders of the league in three days. Both teams boast some of the best defenses in the league, so Maccabi’s edge could be found in its accuracy in offense. Without Casspi, the team’s second-best scorer, Maccabi could suffer a bit, but the rest of a solid and deep roster will have to step up to fill his shoes and try to become the first team to win in Barcelona this season.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+4.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 22/11/2019, 09:00 CET, could have changed)

Baskonia – Zenit

It is a never-seen-before showdown in European club competitions. KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (4-5) has struggled but comes off a big home win against CSKA Moscow, so this is an opportunity to gain momentum. Zenit (2-7) comes off a heartbreaking road loss against Valencia Basket, its second in a row by 4 or less points. Zenit has a four-game losing streak, making this game a good opportunity to get back on track.

Baskonia pulled down 32 defensive rebounds against CSKA on Wednesday, and that effort will be needed against Zenit, the EuroLeague’s offensive rebounds leader this season. Baskonia did not take good care of the ball against CSKA, however, getting 11 assists and 18 turnovers, and struggled from beyond the arc (29.2%, 7 for 24). There is room for improvement; better ball circulation will lead to better shooting percentages and a more effective offense.

Zenit leads the EuroLeague in offensive rebounds, pulling down 12.1 per night. It must keep playing with that aggressiveness to neutralize Baskonia’s trademark character. Zenit has struggled from the three-point line, hitting 33.8% of its shots, but downed 14 against Valencia on Tuesday in what surely is a step forwards. Without Mateusz Ponitka and Evgeny Voronov, Tim Abromaitis, Austin Hollins and Renfroe will need to step up and lead the team’s perimeter.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 158.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 22/11/2019, 09:00 CET, could have changed)

Real Madrid – CSKA

The last two Turkish Airlines EuroLeague champions, Real Madrid (6-3) and CSKA Moscow (6-3), meet for the first time this season to settle their part of a four-way tie just below three league leaders. Real is undefeated at home and wants to keep its momentum going in front of the fans at WiZink Center. CSKA has already recorded several road wins but this will be its biggest test to date outside of the Russian capital. Expect nothing short of a spectacular game between these two giants.

After its great exhibition against Khimki, scoring 65 first-half points and finishing the game with excellent shooting percentages (57.8% 2FG, 59.1% 3FG, 92.9% FT), Real will aim to keep that momentum going by securing the defensive boards to get into transition and taking good care of the ball. It worked earlier this week — 33 defensive rebounds, 21 assists, 12 turnovers — and the same recipe will be needed against a more experienced team like CSKA.

CSKA was limited to 66 and 70 points, respectively, in its recent road losses against ASVEL and Baskonia. On Wednesday in Vitoria-Gasteiz, CSKA only hit 13-of-39 shots inside the paint and pulled down just 9 offensive rebounds. Being much more effective inside the paint and powering the offensive glass will be critical against Real, a team that depends on its defensive boards to play in transition and run the floor.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 162.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 22/11/2019, 09:00 CET, could have changed)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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* Odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change.

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 29 – Thursday

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Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

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CSKA Moscow – ALBA Berlin

Back in-form CSKA Moscow will look to keep its momentum going when it hosts ALBA Berlin on Thursday. After dropping three of four, CSKA won twice last week, including a 31-point thumping of Panathinaikos in Athens. Every win is crucial for the champs, who are fighting for homecourt advantage in the playoffs. ALBA, which has lost three in a row, could see its playoff hopes formally put to an end if it losses and other results go the other way.

CSKA always does a great job of picking apart the opponents’ weaknesses and against ALBA it surely knows that by moving the ball and getting penetration or passing to the big men inside it will get great looks against ALBA, which allows a league-high 57.6% of two-point shots against opponents. Strong play from the CSKA bigs could decide this game.

While three-point shooting will be important to this game – the teams are ranked third (ALBA, 39.6%) and fourth (CSKA, 39.2%) in the league in three-point accuracy, rebounding for ALBA will be paramount. CSKA leads the league in rebounding (37.8 rpg.) and its league-best 26.0 defensive rebounds per game ignite many fast breaks. ALBA is a strong offensive rebounding team (fourth, 11.4 prpg.) and will need to be a factor there to avoid CSKA getting easy baskets in transition.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 167.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Valencia

A host with only first place left to clinch faces a visitor struggling for survival when Efes (24-4) welcomes Valencia (12-16) to Istanbul on Thursday. Efes assured itself home-court advantage in the playoffs last Friday when Shane Larkin returned to MVP form in a 91-79 win over Olympiacos Piraeus. Valencia (12-16) suffered its fourth straight loss, 81-83 in heartbreaking fashion to AX Armani Exchange Milan on a game-winning three-pointer to beat the buzzer in overtime. Valencia now shares ninth place just four rounds after having held seventh place alone.

It’s easy to say give the ball to Larkin when he has rained 10 triples and more than 4 points in two separate games this season. But Efes will have to be wary of some things Valencia does well, like offensive rebounds, drawing fouls, making free throws and assist-to-turnover rate, in all of which the visitors rank among the top five in the league. If Efes keeps up an aggressive pace, however, its endless bench could well make the difference.

The visitors would do well to grind it out, slow the game, and somehow keep both Larkin and Micic to a minimum of shots. They have a lot to do with Efes ranking first in both two- and three-point accuracy, so Valencia’s defenders will likely risk trying to turn off the spigot at its source. Not many defenses have had luck with that, but disrupting the perimeter play of Efes would change the dynamic of the game, and that’s not a bad way to try to beat the league leaders.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-11.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Maccabi – Baskonia

Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv will look to rebound from a loss in Belgrade when it meets red-hot KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz. Maccabi had won five in a row before its loss to Crvena Zvezda and is neck-and-neck with CSKA Moscow for fourth place, which is worth homecourt advantage in the playoffs. Baskonia has won three in a row to join a heated playoff race and at 12-16 in now one of five teams that is one win outside the playoff zone.

The test of rebounding in the game will be when Baskonia misses shots. Coach Ivanovic’s men are third in the league in offensive rebounds (11.5 orpg.) and Maccabi is second in defensive boards (25.7 drpg.). If Baskonia can make noise on the offensive glass and get a few extra second-chance baskets, it could go a long way. But if Maccabi locks down the defensive boards and turns them into transition points, the Israeli champs will be in pole position.

It is as important as ever for Baskonia to take good care of the ball against Maccabi. Baskonia has committed the second-most turnovers in the league (14.3 TOpg.), while Maccabi has taken more steals than any other team (7.8 spg.). There are many players on the Maccabi defense with quick hands and Baskonia must rise to the challenge to keep them at bay.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+8.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Real Madrid – Crvena Zvezda

Two teams with different goals in mind will meet in Round 29 when Real Madrid (22-6) hosts Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (11-17). Real has clinched a playoff berth and has won seven straight games, including last week against ASVEL at home. The hosts are looking to get the home-court advantage for the next phase. On the other side, Zvezda managed to win again last week after losing eight of its previous nine games. The Serbian champs defeated red-hot Maccabi at home to remain in the playoff hunt.

The hosts average almost 10 points more per game than the visitors,  are on a winning run and still fighting for a tangible goal. It’s hard to deny that going into the game, Real is the favorite. Los Blancos have better numbers on all fronts and that fact is summed up with a difference of average PIR of 102.6 vs. 77.5 in favor of Real. However, Zvezda is still looking for a playoff ticket and the last home win against such a solid team as Maccabi at this point could give the guests a boost of morale that could be dangerous for the hosts to underestimate.

Zvezda will land in Madrid with a lot of things at stake. It has everything to win… and everything to lose also. One could expect that the visitors can drop this game in the Spanish capital, but at this moment, Zvezda is still playing for a playoff ticket so winning in Madrid has become almost mandatory. It won’t be easy because Real is on a roll and is also playing for a specific goal. The visitors will have to come into the game pumped by the last win against Maccabi and with the idea to steal an upset that would put them in a good position to fight for one of the last places in the next phase.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.0 at 1.90 with bet365

(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 28 – Friday

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Mirotic Barca

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Khimki – Fenerbahce

Two teams in the thick of the playoffs race will face each other on Friday when Khimki Moscow Region (12-15) hosts Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul (13-14) for Round 28. After having won three in a row, Khimki’s streak came to a halt earlier this week at Zalgiris, while Fener won at home against Zvezda and finally entered the playoff positions.

Going into the game, Khimki’s best option will probably be to unleash its better offense. Fenerbahce is also the worst team of the league under the boards, so if the hosts manage to control those defensive rebounds and run on offense, thanks to their second-best assists numbers in the league, they could have solid options to take this win.

Fenerbahce finally overcame the mental obstacle of being outside of the playoffs zone, and seems to be getting up to speed. Even if Khimki shows better numbers on almost all aspects, the biggest weapon for the guests will be a strong mentality that is just getting stronger week after week and, of course, the second-best three-point shooting in the league.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 at 2.20 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Olympiacos

A classic EuroLeague matchup will live a new edition on Friday when league leader Anadolu Efes Istanbul (23-4) welcomes Olympiacos Piraeus (12-15) for Round 28. Efes comes off a rare loss earlier in the week at Maccabi that snapped its 11-game winning streak. The hosts will be facing the Reds, who land in Turkey fresh off a close win at home in the Greek derby against Panathinaikos earlier this week.

It’s kind of ironic that Efes suffered its first loss in 12 rounds just when it had its full roster available again. The hosts are the second-best offensive team in the league, and this loss shows that they are human after all, but it could also be a wake-up call just at the right time. Efes is already in the playoffs, but a win in this game combined with either a Maccabi or CSKA Moscow loss, would secure home-court advantage for the hosts in the next phase.

Olympiacos is having one of the most irregular seasons of the last decade, and having Vassilis Spanoulis and Nikola Milutinov sidelined does not help, either, However, the Reds have won three of their last four games and they are still pushing hard to make the playoffs in a tough competition. On paper, Efes is basically better at everything this season, but Olympiacos is famous for beating the odds, and the fact that they play on the road with the chance to avenge the home loss earlier this season just adds to the motivation.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 158.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Crvena Zvezda – Maccabi

Playoffs hopeful Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (10-17) will welcome Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv (19-8), a team that just punched its postseason ticket, on Friday for Round 28 of this double-feature week. The hosts are going through a rough patch, having lost eight of their last nine games, including a close one at Fenerbahce earlier this week, 66-63. On the other hand, Maccabi comes from a thrilling home win over Efes, 77-75, that increased its winning streak to five games and secured the club a playoff berth for the first time since 2015.

The hosts need to get out of the dark zone they are in right now. A motivated and happy team like Maccabi might not be the best option to do that, but Zvezda plays at home and that is always a big factor in any game. Maccabi does not have many weak points, but its free-throw percentage is the third-worst in the league, so stepping up on defense and then sending the guests to the line could work in Zvezda’s favor for this game.

Maccabi is in a good place right now. The team is playing well, the wins keep coming in and the playoffs are a reality once more after four seasons. Now it’s just a matter to keep pushing in order to earn home-court advantage. Maccabi has the upper hand in this game, especially in offense, and also with the second-best numbers of the league under the boards. Zvezda also has the worst percentage in two-pointers, so paying attention to defense could bring a big payoff to the guests.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-4.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Barcelona – Bayern

Two teams in opposite places will face each other on Friday as already qualified FC Barcelona (21-6) welcomes FC Bayern Munich (8-19) for Round 28. Barca is one of the hottest teams in the league, with eight consecutive wins, including on Wednesday against another German team, ALBA. The hosts also have the February MVP, Nikola Mirotic, on a roll. Bayern, on the other hand, has lost 11 of its last 13 games, including at home to Baskonia earlier this week, and at risk of soon being mathematically ruled out of the playoffs race.

It all looks bright for Barca going into this game. The hosts are facing the second-worst offense in the league, and the second-worst team in rebounds per game. All in all, Barcelona averages a PIR of 20 more than Bayern per game, plus the hosts are playing well and winning games like they had not done for quite a few seasons now. If Barca manages to execute its game plan, it should be able to add another win and get closer to home-court advantage in the playoffs.

Bayern is in a rough moment of the season and the fact that it plays on the road against one of the hottest teams does not help. Barca is a talented team with a deep bench, so Bayern will have to clench its teeth from tip-off and try to start building a win through defense. Expect the visitors to base their game on going inside to Greg Monroe and Danilo Barthel, and hope that creates space for shooters like Petteri Koponen, who will be playing on his former home floor.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Baskonia – ALBA Berlin

Two teams still in the race for the playoffs will square off on Friday when KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (11-16) welcomes ALBA Berlin (9-18) in Round 28. Baskonia has won three of its last four games, including the last road win at Bayern, and seems to be making a big push towards the postseason spots. ALBA has lost three of its last four games and needs to get back to the winning track if it wants to retain some options.

Baskonia has the worst offense in the league and plays against the fourth-best. That could seem a tall order for the hosts, but these teams are in opposite trends and Baskonia stands at the better end of those. Baskonia is also the EuroLeague team averaging the least assists per game, while ALBA is third, so this will be a clash of styles. If Baskonia manages to put its third-ranked defense at the top of its priority list against an opponent that gives up the most points this season, the hosts could be on their way to their fourth win in five games.

ALBA just fell short of defeating Barcelona in Berlin, and has now lost three of its last four games. Against Baskonia it will be a duel of opposite styles. ALBA will have to by-pass the tough defense of the hosts in order to display its fun-to-watch offense. If those league-best assists flow and those threes fall in the basket (third best numbers in the league for ALBA), the guests could upset Baskonia for a second time this season, even if missing some players like Peyton Siva.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-5.5) at 1.95 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Get up to £100 in Bet Credits!

News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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