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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 16 – Thursday

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CSKA Moscow – Milano

Two teams coming off big wins will clash in the Russian capital when CSKA hosts Milan on Thursday in the first game of Round 16. CSKA comes off a perfect double-round week which it finished with a victory over top-of-the-table Anadolu Efes Istanbul. Milan snapped a five-game losing streak with a victory over Valencia Basket to retain a spot in the playoff zone. Milan is 2-5 on the road this season while CSKA is 5-1 at home, however, the game will not take place in the building that the champs usually call home. CSKA will host Milan (and Panathinaikos in Round 17) at Yantarny Sports Palace in Kaliningrad

CSKA is tied for second in the league in rebounding with 36.5 per game and facing a Milan team that allows the fourth-most rebounds (35.6 rpg.). On the other hand, Milan is an average rebounding team with 33.9 per game while CSKA allows the fourth-fewest (33.1 rpg.). CKSA is also superior in offensive rebounding (11.3, fifth to 9.0, 16th). If CSKA can maintain its rebounding edge, it will be in a promising position.

The two teams in this game are among the premier three-point shooting teams in the EuroLeague; CSKA is first at 40.8% and Milan third at 40.2. However, Milan has also played the best defense in the league on three-pointers, keeping teams to just 33.6%. CSKA’s three-point defense is not far behind at 34.4%. Making matters more complicated is that many on Milan are familiar with the play of Mike James while many on CSKA know what to expect from Sergio Rodriguez. If Milan can limit CKSA’s effectiveness from the perimeter, it will have a distinct advantage.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-7.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 26/12/2019, 10:05 CET, could have changed)

Anadolu Efes – Maccabi

Two of the top teams in the league clash in Istanbul when the Turkish champs host the Israel champs. Efes lost at home to CSKA Moscow on Friday to lose sole possession of first place and now shares the top spot with two other teams at 12-3. Maccabi, which has won five games in a row, sits in fourth place with one less win. This will be a stern test for Maccabi, which is 3-4 on the road and plays its next three games away from home. Recently-signed point guard Aaron Jackson could make his Maccabi debut this week to bolster an injury-stricken backcourt.

Efes is undefeated in the seven games in which it has outrebounded its opponent this season, however, in Maccabi it is facing the team with the second-most rebounds in the league this season (36.5 rpg.). The projected starting centers for each team – Bryant Dunston for Efes and Tarik Black for Maccabi – have missed the last few weeks with injuries and if that remains the case, getting rebounding help from others could be critical to Efes’s chances.

Maccabi has one of the best defenses in the league and it has served it well. The Israeli champs have help opponents to a league-low 74.9 points per game and the team is 9-0 this season in games in which it has held the opposition below 80 points. Efes is fifth in the league in scoring (84.8 ppg.) and is 10-1 when it has reached the 80-point mark. If Maccabi can keep Efes below 80, it will have a major advantage.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 164.0 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 26/12/2019, 10:05 CET, could have changed)

ALBA Berlin – Baskonia

In a clash of teams looking to turn things around, ALBA Berlin hosts KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz on Thursday evening. ALBA has dropped four games in a row and will look to snap its losing streak on its home court, where ALBA is 3-4 this season. Baskonia has lost four of its last five games and parted ways with head coach Velimir Perasovic last week. Baskonia is 1-6 in its last seven road games. This game will be the first between these two teams in over a decade.

ALBA has committed the second-most turnovers in the league this season with an average of 14.4 per game. Baskonia is third with 13.7. Both teams have also dealt with problems at the point guard position; Jayson Granger has been out all season for Baskonia and Peyton Siva has been in and out of the lineup for ALBA. A strong game from ALBA playmaker Martin Hermannsson and fewer turnovers for his team could be the difference for the hosts.

Baskonia is near the bottom of the league in scoring with 74.7 points scored per game, however, when its defense is strong the team has done well; Baskonia is 6-3 when it has held its opponents below 80 points. ALBA likes to push the ball and is averaging 84.1 points. Baskonia will need to be near its best on defense to contain the ALBA attack and keep the scoring in the visiting team’s comfort zone, which would give it a strong chance to win.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 164.5 at 1.95 with bet365
(Price correct at 26/12/2019, 10:05 CET, could have changed)

Panathinaikos – Real Madrid

Panathinaikos returns home to face Real Madrid, which is tied for the best record in the league. The Greens have won five of their last six home games, including three straight since Coach Rick Pitino returned to the bench. Los Blancos are riding a 10-game winning streak, but are only 3-3 on the road this season. Panathinaikos leads the league in scoring (87.9 ppg.) and Real tops the charts in performance index rating (101.9), so it should be an exciting contest.

Panathinaikos is 9-3 this season when it has scored at least 80 points and its offensive game will be what the team relies on as it seeks a victory against Real. Only five teams have scored at least 80 against Real this season and the two times it happened outside of Madrid resulted in Real defeats. If the Panathinaikos attack can crack the Real defense and make this a high-scoring game, it may find itself in the driver’s seat.

Real is shooting 40.4% on three-pointers this season, which is second-best in the league. What’s more, Panathinaikos’s three-point defense is subpar, allowing opponents to shoot 35.8% from behind the arc. Led by Anthony Randolph, Fabien Causeur and Jaycee Carroll, Real has weapons in the frontcourt and backcourt to keep the Greens’ defense off-balance and if Los Blancos can knock down their threes, they have good chances to win in Athens.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-1.0) at 2.00 with bet365
(Price correct at 26/12/2019, 10:05 CET, could have changed)

Villeurbanne – Khimki

It will be a battle of styles when ASVEL hosts Khimki on Thursday. Although only one victory separates the teams in the standings, ASVEL has scored the second-fewest points in the league (73.1 ppg.) and Khimki has posted the second-most (86.4 ppg.). ASVEL has won its last two home games and is 6-2 in front of its fans this season. Khimki has lost four consecutive road games.

Khimki is averaging 87.4 points per game and allowing opponents to score 87.6 points per game. Only twice all season has ASVEL reached 87 points and they came in the team’s last two home games, both victories. On the other hand, ASVEL is 5-2 when it has held int opponent below 80 points. Khimki is 1-3 when it fails to reach 80 points. Stopping league-leading scorer Alexey Shved is no simple task, however, limiting him and the rest of the fertile Khimki attack will be crucial to scoring a win that could lift ASVEL into the playoff zone.

Khimki’s attack remains lethal even on the road, where its 84.0 points per game are fourth-best in the league. However, ASVEL’s defense on its home floor is quite tough, limiting teams to 76.4 points. Khimki has already faced the top five defenses in terms of points allowed this season and has come away 1-4. Khimki’s top few scorers, such as Alexey Shved and Devin Booker, have seen their production remain close to the norm against those teams, however, some of Khimki’s most important secondary scorers have struggled, such as Jonas Jerebko, who has averaged just 6.8 points and a performance index rating of 5.8 in those games. Using the team’s depth and getting more production from a variety of players could make the difference for Khimki this week.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-3.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 26/12/2019, 10:05 CET, could have changed)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


Euroleague Standings

Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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25/01/2020NBAUTA Jazz v DAL Mavericks2 (+3.5)1.90
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22/01/2020NBANY Knicks v LA Lakers2 (-11.0)1.90
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20/01/2020NBAHOU Rockets v OKC ThunderOver 229.01.90
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19/01/2020NBADEN Nuggets v IND PacersOver 211.51.90
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18/01/2020NBANY Knicks v PHI 76ersUnder 220.01.90
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17/01/2020ELPanathinaikos v ZalgirisUnder 163.51.90
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16/01/2020ELFenerbahce v BarcelonaUnder 162.01.90
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15/01/2020ELPanathinaikos v BayernOver 152.51.90
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15/01/2020ELZenit v BaskoniaOver 165.51.90
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14/01/2020ELOlympiacos v ALBA Berlin1 (-6.5)1.86
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14/01/2020ELCSKA Moscow v Real MadridOver 166.51.90
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13/01/2020NBAIND Pacers v PHI 76ers2 (-1.0)1.90
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11/01/2020NBADAL Mavericks v PHI 76ersOver 223.51.90
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10/01/2020ELBarcelona v Anadolu EfesOver 168.01.90
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09/01/2020ELMilano v Panathinaikos21.90
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08/01/2020NBAIND Pacers v MIA Heat1 (-1.0)1.90
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07/01/2020NBATOR Raptors v POR Trail BlazersOver 220.01.90
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06/01/2020NBACHA Hornets v IND PacersOver 209.01.90
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05/01/2020NBACLE Cavaliers v MIN Timberwolves2 (-1.5)1.90
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04/01/2020NBAATL Hawks v IND PacersOver 222.01.90
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03/01/2020ELCSKA v Panathinaikos2 (+6.5)1.90
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02/01/2020NBAMIA Heat v TOR Raptors2 (+5.5)1.90
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01/01/2020NBAMIL Bucks v MIN TimberwolvesOver 227.51.90
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* Odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change.

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 21 – Friday

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Fenerbahce – Milano

After a three-game winning streak, Fenerbahce (8-12) suffered a home loss against FC Barcelona but has this opportunity to bounce back in front of its home crowd. Milan (10-10) is on a seven-game road losing streak. Its last victory away from Mediolanum Forum came in late October. Nando De Colo (18.8 ppg.) is Fenerbahce’s top scorer, followed by Derrick Williams (11.8) and Kostas Sloukas (11.3). Sergio Rodriguez (13.2), Vladimir Micov (11.5) and Keifer Sykes (10.5) are leading Milan’s offense right now.

Fenerbahce’s improved defense has made it more competitive. The Turkish powerhouse has allowed 80.7 points on average this season, but just 69.7 in the last three games. Rebounding remains an issue, as Fenerbahce ranks last with 29.7 boards per game, and allows 11.3 offensive rebounds on average. If Fenerbahce is able to control the defensive boards, players like De Colo, Sloukas, Vesely and Luigi Datome will take care of business at the other end.

Milan is one of the best teams at defensive rebounds (25.3 drpg.) but ranks really low in offensive boards (9.4 orpg.), which is particularly worrying when the Italian powerhouse is last in two-point shooting percentage (46.6%). Milan does a great job at limiting turnovers, with just 11.8 on average. With the right ball circulation, coach Ettore Messina’s team has enough talent everywhere to improve that shooting percentage and eventually be more competitive.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 156.0 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 24/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Zalgiris – ALBA Berlin

Zalgiris (6-14) comes off a narrow road loss against Panathinaikos but has been doing better. After a recent nine-game losing streak, Zalgiris went on to win three of its next five games. ALBA (7-13) comes off a triumphant double-round week, with road wins against Olympiacos and Zvezda, and now looks for another one. Zach LeDay (10.9 ppg.), Lukas Lekavicius (10.8) and Jock Landale (10.5) are leading Zalgiris right now. Rokas Giedraitis (13.5) is ALBA’s top scorer, followed by Marcus Eriksson (10.9) and Martin Hermannsson (10.7).

Zalgiris is hitting just a third of its three-point shots (78-of-234, 33.3%) at home and is also struggling (49.0%) inside the arc. Feeding off its crowd’s energy will be very important for Zalgiris, as well as sharing the ball better, considering that it ranks 17th assists at 15.7 per game. Lekavicius has been on fire lately, but he will need help, especially from his frontcourt teammates, to make Zalgiris as competitive as it can be.

ALBA leads the EuroLeague in turnovers (14.5 per game), a critical issue to make the most out of its run-and-gun offense. ALBA is also first in assists (19.8 apg.) despite not having the best shooting percentages (50.3% 2FG, 38.8% 3FG). Overcoming the strong basketball atmosphere at Zalgirio Arena will be important for ALBA, as well as getting its most experienced players – Sikma, Siva and Giedraitis – involved on offense.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-6.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 24/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

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Panathinaikos – Villeurbanne

Panathinaikos (12-8) comes off a solid double-round week with come-from-behind home wins against FC Bayern Munich and Zalgiris Kaunas. On the other hand, ASVEL (8-12) is on a four-game losing streak and must battle hard in the Greek capital to snap it. Jimmer Fredette (14.3 ppg.) is Panathinaikos’s top scorer, followed by DeShaun Thomas (14.2) and Nick Calathes (13.6). Former Panathinaikos center Adreian Payne (11.1) is ASVEL’s top scorer, followed by David Lighty (9.8) and Livio Jean-Charles (8.9).

Panathinaikos is the highest-scoring team in the competition (89.0 ppg.) and leads the EuroLeague in two-point attempts (43.0 per game) with great efficiency (56.2%) inside the arc. Almost half of the team’s assists (18.6 apg.) come from Calathes, so grabbing defensive rebounds and allowing him to create for others will be, as usual, a big key for the Greens. Panathinaikos has a lot of great finishers – Tyrese Rice, Ioannis Papapetrou, Georgios Papagiannis, Thomas… – so finding who’s hot, a Calathes specialty, will be critical, too.

ASVEL is the lowest scoring team on the road (66.9 ppg.) and allows 84.7 points on average away from The Astroballe. Better ball circulation is needed to improve its shooting percentages (47.8% 2FG, 32.0% 3FG), so ASVEL relies on Taylor and Diot not only to slow Calathes down, but to find the right rhythm on offense, finding good shots and making the most out of its athletic advantage in the paint. If Jean-Charles, Jekiri and Payne can dominate inside and attack the offensive glass, ASVEL will have a better chance to beat Panathinaikos again.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-13.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 24/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Real Madrid – Anadolu Efes

The top two teams in the standings stage a monumental showdown to finish off Round 21. League leaders Efes (17-3) set itself apart with a two-game sweep last week, while Real (15-5) saw a 13-game win streak stopped with consecutive losses and now has three 14-win teams breathing down its neck, making this result especially important for the hosts, who are unbeaten at home this season. Efes has an 8-1 road record, however.

Real rarely finds itself hard-pressed to outgun opponents, but that happened in its last loss, at Khimki Moscow Region, and Efes outscores the hosts 87.4 to 84.4 points per game. For that reason, Tavares and defensive aces Jeffery Taylor and Facundo Campazzo will be important on Friday. Both teams allow the same amount of points (77.4 per game) but Real holds opponents to much lower PIRs on average, and that effort has to be focused on keeping the Efes scorers, especially red-hot Shane Larkin, from going off.

Although Efes seems to be able to do no wrong, lately, it will need to do a lot right to win in the Spanish capital. Protecting the perimeter, where Madrid ranks second with 11.2 triples per game, will be job one. Getting around Tavares for good shots close to the basket will be another challenge. Power forward Chris Singleton may have a big role to play in helping lure Tavares outside, especially if Real is without its own corner ace, Anthony Randolph, who has missed the last four games due to injury.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 168.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 24/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


Euroleague Standings

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 20 – Friday

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CSKA Moscow – Baskonia

CSKA (13-6) comes off a hard-fought victory against Real Madrid and wants to keep its momentum going. Baskonia (7-12) has only won twice in the last nine games and arrives in Moscow after a road loss against Zenit St Petersburg. Mike James (20.8 ppg.) has been CSKA’s top scorer until now, followed by Darrun Hilliard (10.8) and Kyle Hines (9.2). Toko Shengelia (16.7 ppg., 6.0 rpg.), Nik Stauskas (9.7) and Shavon Shields (8.3) have led Baskonia’s offense until now.

CSKA limited Real, one of the best offenses in the competition, to just 55 points, and will need the same defensive mentality against Baskonia. After pulling down 44 against Real, CSKA now leads the rebounds standings at 38.1 per night, getting 26.2 defensive boards on average. That is mandatory for CSKA to get going in transition, making the most out of mobile big men like Nikita Kurbanov, Johannes Voigtmann and Hines.

Baskonia allowed Zenit to score 77.4% of its two-point shots, the second highest percentage in the EuroLeague this season. Protecting the paint will be mandatory for Baskonia. Its big men – Michael Eric, Youssupha Fall and Ilimane Diop – must be ready to be aggressive down low. Baskonia keeps struggling from the three-point line (28% against Zenit, 32.5% overall) and only improving those shooting numbers will make the team more competitive.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Zenit – Valencia

Zenit (6-13) has won consecutive games for the first time this season, using great defense to do so. Valencia (9-10) is also in a good moment, coming off a road victory against Khimki Moscow Region. After a 0-5 start, Valencia is 9-5 in the last 14 games. Gustavo Ayon (12.3 ppg.) is Zenit’s top scorer this season, followed by Will Thomas (10.9) and Mateusz Ponitka (10.0). Jordan Loyd (11.2), Fernando San Emeterio (7.9) and Alberto Abalde (7.3) will be Valencia’s leaders in this game.

Zenit is allowing 79.4 points per game this season but has dramatically improve those numbers in the last four games, allowing just 71.3 on average. That defensive improvement has allowed the team to find more balance on offense, hitting 77.4% of its two-point shots against Baskonia this week. Without Dubljevic and Tobey on court for Valencia, Zenit must get Colton Iverson and Ayon involved to make the most of its size advantage and depth in the paint.

Valencia has averaged 91.5 points over the last four games, winning three of them, and must try to speed up the game tempo against a defensive-minded team like Zenit. It is mandatory for Valencia to make the most out of its depth at point guard, with Sam Van Rossom, Quino Colom and Guillem Vives giving coach Jaume Ponsarnau plenty of options. Stopping Will Thomas down low and getting Fernando San Emeterio and Alberto Abalde involved at both wings will be other keys for the Spanish powerhouse.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+2.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Crvena Zvezda – ALBA Berlin

After four consecutive wins, Zvezda (9-10) suffered a home loss against Zalgiris Kaunas on Wednesday and wants to bounce back right away. ALBA (6-13) comes off a brilliant road victory against Olympiacos Piraeus and wants to keep its momentum going. Lorenzo Brown (14.1 ppg.) has been Zvezda’s top scorer until now, followed by recently signed Kevin Punter (12.7) and Vladimir Stimac (12.3). Rokas Giedraitis (13.8), Marcus Eriksson (10.9) and Luke Sikma (9.9, 6.2 rpg.) are leading ALBA right now.

Zvezda has averaged 81.0 points since Punter joined the team, as he has made the team’s offense more unpredictable. Zvezda is struggling to shoot the ball with high percentages at home (49.1% 2FG, 34.7% 3FG in Belgrade) and has a good opportunity to improve those numbers. Stimac and Kuzmic have a size advantage in the paint while Brown, Baron, Punter and Dejan Davidovac give coach Dragan Sakota more options. Charging the offensive glass will be important to stop ALBA’s transition game.

ALBA is one of the highest-scoring teams in the competition (84.3 ppg.) and leads the 2019-20 EuroLeague in assists (19.8 apg.). The German powerhouse, however, hits just 49.8% of its two-point shots on average and has struggled to rebound the ball under its own rim, grabbing just 22.6 defensive rebounds per game while allowing 10.3 offensive boards to its opponents. Boxing out and locking down the glass will lead to more transitions, in which players like Giedraitis, Niels Giffey and Peyton Siva feel most comfortable.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-5.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

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Olympiacos – Bayern

Olympiacos (7-12) comes off a tough home loss against ALBA Berlin and has only managed to win twice in the last eight showdowns. Bayern (6-13) is on a five-game losing streak, its longest in the competition since 2014, and needs a victory as soon as possible. Georgios Printezis (12.1 ppg.) has been Olympiacos’s top scorer until now, followed by Nikola Milutinov (10.7) and Vassilis Spanoulis (10.6). For Bayern, Greg Monroe (12.7 ppg.), Vladimir Lucic (11.7) and Maodo Lo (9.3) have been leading the offense until now.

Olympiacos has struggled on defense, allowing 92.7 points on average in the last six games. Head coach Georgios Bartzokas has a reputation as a defensive coach and is expected to bring those numbers down. Olympiacos relies on its legendary core of players (Spanoulis, Printezis, Milutinov, Kostas Papanikolaou) to step up at both ends, preventing Bayern from running the floor, and to play with extra patience on offense.

Bayern has struggled to protect its paint, as opponents hit 55.6% of their two-point shots and grab 10.9 offensive rebounds on average. Its big men – mainly Monroe, Barthel, Mathias Lessort and Leon Radosevic – must make an extra effort to box out, as getting in transition will benefit Bayern’s many fast perimeter players such as Lo, Lucic and Nihad Dedovic. Josh Huestis gives Bayern extra explosiveness, much needed against a deep team like Olympiacos.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-6.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Panathinaikos – Zalgiris

Zalgiris (6-13) is arriving in Athens running high on confidence after having won three of its last four games, but Panathinaikos (11-8) and its high-scoring offense intend to keep protecting the home floor. Nick Calathes is running the show for Panathinaikos with 13.6 points, 9.4 assists and 4.9 rebounds, but the Greens’ two best scorers are Jimmer Fredette (14.5 ppg.) and DeShaun Thomas (14.1). Zalgiris is missing its top scorer, Marius Grigonis, and has big men Zach LeDay (11.0 ppg. 4.7 rpg.) and Jock Landale (10.7 ppg. 4.4 rpg.) carry the biggest load. Thomas Walkup who does a bit of everything with 9.6 points, 4.9 assists, 3.5 rebounds and 1.2 steals.

No team allows more offensive rebounds (13.2) or more three-pointer per game (10.7) per game than Panathinaikos. If the team can control either of the two defensive segments, it will have an opportunity to get its offense in transition and running, and no one this season does it better than Panathinaikos, the best scoring team in the competition, averaging 88.6 points.

It is imperative for Zalgiris to keep Panathinaikos from running and engaging in a shootout. The hosts have the highest-scoring offense, but also one of the most porous defenses, which allows 85.8 points on average. That’s where Zalgiris’s chances lie, playing long and patient possessions and attacking the offensive glass. If Zalgiris also gets an efficient three-point shooting night, it will have its chances in OAKA.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 163.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Villeurbanne

Efes is in its best moment of the season, overcoming injuries to lead the standings (16-3). It is on a four-game winning streak. ASVEL (8-11) has lost its last three EuroLeague games and its only road victory, against Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade, was in mid-November. Shane Larkin (20.7 ppg., 3.9 apg.), Krunoslav Simon (9.3) and Tibor Pleiss (8.6) are Efes’s leaders in this game. Adreian Payne (11.0 ppg.) is ASVEL’s top scorer, followed by David Lighty (10.3) and Tonye Jekiri (9.0).

Efes is the second-highest scoring team in the competition (86.6 ppg.) and has been equally unstoppable (87.0) in the last two games without Micic. Its outstanding ball circulation (1.76 assists per turnover) allows Efes to shoot the ball with high percentages (57.0% 2FG, 39.9% 3FG). Running its offense through Larkin is where it all starts for Efes, as he opens all sort of options for its many talented players.

After a strong defensive start to the competition, ASVEL is allowing opponents to shoot the ball with great effectiveness (54.5% 2FG, 39.0% 3FG), so lowering those numbers would be a first step for the French champs. ASVEL has to make the most out of its athleticism in the paint, trying to get Pleiss into foul trouble, and need Diot and Taylor to put Larkin into some sort of trouble at both ends of the floor, especially on offense.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 158.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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