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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 16 – Thursday

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CSKA Moscow – Milano

Two teams coming off big wins will clash in the Russian capital when CSKA hosts Milan on Thursday in the first game of Round 16. CSKA comes off a perfect double-round week which it finished with a victory over top-of-the-table Anadolu Efes Istanbul. Milan snapped a five-game losing streak with a victory over Valencia Basket to retain a spot in the playoff zone. Milan is 2-5 on the road this season while CSKA is 5-1 at home, however, the game will not take place in the building that the champs usually call home. CSKA will host Milan (and Panathinaikos in Round 17) at Yantarny Sports Palace in Kaliningrad

CSKA is tied for second in the league in rebounding with 36.5 per game and facing a Milan team that allows the fourth-most rebounds (35.6 rpg.). On the other hand, Milan is an average rebounding team with 33.9 per game while CSKA allows the fourth-fewest (33.1 rpg.). CKSA is also superior in offensive rebounding (11.3, fifth to 9.0, 16th). If CSKA can maintain its rebounding edge, it will be in a promising position.

The two teams in this game are among the premier three-point shooting teams in the EuroLeague; CSKA is first at 40.8% and Milan third at 40.2. However, Milan has also played the best defense in the league on three-pointers, keeping teams to just 33.6%. CSKA’s three-point defense is not far behind at 34.4%. Making matters more complicated is that many on Milan are familiar with the play of Mike James while many on CSKA know what to expect from Sergio Rodriguez. If Milan can limit CKSA’s effectiveness from the perimeter, it will have a distinct advantage.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-7.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 26/12/2019, 10:05 CET, could have changed)

Anadolu Efes – Maccabi

Two of the top teams in the league clash in Istanbul when the Turkish champs host the Israel champs. Efes lost at home to CSKA Moscow on Friday to lose sole possession of first place and now shares the top spot with two other teams at 12-3. Maccabi, which has won five games in a row, sits in fourth place with one less win. This will be a stern test for Maccabi, which is 3-4 on the road and plays its next three games away from home. Recently-signed point guard Aaron Jackson could make his Maccabi debut this week to bolster an injury-stricken backcourt.

Efes is undefeated in the seven games in which it has outrebounded its opponent this season, however, in Maccabi it is facing the team with the second-most rebounds in the league this season (36.5 rpg.). The projected starting centers for each team – Bryant Dunston for Efes and Tarik Black for Maccabi – have missed the last few weeks with injuries and if that remains the case, getting rebounding help from others could be critical to Efes’s chances.

Maccabi has one of the best defenses in the league and it has served it well. The Israeli champs have help opponents to a league-low 74.9 points per game and the team is 9-0 this season in games in which it has held the opposition below 80 points. Efes is fifth in the league in scoring (84.8 ppg.) and is 10-1 when it has reached the 80-point mark. If Maccabi can keep Efes below 80, it will have a major advantage.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 164.0 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 26/12/2019, 10:05 CET, could have changed)

ALBA Berlin – Baskonia

In a clash of teams looking to turn things around, ALBA Berlin hosts KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz on Thursday evening. ALBA has dropped four games in a row and will look to snap its losing streak on its home court, where ALBA is 3-4 this season. Baskonia has lost four of its last five games and parted ways with head coach Velimir Perasovic last week. Baskonia is 1-6 in its last seven road games. This game will be the first between these two teams in over a decade.

ALBA has committed the second-most turnovers in the league this season with an average of 14.4 per game. Baskonia is third with 13.7. Both teams have also dealt with problems at the point guard position; Jayson Granger has been out all season for Baskonia and Peyton Siva has been in and out of the lineup for ALBA. A strong game from ALBA playmaker Martin Hermannsson and fewer turnovers for his team could be the difference for the hosts.

Baskonia is near the bottom of the league in scoring with 74.7 points scored per game, however, when its defense is strong the team has done well; Baskonia is 6-3 when it has held its opponents below 80 points. ALBA likes to push the ball and is averaging 84.1 points. Baskonia will need to be near its best on defense to contain the ALBA attack and keep the scoring in the visiting team’s comfort zone, which would give it a strong chance to win.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 164.5 at 1.95 with bet365
(Price correct at 26/12/2019, 10:05 CET, could have changed)

Panathinaikos – Real Madrid

Panathinaikos returns home to face Real Madrid, which is tied for the best record in the league. The Greens have won five of their last six home games, including three straight since Coach Rick Pitino returned to the bench. Los Blancos are riding a 10-game winning streak, but are only 3-3 on the road this season. Panathinaikos leads the league in scoring (87.9 ppg.) and Real tops the charts in performance index rating (101.9), so it should be an exciting contest.

Panathinaikos is 9-3 this season when it has scored at least 80 points and its offensive game will be what the team relies on as it seeks a victory against Real. Only five teams have scored at least 80 against Real this season and the two times it happened outside of Madrid resulted in Real defeats. If the Panathinaikos attack can crack the Real defense and make this a high-scoring game, it may find itself in the driver’s seat.

Real is shooting 40.4% on three-pointers this season, which is second-best in the league. What’s more, Panathinaikos’s three-point defense is subpar, allowing opponents to shoot 35.8% from behind the arc. Led by Anthony Randolph, Fabien Causeur and Jaycee Carroll, Real has weapons in the frontcourt and backcourt to keep the Greens’ defense off-balance and if Los Blancos can knock down their threes, they have good chances to win in Athens.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-1.0) at 2.00 with bet365
(Price correct at 26/12/2019, 10:05 CET, could have changed)

Villeurbanne – Khimki

It will be a battle of styles when ASVEL hosts Khimki on Thursday. Although only one victory separates the teams in the standings, ASVEL has scored the second-fewest points in the league (73.1 ppg.) and Khimki has posted the second-most (86.4 ppg.). ASVEL has won its last two home games and is 6-2 in front of its fans this season. Khimki has lost four consecutive road games.

Khimki is averaging 87.4 points per game and allowing opponents to score 87.6 points per game. Only twice all season has ASVEL reached 87 points and they came in the team’s last two home games, both victories. On the other hand, ASVEL is 5-2 when it has held int opponent below 80 points. Khimki is 1-3 when it fails to reach 80 points. Stopping league-leading scorer Alexey Shved is no simple task, however, limiting him and the rest of the fertile Khimki attack will be crucial to scoring a win that could lift ASVEL into the playoff zone.

Khimki’s attack remains lethal even on the road, where its 84.0 points per game are fourth-best in the league. However, ASVEL’s defense on its home floor is quite tough, limiting teams to 76.4 points. Khimki has already faced the top five defenses in terms of points allowed this season and has come away 1-4. Khimki’s top few scorers, such as Alexey Shved and Devin Booker, have seen their production remain close to the norm against those teams, however, some of Khimki’s most important secondary scorers have struggled, such as Jonas Jerebko, who has averaged just 6.8 points and a performance index rating of 5.8 in those games. Using the team’s depth and getting more production from a variety of players could make the difference for Khimki this week.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-3.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 26/12/2019, 10:05 CET, could have changed)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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* Odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change.

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BASKETBALL

Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 29 – Thursday

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Euroleague Basketball Tips

Euro League basketball predictions appear under each mini game preview.

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CSKA Moscow – ALBA Berlin

Back in-form CSKA Moscow will look to keep its momentum going when it hosts ALBA Berlin on Thursday. After dropping three of four, CSKA won twice last week, including a 31-point thumping of Panathinaikos in Athens. Every win is crucial for the champs, who are fighting for homecourt advantage in the playoffs. ALBA, which has lost three in a row, could see its playoff hopes formally put to an end if it losses and other results go the other way.

CSKA always does a great job of picking apart the opponents’ weaknesses and against ALBA it surely knows that by moving the ball and getting penetration or passing to the big men inside it will get great looks against ALBA, which allows a league-high 57.6% of two-point shots against opponents. Strong play from the CSKA bigs could decide this game.

While three-point shooting will be important to this game – the teams are ranked third (ALBA, 39.6%) and fourth (CSKA, 39.2%) in the league in three-point accuracy, rebounding for ALBA will be paramount. CSKA leads the league in rebounding (37.8 rpg.) and its league-best 26.0 defensive rebounds per game ignite many fast breaks. ALBA is a strong offensive rebounding team (fourth, 11.4 prpg.) and will need to be a factor there to avoid CSKA getting easy baskets in transition.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 167.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Valencia

A host with only first place left to clinch faces a visitor struggling for survival when Efes (24-4) welcomes Valencia (12-16) to Istanbul on Thursday. Efes assured itself home-court advantage in the playoffs last Friday when Shane Larkin returned to MVP form in a 91-79 win over Olympiacos Piraeus. Valencia (12-16) suffered its fourth straight loss, 81-83 in heartbreaking fashion to AX Armani Exchange Milan on a game-winning three-pointer to beat the buzzer in overtime. Valencia now shares ninth place just four rounds after having held seventh place alone.

It’s easy to say give the ball to Larkin when he has rained 10 triples and more than 4 points in two separate games this season. But Efes will have to be wary of some things Valencia does well, like offensive rebounds, drawing fouls, making free throws and assist-to-turnover rate, in all of which the visitors rank among the top five in the league. If Efes keeps up an aggressive pace, however, its endless bench could well make the difference.

The visitors would do well to grind it out, slow the game, and somehow keep both Larkin and Micic to a minimum of shots. They have a lot to do with Efes ranking first in both two- and three-point accuracy, so Valencia’s defenders will likely risk trying to turn off the spigot at its source. Not many defenses have had luck with that, but disrupting the perimeter play of Efes would change the dynamic of the game, and that’s not a bad way to try to beat the league leaders.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-11.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Maccabi – Baskonia

Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv will look to rebound from a loss in Belgrade when it meets red-hot KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz. Maccabi had won five in a row before its loss to Crvena Zvezda and is neck-and-neck with CSKA Moscow for fourth place, which is worth homecourt advantage in the playoffs. Baskonia has won three in a row to join a heated playoff race and at 12-16 in now one of five teams that is one win outside the playoff zone.

The test of rebounding in the game will be when Baskonia misses shots. Coach Ivanovic’s men are third in the league in offensive rebounds (11.5 orpg.) and Maccabi is second in defensive boards (25.7 drpg.). If Baskonia can make noise on the offensive glass and get a few extra second-chance baskets, it could go a long way. But if Maccabi locks down the defensive boards and turns them into transition points, the Israeli champs will be in pole position.

It is as important as ever for Baskonia to take good care of the ball against Maccabi. Baskonia has committed the second-most turnovers in the league (14.3 TOpg.), while Maccabi has taken more steals than any other team (7.8 spg.). There are many players on the Maccabi defense with quick hands and Baskonia must rise to the challenge to keep them at bay.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+8.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

Real Madrid – Crvena Zvezda

Two teams with different goals in mind will meet in Round 29 when Real Madrid (22-6) hosts Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (11-17). Real has clinched a playoff berth and has won seven straight games, including last week against ASVEL at home. The hosts are looking to get the home-court advantage for the next phase. On the other side, Zvezda managed to win again last week after losing eight of its previous nine games. The Serbian champs defeated red-hot Maccabi at home to remain in the playoff hunt.

The hosts average almost 10 points more per game than the visitors,  are on a winning run and still fighting for a tangible goal. It’s hard to deny that going into the game, Real is the favorite. Los Blancos have better numbers on all fronts and that fact is summed up with a difference of average PIR of 102.6 vs. 77.5 in favor of Real. However, Zvezda is still looking for a playoff ticket and the last home win against such a solid team as Maccabi at this point could give the guests a boost of morale that could be dangerous for the hosts to underestimate.

Zvezda will land in Madrid with a lot of things at stake. It has everything to win… and everything to lose also. One could expect that the visitors can drop this game in the Spanish capital, but at this moment, Zvezda is still playing for a playoff ticket so winning in Madrid has become almost mandatory. It won’t be easy because Real is on a roll and is also playing for a specific goal. The visitors will have to come into the game pumped by the last win against Maccabi and with the idea to steal an upset that would put them in a good position to fight for one of the last places in the next phase.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.0 at 1.90 with bet365

(Price correct at 12/03/2020, 10:50 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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BASKETBALL

Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 28 – Friday

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Mirotic Barca

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Khimki – Fenerbahce

Two teams in the thick of the playoffs race will face each other on Friday when Khimki Moscow Region (12-15) hosts Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul (13-14) for Round 28. After having won three in a row, Khimki’s streak came to a halt earlier this week at Zalgiris, while Fener won at home against Zvezda and finally entered the playoff positions.

Going into the game, Khimki’s best option will probably be to unleash its better offense. Fenerbahce is also the worst team of the league under the boards, so if the hosts manage to control those defensive rebounds and run on offense, thanks to their second-best assists numbers in the league, they could have solid options to take this win.

Fenerbahce finally overcame the mental obstacle of being outside of the playoffs zone, and seems to be getting up to speed. Even if Khimki shows better numbers on almost all aspects, the biggest weapon for the guests will be a strong mentality that is just getting stronger week after week and, of course, the second-best three-point shooting in the league.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 at 2.20 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Olympiacos

A classic EuroLeague matchup will live a new edition on Friday when league leader Anadolu Efes Istanbul (23-4) welcomes Olympiacos Piraeus (12-15) for Round 28. Efes comes off a rare loss earlier in the week at Maccabi that snapped its 11-game winning streak. The hosts will be facing the Reds, who land in Turkey fresh off a close win at home in the Greek derby against Panathinaikos earlier this week.

It’s kind of ironic that Efes suffered its first loss in 12 rounds just when it had its full roster available again. The hosts are the second-best offensive team in the league, and this loss shows that they are human after all, but it could also be a wake-up call just at the right time. Efes is already in the playoffs, but a win in this game combined with either a Maccabi or CSKA Moscow loss, would secure home-court advantage for the hosts in the next phase.

Olympiacos is having one of the most irregular seasons of the last decade, and having Vassilis Spanoulis and Nikola Milutinov sidelined does not help, either, However, the Reds have won three of their last four games and they are still pushing hard to make the playoffs in a tough competition. On paper, Efes is basically better at everything this season, but Olympiacos is famous for beating the odds, and the fact that they play on the road with the chance to avenge the home loss earlier this season just adds to the motivation.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 158.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Crvena Zvezda – Maccabi

Playoffs hopeful Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade (10-17) will welcome Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv (19-8), a team that just punched its postseason ticket, on Friday for Round 28 of this double-feature week. The hosts are going through a rough patch, having lost eight of their last nine games, including a close one at Fenerbahce earlier this week, 66-63. On the other hand, Maccabi comes from a thrilling home win over Efes, 77-75, that increased its winning streak to five games and secured the club a playoff berth for the first time since 2015.

The hosts need to get out of the dark zone they are in right now. A motivated and happy team like Maccabi might not be the best option to do that, but Zvezda plays at home and that is always a big factor in any game. Maccabi does not have many weak points, but its free-throw percentage is the third-worst in the league, so stepping up on defense and then sending the guests to the line could work in Zvezda’s favor for this game.

Maccabi is in a good place right now. The team is playing well, the wins keep coming in and the playoffs are a reality once more after four seasons. Now it’s just a matter to keep pushing in order to earn home-court advantage. Maccabi has the upper hand in this game, especially in offense, and also with the second-best numbers of the league under the boards. Zvezda also has the worst percentage in two-pointers, so paying attention to defense could bring a big payoff to the guests.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-4.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Barcelona – Bayern

Two teams in opposite places will face each other on Friday as already qualified FC Barcelona (21-6) welcomes FC Bayern Munich (8-19) for Round 28. Barca is one of the hottest teams in the league, with eight consecutive wins, including on Wednesday against another German team, ALBA. The hosts also have the February MVP, Nikola Mirotic, on a roll. Bayern, on the other hand, has lost 11 of its last 13 games, including at home to Baskonia earlier this week, and at risk of soon being mathematically ruled out of the playoffs race.

It all looks bright for Barca going into this game. The hosts are facing the second-worst offense in the league, and the second-worst team in rebounds per game. All in all, Barcelona averages a PIR of 20 more than Bayern per game, plus the hosts are playing well and winning games like they had not done for quite a few seasons now. If Barca manages to execute its game plan, it should be able to add another win and get closer to home-court advantage in the playoffs.

Bayern is in a rough moment of the season and the fact that it plays on the road against one of the hottest teams does not help. Barca is a talented team with a deep bench, so Bayern will have to clench its teeth from tip-off and try to start building a win through defense. Expect the visitors to base their game on going inside to Greg Monroe and Danilo Barthel, and hope that creates space for shooters like Petteri Koponen, who will be playing on his former home floor.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Baskonia – ALBA Berlin

Two teams still in the race for the playoffs will square off on Friday when KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (11-16) welcomes ALBA Berlin (9-18) in Round 28. Baskonia has won three of its last four games, including the last road win at Bayern, and seems to be making a big push towards the postseason spots. ALBA has lost three of its last four games and needs to get back to the winning track if it wants to retain some options.

Baskonia has the worst offense in the league and plays against the fourth-best. That could seem a tall order for the hosts, but these teams are in opposite trends and Baskonia stands at the better end of those. Baskonia is also the EuroLeague team averaging the least assists per game, while ALBA is third, so this will be a clash of styles. If Baskonia manages to put its third-ranked defense at the top of its priority list against an opponent that gives up the most points this season, the hosts could be on their way to their fourth win in five games.

ALBA just fell short of defeating Barcelona in Berlin, and has now lost three of its last four games. Against Baskonia it will be a duel of opposite styles. ALBA will have to by-pass the tough defense of the hosts in order to display its fun-to-watch offense. If those league-best assists flow and those threes fall in the basket (third best numbers in the league for ALBA), the guests could upset Baskonia for a second time this season, even if missing some players like Peyton Siva.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-5.5) at 1.95 with bet365
(Price correct at 06/03/2020, 10:05 CET, subject to change)

Get up to £100 in Bet Credits!

News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


Euroleague Standings

Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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