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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 11 – 28/11/2019

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Fenerbahce – Khimki

This game is a battle between powerhouses with deep, versatile rosters. Fenerbahce comes off a road win against ASVEL and wants to keep climbing the table in front of its fans. After a 6-2 start, Khimki suffered back-to-back road losses and needs to regain momentum as soon as possible. Nando De Colo (20.9 ppg.) has been Fenerbahce’s best scorer until now, followed by Derrick Williams (10.9 ppg.) and Kostas Sloukas (8.5 ppg.). De Colo, however, has been sidelined for the last three games. Alexey Shved (19.3 ppg.), Devin Booker (12.7 ppg.) and Janis Timma (12.7 ppg.) have led Khimki so far this season.

Fenerbahce must improve its scoring, as it ranks 16th overall with 73.6 points per game. It is also allowing opponents to make 40.2% of their three-point shots, so better and more aggressive perimeter defense is required. If Nando De Colo remains sidelined, Kostas Sloukas, Derrick Williams and Luigi Datome will keep sharing more responsibilities. Ali Muhammed and Vladimir Stimac, who both come off great games in France, must confirm their good form against Khimki.

Nikola Kalinic, Leo Westermann and Jan Vesely are out due to injuries. Nando De Colo has started practicing with the team, but he still remains as ‘game-time decision’.

Khimki is one of the best scoring teams in the EuroLeague (85.6 ppg.) and is shooting really well from two-point range (54.9%). Khimki is doing a good job of limiting its turnovers (13.0 per game) and is sharing the ball well (18.0 apg.). Good ball circulation will be needed against a tough team like Fenerbahce, so Jovic and Shved must be ready to help Khimki find open looks. If Khimki is patient and determined, it has the talent to beat anyone.

Alexey Shved will miss the game against Fenerbahce due to injury, but Janis Timma will be available in Istanbul.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-6.5) at 2.00 with bet365
(Price correct at 28/11/2019, 11:45 CET, could have changed)

Crvena Zvezda – Valencia

A pair of teams on the upswing will duel on Thursday when Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade hosts Valencia Basket. Zvezda comes off its first road win of the season last week at Zalgiris and even its 2-3 record at home is misleading since those losses were all close calls. Moreover, the Serbian champs should be rejuvenated by the arrival of new head coach Dragan Sakota. Valencia has won four of its last five games, but is winless in its four road trips thus far and now begins a run of three straight away games.

When a new coach arrives, many changes can be expected. Chief among them is always to fix what appears to be broken. Zvezda has excelled on the defensive end, allowing the fourth-fewest points per game (76.4). However, it is last in the league in both two-point (45.9%) and three-point (31.7%) shooting accuracy and has scored the second-fewest points (71.7 ppg.). Expect Coach Sakota to emphasize that and for the team to be taking better shots in what will be a key to this game.

Derrick Brown is doubtful due to knee problems while Stratos Perperoglou will miss the next 4 to 6 weeks also with a knee injury.

Valencia must take the confidence from its winning streak on the plane to Serbia, because to date when the team has left the borders of Spain, things have fallen apart. Its lone road loss by single figures was at FC Barcelona. In Valencia’s other three road games, it’s averaged 68.7 points and lost by an average margin of 16.7 points. In each of those games, Valencia has been outrebounded, too. Playing with greater confidence could make all the difference for Valencia in Belgrade.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+4.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 28/11/2019, 11:45 CET, could have changed)

ALBA Berlin – Zalgiris

After winning two of its last three games, ALBA Berlin will look to keep its positive momentum going when it hosts Zalgiris Kaunas. Before turning things around, ALBA had lost three games in a row. Zalgiris, which has now lost four straight games, hopes to change places with ALBA and start its own positive run. It will be a clash of styles as ALBA is fourth in the league in scoring (84.6 ppg.) and allows the most points (91.0 ppg.). Zalgiris is in the bottom third in both points scored (74.8 ppg.) and points allowed (76.5 ppg.). New signing K.C. Rivers could help change that.

It starts with defense. Despite a series of injuries, ALBA has found ways to score game-in and game-out. However, it has allowed the most points in the league. The only times ALBA has held opponents to 80 points or fewer, it has won. Teams are shooting 40.9% on three-pointers against ALBA and that is something that Coach Garcia Reneses must find a solution for, especially against Zalgiris’s standout shooters.

According to coach Aito, Tim Schneider, Tyler Cavanaugh, Johannes Thiemann and Stefan Peno will not be able to play this game and Peyton Siva has just returned from his injury.

The Zalgiris playing style under Coach Jasikevicius is the antithesis of ALBA’s. Zalgiris plays slower, tougher and tries to make every possession count. Where that has gone awry for the Lithuanian champs this season is three-point shooting; after leading the league in that category two years ago and finishing top-five last season, Zalgiris is in the bottom third this season at 33.8%. New signing K.C. Rivers could help Zalgiris change that and with more three-pointers falling, the team will be a bigger threat to win in the German capital.

Marius Grigonis did not travel to Berlin, because of his foot injury.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (-1.0) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 28/11/2019, 11:45 CET, could have changed)

Panathinaikos – Baskonia

Two teams that started winning streaks last week will face each other to keep it going when Panathinaikos OPAP Athens (6-4) welcomes KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (5-5) in Greece. Panathinaikos won its two road games last week, including a 75-87 win at FC Bayern Munich and reports claim that Hall of Fame coach Rick Pitino, who announced last week that he is returning to Panathinaikos, will be on the bench for this game. Baskonia also won both of its games in the double-round week, both at home against Russian teams. It now travels to Athens to try to increase its winning run to three games.

The Greens seem to have found their pace again and Coach Pitino will try to pick up where he left it last season with many of the players he coached last year still on the team. Panathinaikos currently boasts the best offense in the league and it also has the best passer, which means that it loves to run the ball and play as many possessions as possible. However, the Greens also have the third-weakest defense in the league, so they will have to try to regroup and keep the Baskonia players at bay, especially when crashing the boards, the only aspect where the visitors significantly outperform the hosts, aside from the blocks (Baksonia leads the league with 4.7 bpg.)

On paper, it looks like Panathinaikos has the upper hand in this game, especially with the fact that the game is in OAKA. However, Baskonia comes form defeating two Russian teams, including defending champs CSKA Moscow, so the visitors come to Athens with an injection of morale. Coach Velimir Perasovic will have to look for a way to stop the flow in the Panathinaikos offense, which seems to be thriving lately. Limiting players like DeShaun Thomas and Nick Calathes will be key to hampering the Greens’ progress in the game. Baskonia must also pay attention to improve its efficiency from the charity stripe, as it currently holds the lowest percentage from that distance in the league.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 165.5 at 1.95 with bet365
(Price correct at 28/11/2019, 11:45 CET, could have changed)

Maccabi – ASVEL Villeurbanne

In a matchup of teams looking to bounce back quickly from a rough double-round week of games, Maccabi FOX Tel Aviv hosts LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne on Thursday. The Israeli champs suffered a pair of road losses to see a six-game winning streak stopped, however, they remain undefeated in four games at home this season. ASVEL saw its perfect home record smashed by the two Istanbul teams, but can draw on the confidence gained in its last road game, a nail-biting win in the Serbian capital against Crvena Zvezda.

As a starting point, health. Omri Casspi has been spectacular for Maccabi this season and the team is 5-1 with him in the lineup and 1-3 without. Maccabi must also control the rebounding battle and get its points in transition. The team is tied for second in the league with 37.5 rebounds per game and its 86.3 points are second-most. Despite the presence of Tonye Jekiri, ASVEL is second-to-last in rebounding (31.7 rpg.) and its 71.5 points are bottom of the standings. Rebounding and running would play to Maccabi’s strengths and ASVEL’s weaknesses.

For a team relying on some teenage talents plus several other players in their first EuroLeague campaign, playing on a Thursday night at Menorah Mivtachim Arena is a challenge. However, ASVEL survived an equally stern test by beating Crvena Zvezda on the road. Playing its pace and style in Tel Aviv is a must; ASVEL is 0-4 this season when the opponent has scored at least 80 points. Point guards Antione Diot, Theo Maledon and Jordan Taylor – the latter of which has some experience in Tel Aviv from his two seasons with Hapoel Holon – will be charged with that task.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 154.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 28/11/2019, 11:45 CET, could have changed)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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Standings provided by Sofascore LiveScore

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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 21 – Friday

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Fenerbahce – Milano

After a three-game winning streak, Fenerbahce (8-12) suffered a home loss against FC Barcelona but has this opportunity to bounce back in front of its home crowd. Milan (10-10) is on a seven-game road losing streak. Its last victory away from Mediolanum Forum came in late October. Nando De Colo (18.8 ppg.) is Fenerbahce’s top scorer, followed by Derrick Williams (11.8) and Kostas Sloukas (11.3). Sergio Rodriguez (13.2), Vladimir Micov (11.5) and Keifer Sykes (10.5) are leading Milan’s offense right now.

Fenerbahce’s improved defense has made it more competitive. The Turkish powerhouse has allowed 80.7 points on average this season, but just 69.7 in the last three games. Rebounding remains an issue, as Fenerbahce ranks last with 29.7 boards per game, and allows 11.3 offensive rebounds on average. If Fenerbahce is able to control the defensive boards, players like De Colo, Sloukas, Vesely and Luigi Datome will take care of business at the other end.

Milan is one of the best teams at defensive rebounds (25.3 drpg.) but ranks really low in offensive boards (9.4 orpg.), which is particularly worrying when the Italian powerhouse is last in two-point shooting percentage (46.6%). Milan does a great job at limiting turnovers, with just 11.8 on average. With the right ball circulation, coach Ettore Messina’s team has enough talent everywhere to improve that shooting percentage and eventually be more competitive.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 156.0 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 24/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Zalgiris – ALBA Berlin

Zalgiris (6-14) comes off a narrow road loss against Panathinaikos but has been doing better. After a recent nine-game losing streak, Zalgiris went on to win three of its next five games. ALBA (7-13) comes off a triumphant double-round week, with road wins against Olympiacos and Zvezda, and now looks for another one. Zach LeDay (10.9 ppg.), Lukas Lekavicius (10.8) and Jock Landale (10.5) are leading Zalgiris right now. Rokas Giedraitis (13.5) is ALBA’s top scorer, followed by Marcus Eriksson (10.9) and Martin Hermannsson (10.7).

Zalgiris is hitting just a third of its three-point shots (78-of-234, 33.3%) at home and is also struggling (49.0%) inside the arc. Feeding off its crowd’s energy will be very important for Zalgiris, as well as sharing the ball better, considering that it ranks 17th assists at 15.7 per game. Lekavicius has been on fire lately, but he will need help, especially from his frontcourt teammates, to make Zalgiris as competitive as it can be.

ALBA leads the EuroLeague in turnovers (14.5 per game), a critical issue to make the most out of its run-and-gun offense. ALBA is also first in assists (19.8 apg.) despite not having the best shooting percentages (50.3% 2FG, 38.8% 3FG). Overcoming the strong basketball atmosphere at Zalgirio Arena will be important for ALBA, as well as getting its most experienced players – Sikma, Siva and Giedraitis – involved on offense.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-6.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 24/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

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Panathinaikos – Villeurbanne

Panathinaikos (12-8) comes off a solid double-round week with come-from-behind home wins against FC Bayern Munich and Zalgiris Kaunas. On the other hand, ASVEL (8-12) is on a four-game losing streak and must battle hard in the Greek capital to snap it. Jimmer Fredette (14.3 ppg.) is Panathinaikos’s top scorer, followed by DeShaun Thomas (14.2) and Nick Calathes (13.6). Former Panathinaikos center Adreian Payne (11.1) is ASVEL’s top scorer, followed by David Lighty (9.8) and Livio Jean-Charles (8.9).

Panathinaikos is the highest-scoring team in the competition (89.0 ppg.) and leads the EuroLeague in two-point attempts (43.0 per game) with great efficiency (56.2%) inside the arc. Almost half of the team’s assists (18.6 apg.) come from Calathes, so grabbing defensive rebounds and allowing him to create for others will be, as usual, a big key for the Greens. Panathinaikos has a lot of great finishers – Tyrese Rice, Ioannis Papapetrou, Georgios Papagiannis, Thomas… – so finding who’s hot, a Calathes specialty, will be critical, too.

ASVEL is the lowest scoring team on the road (66.9 ppg.) and allows 84.7 points on average away from The Astroballe. Better ball circulation is needed to improve its shooting percentages (47.8% 2FG, 32.0% 3FG), so ASVEL relies on Taylor and Diot not only to slow Calathes down, but to find the right rhythm on offense, finding good shots and making the most out of its athletic advantage in the paint. If Jean-Charles, Jekiri and Payne can dominate inside and attack the offensive glass, ASVEL will have a better chance to beat Panathinaikos again.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-13.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 24/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Real Madrid – Anadolu Efes

The top two teams in the standings stage a monumental showdown to finish off Round 21. League leaders Efes (17-3) set itself apart with a two-game sweep last week, while Real (15-5) saw a 13-game win streak stopped with consecutive losses and now has three 14-win teams breathing down its neck, making this result especially important for the hosts, who are unbeaten at home this season. Efes has an 8-1 road record, however.

Real rarely finds itself hard-pressed to outgun opponents, but that happened in its last loss, at Khimki Moscow Region, and Efes outscores the hosts 87.4 to 84.4 points per game. For that reason, Tavares and defensive aces Jeffery Taylor and Facundo Campazzo will be important on Friday. Both teams allow the same amount of points (77.4 per game) but Real holds opponents to much lower PIRs on average, and that effort has to be focused on keeping the Efes scorers, especially red-hot Shane Larkin, from going off.

Although Efes seems to be able to do no wrong, lately, it will need to do a lot right to win in the Spanish capital. Protecting the perimeter, where Madrid ranks second with 11.2 triples per game, will be job one. Getting around Tavares for good shots close to the basket will be another challenge. Power forward Chris Singleton may have a big role to play in helping lure Tavares outside, especially if Real is without its own corner ace, Anthony Randolph, who has missed the last four games due to injury.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 168.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 24/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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Euroleague Tips with Previews – Round 20 – Friday

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CSKA Moscow – Baskonia

CSKA (13-6) comes off a hard-fought victory against Real Madrid and wants to keep its momentum going. Baskonia (7-12) has only won twice in the last nine games and arrives in Moscow after a road loss against Zenit St Petersburg. Mike James (20.8 ppg.) has been CSKA’s top scorer until now, followed by Darrun Hilliard (10.8) and Kyle Hines (9.2). Toko Shengelia (16.7 ppg., 6.0 rpg.), Nik Stauskas (9.7) and Shavon Shields (8.3) have led Baskonia’s offense until now.

CSKA limited Real, one of the best offenses in the competition, to just 55 points, and will need the same defensive mentality against Baskonia. After pulling down 44 against Real, CSKA now leads the rebounds standings at 38.1 per night, getting 26.2 defensive boards on average. That is mandatory for CSKA to get going in transition, making the most out of mobile big men like Nikita Kurbanov, Johannes Voigtmann and Hines.

Baskonia allowed Zenit to score 77.4% of its two-point shots, the second highest percentage in the EuroLeague this season. Protecting the paint will be mandatory for Baskonia. Its big men – Michael Eric, Youssupha Fall and Ilimane Diop – must be ready to be aggressive down low. Baskonia keeps struggling from the three-point line (28% against Zenit, 32.5% overall) and only improving those shooting numbers will make the team more competitive.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 159.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Zenit – Valencia

Zenit (6-13) has won consecutive games for the first time this season, using great defense to do so. Valencia (9-10) is also in a good moment, coming off a road victory against Khimki Moscow Region. After a 0-5 start, Valencia is 9-5 in the last 14 games. Gustavo Ayon (12.3 ppg.) is Zenit’s top scorer this season, followed by Will Thomas (10.9) and Mateusz Ponitka (10.0). Jordan Loyd (11.2), Fernando San Emeterio (7.9) and Alberto Abalde (7.3) will be Valencia’s leaders in this game.

Zenit is allowing 79.4 points per game this season but has dramatically improve those numbers in the last four games, allowing just 71.3 on average. That defensive improvement has allowed the team to find more balance on offense, hitting 77.4% of its two-point shots against Baskonia this week. Without Dubljevic and Tobey on court for Valencia, Zenit must get Colton Iverson and Ayon involved to make the most of its size advantage and depth in the paint.

Valencia has averaged 91.5 points over the last four games, winning three of them, and must try to speed up the game tempo against a defensive-minded team like Zenit. It is mandatory for Valencia to make the most out of its depth at point guard, with Sam Van Rossom, Quino Colom and Guillem Vives giving coach Jaume Ponsarnau plenty of options. Stopping Will Thomas down low and getting Fernando San Emeterio and Alberto Abalde involved at both wings will be other keys for the Spanish powerhouse.

basketball prediction Tip: 2 (+2.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Crvena Zvezda – ALBA Berlin

After four consecutive wins, Zvezda (9-10) suffered a home loss against Zalgiris Kaunas on Wednesday and wants to bounce back right away. ALBA (6-13) comes off a brilliant road victory against Olympiacos Piraeus and wants to keep its momentum going. Lorenzo Brown (14.1 ppg.) has been Zvezda’s top scorer until now, followed by recently signed Kevin Punter (12.7) and Vladimir Stimac (12.3). Rokas Giedraitis (13.8), Marcus Eriksson (10.9) and Luke Sikma (9.9, 6.2 rpg.) are leading ALBA right now.

Zvezda has averaged 81.0 points since Punter joined the team, as he has made the team’s offense more unpredictable. Zvezda is struggling to shoot the ball with high percentages at home (49.1% 2FG, 34.7% 3FG in Belgrade) and has a good opportunity to improve those numbers. Stimac and Kuzmic have a size advantage in the paint while Brown, Baron, Punter and Dejan Davidovac give coach Dragan Sakota more options. Charging the offensive glass will be important to stop ALBA’s transition game.

ALBA is one of the highest-scoring teams in the competition (84.3 ppg.) and leads the 2019-20 EuroLeague in assists (19.8 apg.). The German powerhouse, however, hits just 49.8% of its two-point shots on average and has struggled to rebound the ball under its own rim, grabbing just 22.6 defensive rebounds per game while allowing 10.3 offensive boards to its opponents. Boxing out and locking down the glass will lead to more transitions, in which players like Giedraitis, Niels Giffey and Peyton Siva feel most comfortable.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-5.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

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Olympiacos – Bayern

Olympiacos (7-12) comes off a tough home loss against ALBA Berlin and has only managed to win twice in the last eight showdowns. Bayern (6-13) is on a five-game losing streak, its longest in the competition since 2014, and needs a victory as soon as possible. Georgios Printezis (12.1 ppg.) has been Olympiacos’s top scorer until now, followed by Nikola Milutinov (10.7) and Vassilis Spanoulis (10.6). For Bayern, Greg Monroe (12.7 ppg.), Vladimir Lucic (11.7) and Maodo Lo (9.3) have been leading the offense until now.

Olympiacos has struggled on defense, allowing 92.7 points on average in the last six games. Head coach Georgios Bartzokas has a reputation as a defensive coach and is expected to bring those numbers down. Olympiacos relies on its legendary core of players (Spanoulis, Printezis, Milutinov, Kostas Papanikolaou) to step up at both ends, preventing Bayern from running the floor, and to play with extra patience on offense.

Bayern has struggled to protect its paint, as opponents hit 55.6% of their two-point shots and grab 10.9 offensive rebounds on average. Its big men – mainly Monroe, Barthel, Mathias Lessort and Leon Radosevic – must make an extra effort to box out, as getting in transition will benefit Bayern’s many fast perimeter players such as Lo, Lucic and Nihad Dedovic. Josh Huestis gives Bayern extra explosiveness, much needed against a deep team like Olympiacos.

basketball prediction Tip: 1 (-6.5) at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Panathinaikos – Zalgiris

Zalgiris (6-13) is arriving in Athens running high on confidence after having won three of its last four games, but Panathinaikos (11-8) and its high-scoring offense intend to keep protecting the home floor. Nick Calathes is running the show for Panathinaikos with 13.6 points, 9.4 assists and 4.9 rebounds, but the Greens’ two best scorers are Jimmer Fredette (14.5 ppg.) and DeShaun Thomas (14.1). Zalgiris is missing its top scorer, Marius Grigonis, and has big men Zach LeDay (11.0 ppg. 4.7 rpg.) and Jock Landale (10.7 ppg. 4.4 rpg.) carry the biggest load. Thomas Walkup who does a bit of everything with 9.6 points, 4.9 assists, 3.5 rebounds and 1.2 steals.

No team allows more offensive rebounds (13.2) or more three-pointer per game (10.7) per game than Panathinaikos. If the team can control either of the two defensive segments, it will have an opportunity to get its offense in transition and running, and no one this season does it better than Panathinaikos, the best scoring team in the competition, averaging 88.6 points.

It is imperative for Zalgiris to keep Panathinaikos from running and engaging in a shootout. The hosts have the highest-scoring offense, but also one of the most porous defenses, which allows 85.8 points on average. That’s where Zalgiris’s chances lie, playing long and patient possessions and attacking the offensive glass. If Zalgiris also gets an efficient three-point shooting night, it will have its chances in OAKA.

basketball prediction Tip: Under 163.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

Anadolu Efes – Villeurbanne

Efes is in its best moment of the season, overcoming injuries to lead the standings (16-3). It is on a four-game winning streak. ASVEL (8-11) has lost its last three EuroLeague games and its only road victory, against Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade, was in mid-November. Shane Larkin (20.7 ppg., 3.9 apg.), Krunoslav Simon (9.3) and Tibor Pleiss (8.6) are Efes’s leaders in this game. Adreian Payne (11.0 ppg.) is ASVEL’s top scorer, followed by David Lighty (10.3) and Tonye Jekiri (9.0).

Efes is the second-highest scoring team in the competition (86.6 ppg.) and has been equally unstoppable (87.0) in the last two games without Micic. Its outstanding ball circulation (1.76 assists per turnover) allows Efes to shoot the ball with high percentages (57.0% 2FG, 39.9% 3FG). Running its offense through Larkin is where it all starts for Efes, as he opens all sort of options for its many talented players.

After a strong defensive start to the competition, ASVEL is allowing opponents to shoot the ball with great effectiveness (54.5% 2FG, 39.0% 3FG), so lowering those numbers would be a first step for the French champs. ASVEL has to make the most out of its athleticism in the paint, trying to get Pleiss into foul trouble, and need Diot and Taylor to put Larkin into some sort of trouble at both ends of the floor, especially on offense.

basketball prediction Tip: Over 158.5 at 1.90 with bet365
(Price correct at 17/01/2020, 10:30 CET, subject to change)

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News Source: Euroleague.net
Basketball tips: Livetipster


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